The fact is that Poland won in an international arbitration court in Stockholm.
Now Russia's got two choices: to pay and end this case or not to pay and create precedence. A precedence which will be used against them in the future not only by Poland by anyone else who deals with them. Gazprom will also show how unreliable as a partner they are, that's hardly what they need right now under American sanctions over NS2.
This way or another Poland will still take back that money at the end. It can be deducted from the last payment at the end gas contract with gazprom which ends in 2022.
But I believe gazproim will pay that fine, after a traditional (for Russia) period of psychological games. Yes, they are unpredictable and they like to use gas as a political weapon but at the end of the day they realize that they're just a huge, armed pertol station for Europe. And they're only singnificant source of income comes from selling gas and oil and crude minerals to more developed countries.
Now Russia's got two choices: to pay and end this case or not to pay and create precedence. A precedence which will be used against them in the future not only by Poland by anyone else who deals with them. Gazprom will also show how unreliable as a partner they are, that's hardly what they need right now under American sanctions over NS2.
This way or another Poland will still take back that money at the end. It can be deducted from the last payment at the end gas contract with gazprom which ends in 2022.
But I believe gazproim will pay that fine, after a traditional (for Russia) period of psychological games. Yes, they are unpredictable and they like to use gas as a political weapon but at the end of the day they realize that they're just a huge, armed pertol station for Europe. And they're only singnificant source of income comes from selling gas and oil and crude minerals to more developed countries.