delphiandomine
22 Oct 2018
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]
Yes, it's a common theme with Kaczyński. He did it to Marcinkiewicz, he did it to Szydło and even did it to Morawiecki within weeks of him becoming PM. There's a very common theme of them being humiliated in public, and it seems to be a form of Party discipline. My suspicion is that he knows that if anyone gets too powerful in their own right, then they might oust him if things aren't going the way of PiS. In any normal party, he would have been gone after the 2011 election.
Wouldn't surprise me if Morawiecki is gone by the New Year. Ziobro going would be popular among people in cities, but I don't see it happening - they haven't completed the takeover of the Supreme Court, and Ziobro is needed for that as the perfect faceless bureaucrat. But yes, it wouldn't surprise me if several people lost their jobs, as Kaczyński will be well aware that politics can change very very quickly before elections.
Speaking of Marcinkiewicz's ex-wife, she's an acquaintance of mine (in the English context, not Polish context). Don't even ask how...
Incidentally, perhaps now the claim of "young people vote for PiS and right wing parties" can be put to bed.
Results from those aged 18-29:
PiS: 23,3%
KO: 18,7%
PSL: 17,6%
Kukiz'15: 13,6%
Bezpartyni Samorządowcy: 9,1%
SLD: 3,3%
Wolność: 3.3%
Ruch Narodowy: 2,8%
Zieloni: 1,6%
Local committees: 4,2%
Left/centrist parties: 41.3%
Right wing parties: 43%
Essentially nothing in it. The myth of the Polish youth becoming right wing has been completely shattered in this election.
Interesting that PiS tends to downgrade those politicians who actually connect with voters
Yes, it's a common theme with Kaczyński. He did it to Marcinkiewicz, he did it to Szydło and even did it to Morawiecki within weeks of him becoming PM. There's a very common theme of them being humiliated in public, and it seems to be a form of Party discipline. My suspicion is that he knows that if anyone gets too powerful in their own right, then they might oust him if things aren't going the way of PiS. In any normal party, he would have been gone after the 2011 election.
IINM there's probably a game of thrones going on behind the scenes and I wouldn't be surprised if a number of high profile members end up out on their keisters
Wouldn't surprise me if Morawiecki is gone by the New Year. Ziobro going would be popular among people in cities, but I don't see it happening - they haven't completed the takeover of the Supreme Court, and Ziobro is needed for that as the perfect faceless bureaucrat. But yes, it wouldn't surprise me if several people lost their jobs, as Kaczyński will be well aware that politics can change very very quickly before elections.
Speaking of Marcinkiewicz's ex-wife, she's an acquaintance of mine (in the English context, not Polish context). Don't even ask how...
Incidentally, perhaps now the claim of "young people vote for PiS and right wing parties" can be put to bed.
Results from those aged 18-29:
PiS: 23,3%
KO: 18,7%
PSL: 17,6%
Kukiz'15: 13,6%
Bezpartyni Samorządowcy: 9,1%
SLD: 3,3%
Wolność: 3.3%
Ruch Narodowy: 2,8%
Zieloni: 1,6%
Local committees: 4,2%
Left/centrist parties: 41.3%
Right wing parties: 43%
Essentially nothing in it. The myth of the Polish youth becoming right wing has been completely shattered in this election.