Oops, didn't mean to post that. Mods, can you delete that post please?
But then, let's remind ourselves the high horse off which former president Bronisław Komorowski fell
There are some interesting signs coming from polls, such as that Duda is losing ground among young people to Bosak in large provincial towns. There's still not enough data to tell, but I think Bosak's electorate may well end up deciding things in the 2nd round. I'd expect a hard pitch to the right by Duda between the 1st and 2nd rounds to try and convince them of his merits.
One key thing - apparently voters in Silesia are really, really upset with being blamed by the government for the coronavirus situation. We all know how tribal they are...
Still, I believe that Duda has a 3-4% advantage right now in the 2nd round. He has the benefit of being the incumbent, as well as having the support of the government.
I dont think for one second the polls are accurate
Don't be too surprised by the Polish ability to shoot themselves in the foot ;)
Sorry for the double posting Mods, but I wanted to add this:
The survey that I posted in post #970 has been adjusted to only count decided voters, and: