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Posts by Tlum  

Joined: 20 Feb 2007 / Male ♂
Warnings: 1 - O
Last Post: 14 hrs ago
Threads: Total: 12 / Live: 5 / Archived: 7
Posts: Total: 305 / Live: 183 / Archived: 122
From: Polands
Speaks Polish?: tak jest
Interests: varies

Displayed posts: 188 / page 1 of 7
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Tlum   
14 hrs ago
Off-Topic / USA News and Poland - part 14 [510]

So Trump's goal with 25% tariffs is to bring auto production to the US. Ok, let's assume Germans build new Volkswagen factories in two or three years (hopefully Trump is not gone by then). Then they have to hire US workers that charge 200-300% more than the same workers in Mexico. The end result - VW car is made in the US, but it will cost 25% more to buy than today.

1. Would US customers buy a car that costs 25% more than today? How can they afford it; would Trump pay them the collected tariffs?

2. Would Germans risk building a factory knowing that buyers cannot afford their new prices?

At best, it is a net-zero game. The government gets the tariffs, but the American people will be forced to pay more for the same.

In the meantime, US auto manufacturers would raise prices on their US-made cars because they may still be cheaper than foreign cars made in the US. Again, US consumers are forced to pay more for the same and have less choices.

To summarize, it is 30-40 years too late to think about bringing manufacturing back home. It is not going to work because the final cost of production in the US will always be substantially more than overseas, which kills the purpose.

What's next - bringing back the cotton-growing industry to the US? A $40 US-made cotton T-shirt versus a $5 global price? Trump himself and his economic advisors are clueless about how the economy works today. It is not what used to be in the 1960's - it's a completely new / globalized animal.
Tlum   
1 day ago
Off-Topic / USA News and Poland - part 14 [510]

I used to like Vance when I didn't know much about him. But the more I do, I don't think he is the next president material. As a typical American, he has very limited knowledge about the history of the world and societies in general (could compete with Kamala on that). Without this, he cannot succeed. Trump is much smarter about that, maybe because of his age and experience.

Vance vs Bear
Tlum   
24 Mar 2025
News / Nukes and Poland's Neutrality [99]

For your education on "nuclear weapons" (aka glorified dynamites): rumble.com/v6q5s2w-nuclear-weapons-do-not-exist.html

Poland would pay billions for dynamites they can manufacture on their own starting tomorrow?
Tlum   
24 Mar 2025
Off-Topic / JR Jim and Jerzy/Pawian. [16]

It's true that trolling and insulting have subsided and I hope it continues this way. On the other hand, they are a part of our family. We cannot remove them from our virtual lives. If they make a mistake, they receive a punishment that they may or may not deserve, and I hope they return changed for the better. One should not cast stones at others, as we are also sinners.
Tlum   
22 Mar 2025
News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 20 [1536]

... and I hope they won't let the door hit them on their way out.

.. and also hope that countries like Poland, Hungary, Czech, and others will say "No" to EU's belt tightening in return for a 15% military spending.

Russia in particular is not interested in any long term alliance/deal with the West

Trump/US doesn't care about alliance either, as long as they can sell stuff and make money. It's about business for the US.

even if we pay 10%.

Have you heard about a new banking regulation that is going to allow any EU-bank to take bank deposits from private citizens? When there is a military "emergency" that's going to happen.
Tlum   
22 Mar 2025
News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 20 [1536]

Three of the world's five major arms manufacturing countries are in Europe, so not really.

It's not about production (Vietnam manufactures a lot of high-tech stuff but they don't own the designs and patents). When NATO doesn't exist, there will be no manufacturing of US-designed equipment, unless the EU pays a lot using their IP and designs.

Why would any sane country buy something with probably kill switches installed?

They can pay more and disable the kill switch, no problem.
Tlum   
22 Mar 2025
News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 20 [1536]

Trump's/US long term position may be this:

1. If Europe doesn't quickly agree to pay at least 5% for NATO, the US will withdraw (which means NATO will cease to exist).

2. If NATO doesn't exist, Trump/US will become close to Russia for economic reasons (the US wants to export to them as much stuff as possible). It will make Russia even stronger and will force the EU to spend more and more money on their own military systems. In result, people in the EU will be worse off since any extra money will be spent on military defense.

3. The US will continue expanding and modernizing their military abilities in the hopes the EU will keep buying arms from them (Poland surely will). It's a win-win for Trump/US because for the EU it will still be cheaper to buy from the US than to build their own.

In my view, the best long term strategy for the EU would be to pay 5% for NATO protection and for keeping Russia away from close US-Russia economic ties. But I'm afraid the EU will try to do it their own way by trying to build a new Euro-NATO, which would mean way more than a 5% budget (probably closer to 15%) to be spent on defense.
Tlum   
20 Mar 2025
Food / Best kielbasa to use for Bigos. [22]

Sure, you put it with the skin and it's probably the best part if the quality of the sausage is good. Don't forget about garlic and other spices :
Tlum   
20 Mar 2025
Travel / Poland in photo riddles - part 3 [674]

@Paulina Maybe someone drove into a fresh cement road and they're trying to remove/save the car.
Tlum   
20 Mar 2025
Food / Best kielbasa to use for Bigos. [22]

I'd say kielbasa zwyczajna? Definitely, don't use parówki/wieners sausage. Many Polish cooks add pork (in addition to bacon) too.


  • Kielbasa zwyczajna
Tlum   
19 Mar 2025
Off-Topic / USA News and Poland - part 14 [510]

The problem is that when a judge is appointed by a democrat president, it's almost a given he/she will vote against a republican president's case, and vice versa. It suggests judges are not impartial and corrupted by default. The US must do something about that.
Tlum   
19 Mar 2025
Off-Topic / USA News and Poland - part 14 [510]

If an unelected official / judge can revert the acting president's decision on anything, this is a very confusing and inefficient legal system.
Tlum   
19 Mar 2025
Law / Polish Permanent Residence (want to start a life in Poland) [13]

They don't specifically require that you earn money in Poland (I think). They just want to make sure you have regular income. These days, millions of people work online as independent contractors for companies located outside their country of residence. I don't think they would have a problem with your regular income originating in the UK as long as you pay taxes on this income in Poland.

At worse, you may set up a sole proprietorship and pay yourself as an independent contractor and receive payments from your UK bank to your Polish bank, but I doubt that would be necessary.
Tlum   
18 Mar 2025
Life / Is Poland hostile to supporting families and stay united? DNA test. [11]

establish paternity based on OTHER factors besides a DNA test

No - because the judge can be 50% of more times wrong and the defendant could easily prove it in the future. Who needs a judge who has been proven more than not to be wrong? For example, your enemy or a girlfriend can give a judge a screenshot of your claims that you slept with her and that you may be the father. She may even have a video recording of you saying that. But in a civilized country, it is absolutely no proof because in a month you may get the child's hair, poop, or saliva and bring the DNA 100% evidence to court that the judge was wrong. The case would have to be overturned. So judging based on rumors would be dismissed in court.

Still, I advise you to get married if you want to have sex and focus on lifetime commitment.
Tlum   
17 Mar 2025
Life / Is Poland hostile to supporting families and stay united? DNA test. [11]

I understand it would be the mother claiming you may be the father. For example, she may want you to pay alimony claiming you are the father. Then you tell her or a judge - "I have no problem paying alimony as long as I do paternity test." If they agree, you are covered. If they don't agree, you are covered too because legally you cannot become a father without a proof, especially that you want to have a proof. I don't see much problem with that.
Tlum   
17 Mar 2025
Life / Is Poland hostile to supporting families and stay united? DNA test. [11]

"Private paternity tests, depending on the laboratory, cost from around PLN 600-700 to even PLN 2,000. The average price of a high-quality DNA test for private purposes is around PLN 1,300-1,500."

So I would get such a private paternity test and then you are fully covered, stress-free. You cannot force the other person to behave in a certain way, but when you have 100% proof you are not the father, they can do nothing about it and you are free of your worries.
Tlum   
17 Mar 2025
Life / Is Poland hostile to supporting families and stay united? DNA test. [11]

I haven't looked into the laws, but a quick overview suggests that you cannot be forced to admit that you are a father without sufficient evidence. If I was you, I would definitely not sign a birth certificate unless DNA test is performed. You can always say that you have no problem signing the document, but need time to make sure you are the father. That's the only way it can work in a civilized country like Poland, correct? :
Tlum   
17 Mar 2025
Life / Is Poland hostile to supporting families and stay united? DNA test. [11]

Yes, but what is your point or question? To me, when you add progressiveness to anything, it will destroy what's good if given enough time. I guess that's what's happening in Poland because people think that the best way is to stay in the middle and add this or that to spice things up.
Tlum   
7 Mar 2025
Off-Topic / USA News and Poland - part 14 [510]

Every DoJ lawyer knows that there is no jury anywhere in the US that would convict that slimy cvnt.

So you've just provided evidence that:

1. Trump was too stupid to know that.

AND / OR

2. Trump was slimy enough to lie about it on public rallies.

It's very possible that Trump knew about that and still chose to lie to his voters that he would "Lock her up." Same story with the border wall.

Voters need to keep Trump, Biden or whoever people in power in check. Why get mad at the facts that Trump voters were lied about these important matters that actually created the MAGA movement? Whom did Trump "lock up" other than some poor Hispanic or a bottom feeder?


Tlum   
7 Mar 2025
Off-Topic / USA News and Poland - part 14 [510]

Another report, another no action. Anybody other than a bottom feeder will go to jail after all these reports?

Remember the "Lock her up!" fiasco? It's all B.S. Trump will never touch his millionaire/billionaire buddies and may only try to fire bottom feeders / low-class workers and even with that he was denied by a judge.
Tlum   
6 Mar 2025
Off-Topic / USA News and Poland - part 14 [510]

The Trump's administration told Americans to start growing their own chicken to fight food / egg inflation. I personally like the idea, but I'm afraid that MAGA snowflakes hate it. Plus you cannot raise chicken in most places as city ordinances don't allow that.


Tlum   
24 Feb 2025
Off-Topic / Random Chat Thread [817]

[login to read]
Tlum   
24 Feb 2025
Genealogy / Birth Certificate for parent [4]

How about the church / cemetery records; they may lead you to the diseased persons' relatives. I'd also give another shot and talk to your aunts as they may be the only way to find out the facts.
Tlum   
16 Feb 2025
USA, Canada / Censorship and violation of 1st Amendment in US [147]

Name top three that are good for the US and then three that are bad.

Maybe you could name one that is good for at least 80% of the people who voted for Trump. Tariffs give people more inflation / higher prices and rare Earth minerals from Ukraine give people nothing.
Tlum   
16 Feb 2025
USA, Canada / Censorship and violation of 1st Amendment in US [147]

Were Bidenistas brainless?

They surely were. Both extremes tend to be brainless. I'm not for or against Trump; his actions / policies are what matters. If they are good for the people, I support him; otherwise, I don't. This is the only logical conclusion a thinking person may come to. Those who support him regardless of his actions lose the sight of the forest.

For now, this is the situation. We get a rotten carrot, they get the meat. MAGA crowd cheering to that is silly. It should be the other way around after they have been robbing us for so many decades.

We vs Them
Tlum   
16 Feb 2025
USA, Canada / Censorship and violation of 1st Amendment in US [147]

The media pumps meaningless sh*t that excites the brainless MAGA folks and robs Americans at the same time. Trump's "deals" only benefit a few billionaires and corporations.
Tlum   
16 Feb 2025
USA, Canada / Censorship and violation of 1st Amendment in US [147]

America needs big wins for the people, not for corporations. Banning a reporter or gay flag is meaningless for the working class. It only looks good on Fox news and is cheap entertainment for brainless MAGA folks. How is it going to help people pay their bills?

Who mows your yard or fixes your or your neighbor's roof for cheap? Immigrants. Trump's actions would make you pay much more for the same if immigrants are banned.

What would be the benefit for the American people if Ukraine gave the US 500 Billion worth of rare minerals? Who would benefit - you? Me? No - Bill Gates, Musk, Zuckenbergs and other capitalists. They would still pay 5% taxes as opposed to small businesses that pay up to 35%, with an average of 25%.

How about this - if Ukraine gives the US 500B worth of minerals, deduct 500B from the Social Security or other people taxes? Of course, Trump won't do it because it would help the little folks who voted for him. The only beneficiaries would be big corporations, again.

Look at the bigger picture - how Trump's actions are going to help regular Americans? For now, his actions only bring more inflation and more wealth to his billionaire buddies.
Tlum   
16 Feb 2025
USA, Canada / Censorship and violation of 1st Amendment in US [147]

Closing the border or draining the swamp are relevant matters, but banning a reporter or some flag or something like that shows weakness. Use your biggest power in important matters only.
Tlum   
16 Feb 2025
USA, Canada / Censorship and violation of 1st Amendment in US [147]

The more meaningless executive privileges Trump uses, the less relevant he will become and the more people will start not liking it. You've got the power, use it where it makes sense; otherwise, it shows your weakness.