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Posts by Tacitus  

Joined: 6 Jul 2017 / Male ♂
Warnings: 2 - OQ
Last Post: 2 hrs ago
Threads: 2
Posts: 1,405

Displayed posts: 1407 / page 42 of 47
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Tacitus   
28 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

But I beg to differ Poland is no different to the UK apart from 61 bn trade to the us

The UK has twice the population size, its' trade is four times as high as Poland, and unlike Poland its' biggest single trading partner is not an EU country but the USA, yet you think they are comparable? And this is disregarding Poland's status as EU fund recipient, the number of Polish citizen abroad, and its' vulnerable geopolitical position.

@G (undercover)

And what Germany would be without the Marshall plan, half million foreign soldiers defending them from the commies and most of Europe where they can sell their goods non-taxed

Which is why nobody in German (even the AfD) questions Germany's EU membership. And as the polls indicate, most Polish people appreciate it as well.

The whole "either you are in EU or will become the second North Korea" stuff is ridiculous.

Nobody said anything about North Korea, that is just your exaggeration. Without the EU, Poland would be left significantly poorer over time, with possibly a lot of returnees who would not be very pleased of having to return to Poland, and it would be vulnerable to Russian influence. None of this is desireable for Poland.
Tacitus   
28 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

@dolnoslask

Wait and see Britain post brexit then u might see the future of poland, before that you are only making an assumption.

Brexit is at best an indication for what could await Poland. The UK enjoys still several advantages that Poland doesnt have. The UK is a signficantly larger economy with a larger population, it is a net payer (although the British rabate does make the actual amount of money paid to Bruessels smaller). And perhaps most importantly, the ratio of EU citizens working in the UK versus British people working in other EU countries is in the UK's favour. Imagine how weak Poland's hand would be if it had to secure the rights of its' citizen in other EU countries.

And that leaves out security considerations, the UK does not deem Russia to be an existential threat, it has no border with it and the UK owns nuclear weapons.
Tacitus   
28 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

This article will answer most of your questions regarding Merkel:

Putin and Merkel: A Rivalry of History, Distrust and Power

nytimes.com/2017/03/12/world/europe/vladimir-putin-angela-merkel-russia-germany.html

now the powerhouse of Europe and admired by so many here on the forum and Europe wide.

Indeed, interesting how countries and people can change over generations. Kind of gives someone hope for the future, doesn't it?

@Ironside

ou are surely kidding here

Why should I? Without Germany, the Euro would have broken up, and Germany is paying the most for the upkeep of the EU.

I just wonder what they are trying to achieve by attacking Poland

Nobody is attacking Poland, if anything Poland is currently attacking itself by its' irresponsible government. The fact that they are willing to endanger Poland's long-term interest in being alligned to Europe is telling.
Tacitus   
28 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

Somehow no one is bringing it up as a sign that Markel and Germany are unfit to lead EU, or to question their commitment to the EU

Why should anyone bring up this fact when Merkel has been instrumental in coordinating the European response to Russia's agression? She was always critical of Putin, and she is the only Western politician he actually respects for her strength. No doubt future historians will look at the recent tension between the EU and Russia as a great rivalvry between Putin and Merkel.

If not for her, the EU probably would not have shown any coherent reaction. And why should people doubt the commitment of Germany to the EU, when it is the one country holding the EU together?
Tacitus   
28 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

I'll never understand how anyone can take Farage seriously, or even has the slightest respect for him. Especially after reading this interview.

zeit.de/politik/ausland/2017-05/nigel-farage-brexit-ukip-russia-contacts
Tacitus   
19 Jan 2018
Off-Topic / Is anyone in Poland planning a trip in Croatia? [26]

If you want any credibility here, you'd better stop refering to Croatia as "Nazi-Regime". I don't use the term for Serbia, and their actions are certainly more deserving of the title.

violating Yugoslavian constitution

Even if that was true, the Croats had no reason to feel any attachment to Yugoslavia or its' constitution. Yugoslavia was an artifical construct that was based upon the supression of non-Serbs and only worked as long as Tito survived.

ew days ago, this was final verdict and conclusion of court in Hague. I was shocked that they were able for that final act of truth.

Of course, the Serbian leadership was also (or would have been in the case of Milosovic) been convicted for the same reasons. With the added problem that Serbs are responsible for the worst atrocities (Srebrenica) and later continued to commit crimes e.g. with Kosovo.

Both sides proved the savage and backward nature of the Balkans, but at least Croatia managed to turn around and their actions can be partly excused as the inevitable consequences of war.
Tacitus   
19 Jan 2018
Off-Topic / Is anyone in Poland planning a trip in Croatia? [26]

In fairness, it's not quite true. Croats were guilty of crimes too, especially in Bosnia, but there were also war crimes committed before and during Operation Storm.

Yes, they commited crimes too, but the worst one were not done by them, and most importantly, they had the right and history on their side. The break-up of Yugoslavia was inevitable, and what Belgrade did was wrong on every level. I am not painting Croatia and Co. as saints, but their motivation was understandable and my post was a response to the grotesque lies written by Crow.

Nobody would deny that the Allies did their fair share of atrocities, yet nobody would be taken seriously if he claimed that the Allies were the evil ones and the Axis power acted in legitimate self-defence to protect the world against Communis,/Jews (as e.g. Nazi-Germany did).
Tacitus   
19 Jan 2018
Off-Topic / Is anyone in Poland planning a trip in Croatia? [26]

I hope you do not expect anyone to read your ramblings. Just clarify, Slovenia's relations with Germany are very close, and Germany is not involved in the dispute between Slovenia and Croatia.

Also you may stop trying to paint Croatia and others as the evil. Everybody outside Serbia knows that Serbia was the villain in this conflict, and eventually Serbians will acknowledge this as well.
Tacitus   
18 Jan 2018
Off-Topic / Is anyone in Poland planning a trip in Croatia? [26]

And how is Croatia's foreign policy related to the question in the first post. I spend my holidays twice in Croatia (during the last 5 years, and I never had any trouble there, the people were very kind.

Btw the reason why Slovenia probably "mistrusts" Croatia is because of a territory dispute, not because of its foreign alliance. Because Slovenia has been a staunch ally of Berlin during the last years, particulary during the Euro crisis.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Croatia%E2%80%93Slovenia_border_disputes
Tacitus   
18 Jan 2018
News / Abortion still under control in Poland [2971]

Yes exactly, that is what I have been saying and no-one should have the right to play God.

That analogy would only work if people would adhere to it completely, which means that no one would interfere with the fate of those children at all. Yet children born with physical effects are not simply left to die, but thanks to modern medicine live a lot longer than if they'd receive no care. However this can also lead to a prolonging of suffering and children, who might not even have survived birth are now left to suffer perhaps for years or possibly decades.

If a system that can afford to pay 100 of 1000 prisoners not to mention other groups it can hardly be broken by very few children that would be born with a need of life long support.

Prisoners are usally relatively cheap, since they live in large facilities that are often cost-effective and require not much work from individual workers. That is why it is e.g. cheaper in the USA to send someone to life in prison than to execute him, because the bureaucratic and legal process for the death penalty is way more expensive. And nevermind that there is no alternative to having prisons since you can't execute everyone who breaks the law (and even then you would need a prison to house them).

The same counts for the care of disabled children. Intensive care for a child (e.g. for those who need machines et. al to life) costs easily for than sending someone to prison for decades. And those who live longer and require not so much medical help, the expenses are still significant. E.g. if they go to a special school, they'll need trained personal, and they might not be able to earn their money for their entire life. So in short, another myth busted.

@Atch

, that child when it becomes an adult, stroking its head and wiping the saliva from its face.

That is precisely the problem. People might have some patience with a mentally disabled person, e.g. when he does something stupid in public, but once he becomes an adult that changes- The disabled child I knew never understood the concept of "paying" for something, so whenever he was hungry he went to a supermarket, took something and left. As long as he was a child, the supermarket had patience with him and simply sent the bill to his parents. But once he was above a certain age, they started calling the police and eventually banned him from entering the supermarket, something he did not understand either. The person in question was otherwise very kind and nother caused others trouble, but this was a real problem, because we lived in a small village with not much options.His parents eventually bribed the owner to still let him in, because otherwise he would not be able to go on a small walk unsupervised, but this would not be an option for family with small income.
Tacitus   
15 Jan 2018
News / Abortion still under control in Poland [2971]

Raising children is usually an economic burden since the times when those children provided for their parents in old age are usually over in Europe (there are of course children who provide for their parents in old age, but this is not obligatory and depends heavily on choices the parents have no control over, e.g. how many children their child get themself).

Raising mentally or physically impaired children can be very taxing, physically, mentally and economically. Parents will devote their money and time possibly for the end of their lives for their child. It seems only fair that if the government would decide to ban abortions, it would make sure that those parents get as much help as possible.
Tacitus   
15 Jan 2018
History / WWII - who really was the first to help Poland? [901]

Not because they were genuine pacifists.

They were not pacifist, but most Americans wanted to stay out of what they considered an European affair. No country had declared war on the USA, no American terrority was attacked, so this line of thinking had merit. The influence of the German-Americans was neglible, and had declined since WWI (and even then it was not great enough to keep the USA out of WWI).

No possible pleading Churchill could have done would have swayed the American public.
Tacitus   
15 Jan 2018
History / WWII - who really was the first to help Poland? [901]

Not to mention that the USA had no army to speak of in 1939 that could have helped Poland, or that the American public was overwhelmingly opposed to join the war.
Tacitus   
15 Jan 2018
History / WWII - who really was the first to help Poland? [901]

@Dirk diggler

HAHHAHAH GERMANY HAS NO TERRORISM PROBLEMS?!

No, Germany does not have a terrorism problem, at least not a significant one. Less than 18 Germans have been killed in Islamic terorist attacks since 2001, which means less than one German per year. So terrorism is under control , only fools would exaggerate the threat here. There have been car crashes that killed more people in 2017 alone.

businessinsider.de/ap-german-police-say-31-injured-when-bus-burns-after-crash-2017-7?r=US&IR=T

1000 women groped in Cologne never happened,

That was not a terrorist attack. Nor is it relevant any longer, since measures have been taken that will prevent such incidents in the future (mostly by putting restrictions on North African migrants).

Politically stable only in the sense that AfD is taking more and more seats from the lefties and cuckservatives.

We shall see, the AfD lost votes in the last regional election in Lower Saxony in October 2017 and they are still a small minority. Unlike the USA, the far-right is stil far away from the government.

Merkel can't even form a coalition and 50% of Germans want her out.

And 50% want her to stay, which is more than the guy in the White House currently has. Forming a government can take time, but there will be a new one eventually, with or without Merkel, but certainly without the AfD. The heavily federalized nature of Germany means that the absence of a new government is hardly felt anyway so far.

The various van, truck, ak-47 assaults, explosions, etc. never occurred.

There has been no ak-47 incident in Germany, and as pointed out above, all of those incidents claimed the life of only a few Germans. Terrorism was a bigger problem in the 70s and 80s than it is now, and the biggest favour you can do to the terrorists is exaggerating the threat, just like the USA did after 9/11.

So in short, Germany is politically stable, and the refugee crisis is far from the dominating subject it was one year ago, since the number of arrivals have decreased and measures have been taken to prevent further incidents. I know that Breitbart and other media love to paint the picture of Germany in disarray, but this is simply ludicrous.

Germany is currently one of the most prosperous nations in the world, with a growing econmy and historical low unemployment and with overall less votes for right-wing parties than in basically the entire Western world. You view of Germany is based on lies and exaggerations, please stop commenting on things you have obviously no idea of.

Furthermore your ideas about British help for Poland are ludicrous. Not even modern planes could do that even if they had been allowed safe passage from Germany to Poland (so this is no option for a potential conflict with Russia in the future), let alone back then. Even today, most logistics for a conflict of this size would have to be sent by train of cars, there is no way the UK could have made a meaningful contribution to Poland this way.
Tacitus   
15 Jan 2018
History / WWII - who really was the first to help Poland? [901]

@Dirk diggler

Britain didnt have its soldiers, pilots, marines etc on polish land fighting against the nazis.

Not that this was in any way realistic, how should those soldiers entered Poland in the first place after the war broke out?

Now their political and social stability is under grave threat due to terrorism and the migrant crisis

You might be confusing the USA with Germany here. Germany is politically stable, as well as socially. And terrorism is not a problem here either, in the great scale of things. There have been mass shootings in the USA that killed several times the number of people who died due to terrorism in Germany.
Tacitus   
14 Jan 2018
News / Abortion still under control in Poland [2971]

The question that interests me most is whether the Polish governments intents to help those parents who (arrcording to the proposal) would be obliged to raise a (mentally or physically) heavily disabled child?

Because raising a such a child is an immense burden, no reason to sugarcoat it. Not to mention that - depending on the condition of the person in question - it might be dependable on outside assistance for the rest of its' life.

There used to live a mentally disabled person a few streets away from my house, who was cared for by his already old parents. He was a nice, cheerful person, and when I talked with his parents a few times it became clear that they loved him very much. But he could be very taxing, and it probably only worked so well because his parents were relatively wealthy. A single mother who would have to work would be hopelessly overstrained with this. If the Polish governments intents to go through with this proposal, they better make sure that there are enough places in schools for those children, and that the parents received appropiate assistance.
Tacitus   
13 Jan 2018
News / Is this the first clear and open signal that Poland makes preparations for war with Russia? [163]

It is just interesting how you can write so much Nonsense when a quick Wikipedia search reveals that you are writing utter bs. (And yes, Wikipedia is not the best source, but they are reliable when it comes to basic data like this.)

wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Croatia

Nothing of what you are writing is true. Are making those numbers up as you go? You are just so amusing. Dreaming that your tiny, irrelevant country could do anything of significance is just so funny, let alone expand. Sorry, but the days when Serbia could set the Balkans on fire are over.
Tacitus   
13 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

I am simply interested what kind of motiv those who believe in foul play suspect. This tragedy does not get much coverage in Germany anymore, but there must be a discussion on Poland about possible motives.
Tacitus   
13 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

What? Who cares?

If you are investigating a murder, you usually look for a motiv. This is even more important if you suspect a political assasination.

@Crow

coming to number of more then 10 million.

10 million would still be insignificant if we are talking about a potential conflict between Russia and Poland. Not that what you are writing here has any claim to reality anyway. Serbia has no strategic value to Poland

Catholic, neither Orthodox Serbs are satisfied and wants to separate from Croats

Even if that were true, there are less than 200k Serbs in Croatia. They are no threat to Croatia|s stabilitz. Besides Croatia is in Nato, and Serbia is not Russia.
Tacitus   
11 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

, He stopped Germany and Putin from building north stream 2 -

No, he didn't. To my knowledge, the project is still going forward. I have found no article stating that this project is cancelled.

Well, in reality Merkel has much closer ties than Trump.

There is no greater adversary to Putin in the Western world than Merkel. She used to be sceptical of him even in the early 2000s when a lot of people still had false expectations of Russia and Putin. They never got along, and all of their personal meetings were frosty at best.

Nah.. could be beneficial in the long run.

Yes, very benefical. Being diplomatically isolated between the EU and Russia, losing a lot of money and the economic damage of leaving the Common market. Sounds very attractive to me.
Tacitus   
10 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

@G (undercover)

Just like Duda was going to lose, PiS was going to lose, Trump was going to lose etc. etc.

I remember that German media predicted both Duda's and PiS victory, so I doubt those were particular upsetting victories. Besides I was merely trying to present the case from a Russian point of view, it just doesn't seem worth the risk in this case to pull a stunt like this. But like I said, I am genuily interested in knowing what kind of motives are suspected here.

Huh ? Trump has been much more "hawkish" on Russia than Obama ever was !

How so?

Because basically all you write here is like taken word by word from the German mainstream media.

I am reading a wide range of German media. I just draw the line when it becomes openly manipulative.

@Crow

After damage of 200 mlrd US dollars in NATO bombardement,

Deduce one 0 and you'd be closer to the truth.

You know that, don`t you? It was back in 1999 and in those years when NATO and EU actively worked with Islamic league on remodeling of borders in South-Eastern Europe.

You mean the days when Serbia proved all prejudices against the "savage" Balkans right and went on its' genocidal rampage? Honestly, the rest of your post is just as ridiculous. I mean, do you really believe this ridiculous stuff? Serbia as a main destination for foreign investment? Am equilibrium between Poland and Russia?

Serbia has a fraction of the population of Poland, let alone Russia, no common border with Poland, not even a harbour from which it could send aid to Poland if needed. You have nothing to offer Poland in terms of security, even disregarding the insignificant army you have.

And nobody intents to move against Serbia. It is Serbia that wants to move to Western Europe and become part of the EU. Thankfully the EU has now increased its' conditions for membership, because we really don't need yet another underdevolped country in the EU.
Tacitus   
10 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

With the support from the American citizens and our new President our mutual interests will continue to prosper for years to come:)

And where do those supposed "mutual interests" lie?

Poland regards Russia as its' main threat to security. Trump on the other hand has little concern for Russia's threat to Europe.

Poland wants Europe and the USA to remain tough on Russia regarding the Ukraine. Trump had to be strong-armed by his Congress to not make any concessions towards Russia, and has been diplomatic inactive on this issue. Not to mention that he had to be told by Merkel just why the Ukraine is important, and what has happened there. This is certainly nothing high on Trumps' agenda-

Poland is vasly benefiting from its' EU-membership, which is supported by a clear majority. Trump has repeatedly voiced his intention to weaken the EU. He wanted to negotiate trade deals with each EU member individually, knowing that it would be easier for the USA to get a one-sided deal that way.

Poland wants a deal with the UK on Brexit that secures the rights' of its citizen working abroad, or in short, concessions. Trump stated that he wanted to support London, which would have made it more difficiult for the EU to remain commited to the rights of movement.

Poland deems the Nato as essential for its' security. Trump has stated that he considers the Nato of no great importance for the USA.

In short, Poland has nothing to gain from Trump as president and a lot to lose. If it wasn't for the skilled diplomacy of Angela Merkel, (and others) who pointed out that the USA could not negotiate a trade deal with every EU member individually, things could have been very bad for Poland.

telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/22/donald-trump-ready-do-trade-deal-eu-ahead-uk
Tacitus   
10 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

Genuine question here: What reasons could have Russia possibly have had for shooting down that plane? The president had low approval ratings and was likely to lose the next election anyway, and Poland's foreign policy towards Russia did not change at all. The Russians must have known that relations with Poland could not have possibly improved after this, even if their involvement remained a secrecy. And the possible fall-out of such an action if it became known is so infintely worse than any possible advantage they would have gained.
Tacitus   
9 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

Its been a year and still nothing, nada, zilch, keep dreaming snowflake!

It takes time for a president to get impeached. They needed 2 years for Nixon after the discovery of the Watergate-Scandal, as of right now, the noose is tightening around Trump.

Try spinning the fake dossier some more, now that collusion and his mental state conspiracy theories are being debunked.

How are they "debunked"? Everything we learn just makes the case even more damning.
Tacitus   
9 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

Geo-strategy in Europe changed and don`t depend on USA crucially

If you want protection against Russia, which Poland desperately does, you need the USA and this won't change for the next few years.

Strengthening of Serbia doing more positive things then you may even imagine.

Serbia is a tiny, poor and - outside of the Balkans - irrelevant country. You have 7m people, ranking 30th in Europe per GDP.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_in_Europe_by_GDP_(nominal)
You have very little to offer to Poland.

@gumishu

I think you are the one who is either joking or ignorant.
Tacitus   
9 Jan 2018
News / Poland in the European Union. Polexit? [559]

Whatever you might think about Trump, it is obvious that him being president is very harmful and potentially fatal for Poland's interest. It is a fact that he has no knowledge about Eastern Europe, or a deeper understanding of perhaps Poland's greatest foreign political concern, the crisis in the Ukraine.

businessinsider.de/the-white-house-called-this-trump-angela-merkel-exchange-humiliating-2017-12?r=US&IR=T

During one of Trump and Merkel's first phone calls, Merkel reportedly had to explain the history of Ukraine to Trump, who was said to be unaware of the country's importance in trans-Atlantic relations.

Not to mention his dubious ties with Putin and Russia. It is also apparant that those who cheer for this guy have (just like him) no understanding of how the EU works and why leaving the EU would catastrophic for Poland. Even disregarding the tremendous economic fall-out of this decision, what exactly would Poland gain by this? It would be left isolated against the influence of Russia, with no strong alliance to counter it. Nato will lose significance as the American pivot to Asia continues and European defence agreements within the EU intensify.

I mean sure, if Poland suddenly decides that it wants to be subservient to Russia than this might work out, but otherwise Polexit would be utter stupidity.
Tacitus   
5 Jan 2018
News / Americans incite hatred towards Russia in Polish media [75]

The first sentence already made me stop. Calling the games in Sotchi "highly succesful" when we know today that Russia organized the doping of ifs' athletes on an unprecedented level shows what kind of writer this Steven Cohen is.
Tacitus   
4 Jan 2018
News / Americans incite hatred towards Russia in Polish media [75]

The most powerful politician in Poland believes a conspiracy theory that Russia had his brother assassinated and you believe that it is Western propaganda that is trying to drive a wedge between Poland and Russia?
Tacitus   
3 Jan 2018
Life / Health system in Poland one of the worst in Europe: report [78]

As someone who doesn't live in Poland, I can obviously not claim first-hand knowledge about this topic. However I do know that a large number of Polish doctors have migrated to Germany because of better working conditions which not only includes wages.

Which is of course great for Germany, but surely not for Poland. So Polish officials should think about how to stop this trend, and claiming that everything is "fine" is surely the worst way to proceed.