News /
Israel opposing potential new Polish law to criminalise term 'Polish death camps' [1539]
I agree, many of the PiS base are already disgruntled over Macierewicz and Szydlo, and are becoming more and more upset with Duda
The problem for those supporters is - where do they go? Establishing a new party outside PiS will just ensure that the opposition wins, so even if they're becoming disgruntled, there's no real alternative for them. Korwinists won't accept their pro-welfare stance, and Kukiz is a mess of ideologies and pathologies.
It's the worst possible scenario, although strangely, if they can be trusted, most polls still have them as leading comfortably.
It really is a strange miscalculation by PiS. They're normally quite good at judging the political impact of laws, but this damaged them without any sort of benefit. It's pushing away the crucial centre ground, while they had nearly nothing to gain from the right side of politics anyway.
I think for many on the soft right in Poland, they don't really have much of a choice with PiS. If they give their vote to an alternative party, PiS will lose, or even worse, they'll have to deal with inexperienced and unpredictable Kukiz / Korwin, who will hurt the government in the same way that Lepper did in 2005-2007.
Either way, agreed on the nationalists number. Their number is wildly over estimated by nationalists and others alike for political purposes, and the real number is probably, at most, 100,000. The idea of 10% of voters being fascists is laughable, though it's wise not to deny that there are elements of fascism that appeal to voters. Poland is hardly unique in this though.
