News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]


*nods*

That leads me back to my post from a few days back after the german election....Putin had quite a good and comfy running with 16 years of Merkel....but if Baerbock only keeps half of her political statements concerning Russia and China true we are in for a big change...but that was the opposition speaking, now she is part of the gov....we have to wait and see!

(One must'n also forget that the new Chancellor will be SPD Scholz...not Baerbock)


Na ja....from a german viewpoint....the russian gas had been always trustworthy....even during the high times of the Cold War the Russians always delivered! So, in many ways keeping that gas vault open was a sure, safe, pragmatic thing to do!

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]


That is clear.....but everything else is possible....for the good and the bad!


That was clear as day for power-pragmatist Merkel....but that would make our idealists in the new government look real bad....they will likely prefer to end that dependence!

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]

We don't know yet who will become Minister of defence...only that he/she will most likely placed by the SPD...

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]


Merkel will be gone soon....the cards will be newly shuffled in Berlin!

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]


Because Putin has still to many friends and supporters also in Brussels....politicians who still prefer "talks and trade" with Russia (Nordstream 2 anybody?) But that would all end after a real invasion of a peaceful foreign country!

(And this time it would be a real invasion....no framed "liberation" of homies)

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]


How will it help his power invading and ruling over an hostile country? Longterm that always ever meant loss....an unending strain on the resources and tanking of the international standing....I'm not even mentioning the economical price to pay.....the EU might have no army but an economically totally sanctioned Russia will be a poor Russia very soon. And the moment his disgruntled while suffering followers start to doubt the intelligence of Putin's decisions it's only a matter of time till he's gone....

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]


Yeah....and getting his country again isolated and treated like a pariah is his goal, you think?

He could and did book Crimea under "successes" because of the Russians there....as with the Sudetenland and Hitler....a felt huge injustice got straighened out.

But Ukraine? The Baltics? What beef have the common Russians there? How should war there help him? Don't forget the powerful russian oligarchy which wants to trade and to travel and enjoy the nice life in the West...


Only if the environment and the variables are the same (or at least still similiar).....but they aren't! The hot spots have moved away....new global player have come up....

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]


I doubt it....he is no Hitler....if something Putin has enough its territory and "Lebensraum".....and besides the Crimea there isn't anything else really disputed, or is there?


I really don't see the future default lines between Russia and the EU or anywhere in Europe for that matter. We had our time and that is history!

The real future wars will between China and allies and the West and allies.....and in that conflict all need to chip in or all will lose....geography won't save anybody then!

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]

...okay guys....come down all....there won't be any nuclear war in Europe....

Crimea was alot like the Sudetenland....the West hesitated to call Putin out on it because it always has been a disputed territory with most of the people living there not especially unhappy about coming back to Mother Russia.

But that was it! Any other land grabbing will not be disputed at all...

And economical sanctions and political isolation hurt alot more....you have seen it with Lukashenko. The only thing he will get out of it is making the EU rethink real high real stable outer borders!

PS: China wants to get back Taiwan, they will have their hands full with that soon too...

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]

Heh:) That's an idea.....

And it is actually not far from the truth! No migrant dreams of living in Germany to live a green life....they dream of fast, loud, stinky cars.....they want to buy lotsa nice things in our temples of consumerism, not caring if that stuff is "fair" produced by people with acceptable wages....they want to eat meat, at least three times a day without a thought for the animals......they don't care if the groceries are "wholesome" Bio....

Living "sustainable" in accordance with nature without to much CO2 and electricity and consumption, a life full of abstinence, they could also live in whatever backward sh*tholes they just left...but thats not what they want....to the contrary!

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]

A lot will hang on Germany's new totally inexperienced foreign minister Baerbock....she is no Merkel....I hope she will end Merkel's "diplomatic style" of shady backroom deals and "phone calls" with dictators over the heads of our neighbours....

Baerbock is still more european idealism and yet alot less Merkel-power-pragmatism....that will be interesting to watch...Putin will for sure like to test her mettle!

I hope she has a plan...

News / Will America send troops to fight a Russian invasion of Baltics and/or Poland? [283]


Erm....that would put me back again into their zone....I would not like that!

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]


Well....he showed the West how pissed off he is about those sanctions...that he did! :)

They must work, the EU would be stupid to end them now!


Congrats and THANK YOU Poland! :)


I read today that he offered to help them to go home but many said into the international cameras they don't even think about leaving....really awkward!

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]


No, you don't! You couldn't hurt a fly in real life....admit!

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]


Winter is coming....it gets colder by the day....I really really really wish they would go home now to avoid worse....and that Lukashenko lets them...

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]

Will he let these people there freeze to death?

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]

Could be!

It seems that the green politician Annalena Baerbock is set for the position of foreign minister (till now Heiko Maas). Beside that she has zero experience in any kind of important governmental job and isn't that close with telling (or writing) the truth generally, she is an outspoken adversary of Nord Stream 2 and not a friend of Putin at all.

Of course, being part of the government brings always some changes to some positions compared to the time in the opposition (Realpolitik!) but I could believe that Putin did put away the Champagne unopened as the news of this came out of Berlin yesterday...


politico.eu/article/baerbock-against-operating-permit-for-nord-stream-2/

...The green co-leader also believes that providing Nord Stream 2 with a regulatory approval would be contrary to European rules.The Nord Stream 2 AG company, which will own and operate the pipeline, is wholly owned by Russian giant Gazprom, which goes against the EU's gas directive. "As long as that is one and the same corporation, the operating permit must not be granted," Baerbock argues. ...

Could become interesting! :)

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]


....any news about the (a) wall?

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]

Heh:):):)
...and here I thought of posting that....but I didn't dare....:):):)

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]


Agreed...Lukashenko needs to know he can't play like that with Europe!


Definitely!


Well, it's your tanking life expectancy....

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]


Sure you do......deep inside you are a softhearted pussy....hidden by a brutal loudmouth! :)

You would never shoot at unarmed civilians, it would really kill all that upright and honorable, christian image Poles prefer to have....in your own eyes and especially in the eyes of the world....and that is ultra important!

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]

Well....if the shoe fits.....you are ready to shoot them, now you balk at such a rumour?

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]

Where is the difference to your hearsay?

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]


I have heard another story....some mother after 1,5 months in the forest mixed milk powder with mud water to feed it to her baby, knowing that the dirty water would kill it but she did it nonetheless, because her baby was so hungry....of course it died...

No links either...

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]


For what reason? That these poor sods want some of our cake too?

That might be annoying when you don't want to share but it is no crime...you would do the same in their shoes...scratch that, we did what they did as we were in their shoes! Our countries had been during most of our history also countries where people rather run away from, searching for better shores...all forgotten already? Imagine those better shores had killed us for looking for a better life!

I'm all for keeping those out who don't deserve asylum...but I still understand them...their are not criminals free to be murdered!

That's why in my opinion a high wall projected through the media into the last corner of this world ist the best solution in this dodgy situation where no real perfect solution will be found...

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]

Interesting.....it seems the discussion about support for EU outer borders is already decided!
Since 2020:

EU Agrees to Support Border Management & Common Visa Policy With €6.241 Billion Over Next 7 Years

schengenvisainfo.com/news/eu-agrees-to-support-border-management-common-visa-policy-with-e6-241-billion-over-next-7-years/

....In a meeting held on Thursday, December 10, the Parliament and the Council reached a political agreement on the border management fund for 2021-2027,worth 6.241 billion, in order to support strong and effective European integrated border management at the external borders.

The same funds will also be used to ensure a harmonised approach for issuing visas and to facilitate legitimate travel, with 10 per cent of the total fund set to be earmarked for visa policy in national programmes upon the insisting of the MEPs present in the meeting....

There should be enough money to build high walls....

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]

They are leaving! An empty camp near Bruzgi - Kuznica



welt.de/politik/ausland/article235148442/Belarus-Grenze-Fotos-zeigen-leeres-Camp-Hunderte-Migranten-verlassen-Grenzstreifen.html

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]

What Merkel did makes also alot of Germans unhappy!
Interior minister Seehofer felt the need to repeat that she has not made some secret business with the dictators and no, Germany won't take anybody in and yes, Germany stands for sure at the side of Poland!

spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/bundesregierung-will-keine-gefluechteten-aus-belarus-aufnehmen-a-fa8a6fea-2ef3-474b-a643-52f104eac99b

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]


Hopefully....

News / What should Poland do with the problem of Belarus? [1800]

I wish she would stop that "trading" over our neighbours heads....