History /
Warsaw Rising 1944 - National Disaster or Triumph of Spirit ? [515]
I think the decision to commence The Uprising when it did was more politically motivated than anything else. The Polish government in exile in London already knew that the Russians were disarming and killing AK members before the Red Army had got close to Russia, the Lublin Committee had been installed by Stalin on 22nd July and the only hope of political leverage on Polish soil was to liberate Warsaw. It was a gamble that failed and yes, it was a national catastrophe in terms of the outcome, the casualties, the destruction of the city and it left no credible opposition to Stalin's plans on Polish soil.
What would have happened if the AK had been successful in liberating Warsaw? I doubt the German High Command would have shrugged their shoulders and accepted the defeat, especially if the Red Army still showed no desire to cross the Vistula. Surely the end result would have been the same with the destruction of the city.
What if they had waited until the Red Army started their assault on the city? History shows that the Red Army were merciless in their artillery and aircraft bombing of any opposition and if the AK attacked the German positions in support of a Russian assault, who's to say that the political Commisars would not have ordered the shelling of AK positions as well as German ones? Whatever the strategy, it was a case of damned if they do and damned if they don't in terms of launching an uprising. I don't think Sikorski meant any insult towards those who took part when he said what he did but in truth that's what it was, it does not detract from the courage of those who took part nor does it dishonour their memory.