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What Poland has with USA global schemes? [32]
OK, the US will jump to Poland's rescue in the event of a Russian attack, but the damage will already have been done. I don't think it will come to that.
I don't think that the possibility of a real open attack is even being taken under consideration. Not in today’s day and age. Russia may use it's force with impunity against Georgia or other countries from Caucasus, but Poland has rooted itself too much in consciousness of the western world in the last 20 years to be attacked without any consequences for Russia on the international scene.
Signing the anti-missile deal is just a logical prolongation of Polish foreign politics after regaining independence in 1989. All the people who say that Russia of today is a totally different country that it used to be prior to 89' forget that the dismantling of the USSR wasn't an outcome of some mental revolution among the soviet political elites but rather a pragmatic step to rescue what was left from that giant on clay feet CCCP was. It was a necessity.
Polish political elites were perfectly aware of that it doesn't have to be the end and that once Russia gets back on it's feet it may want to get back at former status quo. Thus it's primary objective in this new situation was to establish as closed knit relationship with another major player on the international stage as it is possible. Putting elements of anti-missile shield on polish soil is just that. The anti missile base won't be able to protect Poland from Russian missiles per see. Nor is it it's purpose to do so. It will just serve as a deterrent.
Russia attacking such a close American ally would force usa to react, as doing nothing would be a major blow for Americas international prestige, which loosing they cant risk. Just like Russia can't risk engaging an open conflict with USA. From that conflict none of them would benefit and the real winner would be China.
Ohh to make a long story short. Although the cold war ended America never stopped to try to permantly strip Russia of it’s “spheres of influence”, whether it was in Yugoslavia or helping former soviet satellites in central and eastern Europe to join NATO. Georgia and Poland seems to be another episodes of that story. The final punch would be taking Ukraine once and for all from Russia’s influence. Russia without Ukraine could never dream of reestablishing it’s position of a major player on an international political arena and a primary thread to the interests of US of A.
Putin openly admitted that the collapse of CCCP was in his eyes the most tragic event in the XXth century and he will continue to try to reestablish Russia’s influence in the regions that once were “closely linked” with CCCP obviously with a vocal disapproval of the countries concerned. ;)