If Russia agrees to this, Russia is insane or Putin is a CIA agent.
Nah, I think it's a nothing burger.
If the war is seen as "solved" for the next half century, or century - there's a snowball's chance in hell that Europe and America will provide Ukraine with anything even remotely resembling the hundreds of billions of dollars of arms that they sent in the past three years.
This flood will slow to a trickle, as people remember their shrinking wallets and huge debt burdens.
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Regarding NATO - where is it gonna expand to?
Ukraine - they cannot take, because NATO has rules against admitting members with unresolved territorial disputes.
Finland and Sweden have already joined NATO.
Is NATO going to add Ireland, or Austria, or Switzerland? Doesn't bother us.
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On the other hand - we get de facto recognition of our conquests. A good 21% of Ukraine. A territory the size of Pennsylvania, or Mississippi, or Louisiana, or Ohio, or Tennessee - or the size of three Switzerlands.
This after three years of Zelensky and Biden promising to celebrate their victory on the beach in Crimea.
Crucially - we get a lifting of sanctions.
Our economy will explode with pent up energy. The stock market will skyrocket. Exports will boom.
Within some years, even Europe is supposed to reopen the pipelines (which makes it virtually impossible for them to fulfill their promise to Trump to buy $700B of American energy).
Instead of imploding under pressure, the economy will boom. Another triumph over Biden's and Scholz's assertion that they would bury us - and that our economy would be turned to rubble.
The booming economy will attract immigrants - which should fix the labor pool and demographic issues.
Adequate labor supply will slow the inflation spiral, which is fueled largely by uncontrollable wage growth.
Reopening of export markets will refresh Russian manufacturing - which has begun to grind to a halt after fully saturating the home market.
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Finally - no mention of reparations. I was afraid we might get hit with a $500 billion bill to rebuild Ukraine.
What I am guessing will happen, is that Europe will conclusively "steal" our money stored in Belgium and use that to rebuild Ukraine. That's fine - stolen money never brought anyone any joy. Karma will catch up with them one day.