Life / Energy - Poland [71]


So long as you are calling things by their name. This is not business, and don't expect others to view it as investable.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]

Ok. That means Polish coal producers are losing $140 on every ton mined in lost profit (this is probably in a context where the cost of extraction is also higher in Poland than it is in the largest exporting countries). In today's global market, these kind of artificial greenhouse conditions can only be sustained by the state. This doesn't come without a cost. That cost is subsidies. Who pays for these subsidies is the Polish retail and industrial consumer of energy.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]

@jon357
I meant incredible in its sheer amount. We're talking about modern Russia, which whatever you think about it has more industry, and its population uses more electrical appliances, than England 110 years ago. Russia is just a much larger country with a very large and coal hungry metallurgical industry, great demand for coal in thermal power generation, and then also a large exporter. It's one of the modern world's largest producers along with China, the US, and Australia. It's why I used it as a close example. Given that more than a 100 years have gone by since, it's incredible that what the UK did in 1913 can still even be compared. Shows how far ahead of the world it was at the time, and also how much was lost through WW1.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]


This doesn't always play out the way you say, as in America, for example, voters in their majority rewarded the politicians that promised to dismantle the coal industry. Despite the heartbreak and dislocation it entails, the people in their collective wisdom saw that the pain of a minority cannot threaten the wellbeing of the majority.

edit: reading Coal Mining in the United Kingdom wiki page now, and learning that UK coal production peaked in 1913 at 287 million tonnes. I find this absolutely incredible considering modern Russia mines something on the order of 400mm tonnes. Crazy props to the Brits!

Life / Energy - Poland [71]


I don't think we are, because questions of labor - as our discussion shows - are intrinsic to questions of energy and energy transitions. What happened to the UK, will inevitably have to happen to Poland. Therefore, we're on subject!

I appreciate the sentiment, but feel you are not giving yourself an honest account of the costs. It's not simply a few points of an increase on your tax bill, which you may be willing to suffer, but real lost opportunities. I actually googled a $ amount right now, it's for the period 2013-2018, and it's $8B that Poland had spent on direct subsidies and grants to the coal industry (including electrical price subsidies, because Poland pays outsize through EU carbon trading scheme). This number does not include the pensions which will have to funded unto the coal miner's death. Can you imagine what this amount of subsides could do in other parts of the country's budget like healthcare and education? Those same coal miners, instead of spending checks for increased consumption of consumer goods, will be receiving better healthcare and more opportunities to retrain. Thousands or tens of thousands of Poles could be sent to the best universities abroad with full scholarships from the Polish state, as many other countries in the world do. The infrastructure that is necessary for the future energy transition could start being built. Instead, Poland supports an enormous dying industry and makes commitments to pay for its workers decades ahead. The young deserve investment just as the old, if not more. I don't like to talk in platitudes like this, but you started.

I also want to make sure you understand I am not arguing against coal-powered generation, but only against mining and the miners. The coal is of higher quality and cheaper when imported from Russia, and supposedly on par when considering Australia or SA. Just as British miners spread out across the world after the death of mining in Britain, so will Polish engineers spread out across myriad sites around the world to share the experience gained over centuries of mining in Poland. Polish universities will continue to have great geology depts and produce great geologists and engineers.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]


Regardless of how efficient British coal mining was, or how good the quality of the coking and thermal coal produced, the burden of funding those pension schemes combined with the early retirement age was unparalleled when compared to other similar operations in other parts of the world. In other words, you are making my argument for me, because why would something be in need of constant support if it provides a higher quality product at a lower cost? Some crucial piece of the puzzle seems to be missing here.

I too am wary of an off-topic warning, so let me reiterate that Poland owes it coal miners only as much as it owes the members of any other industry which has become uneconomical to support - training and support in requalifying themselves for work in other sectors of the economy. I understand that for those over 45 this may be a tall order, and will mean that they will fall to the wayside of society. So be it. The money spent on supporting them in good status, is money that could go to a young engineer, or teacher in increased wages, and I hope there is no debate as to who is able to contribute more value to society - a retired coal miner, or a young teacher.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]

My point was that the miners' demands had made the entities they worked for fundamentally uneconomical. For what it's worth, most of the mines had closed on Atlee's, Macmillan's, and Wilson's watch - while Thatcher simply put that last nail in the coffin. It's not a Tory/Labor thing, but simply coal miner unions getting out of control, but perhaps I am revealing my prejudice here.

People around the world seem to romanticize coal workers, whether it's the UK in the 1970s, Ukraine and Poland now, or Appalachia in the United States. Why is it that this group of people deserves all the grants and subsidies over a metallurgist, merchant sailor, or oil rig operator whose lives are just as fraught with danger and disease, and whose contribution to our collective well being is not less?

Life / Energy - Poland [71]


...and you do not make the connection between this and the actions of the Grantham Vampire?

Life / Energy - Poland [71]


Well, it's hard to mine underwater (that is not to say this is not done).

Life / Energy - Poland [71]


It's a good thing if they can be replenished. Sometimes and in some places, the recovery rates can far exceed recharge rates. Another issue entirely, is making an entire aquifer unusable through its contamination. Negligent disposal of wastewater from coal mining operations can lead to this water penetrating into the water table. This water is highly acidic, and often contains heavy metals such as arsenic and lead. If this happens, it won't matter if it's recharging, since it will not be usable for any human activity.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]


You are correct. Those working on the face will have nothing to do at a hydro plant except perhaps pour the concrete during construction. A modern hydro plant operates practically without people, with the great majority of the people involved being high level professionals working at remote control sites.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]


There is groundwater everywhere, not just inside mines, and that reserve is a finite quantity that needs to be managed wisely. Once water is used, it needs to dumped or treated. This part of the process can "spoil" more water than was used in the direct extraction and processing stage through negligent disposal that contaminates waterways and subsoil aquifers.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]


You couldn't be more wrong - coal mining involves the use of colossal amounts of water. Here's a link:
sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S136481521000201X

TLDR: About a ton of water is needed to mine a ton of coal. In a typical operation, 250 liters of this would be freshwater, while the rest is recirculated. During the actual mining process water is needed to cool the cutting surfaces of mining equipment, and for preventing coal dust fires. During the processing stage water is again needed to manage coal dust as its crushed and ground. Often, the coal is then transported as a water-coal slurry by pipeline for final processing. Further amounts of water are needed for the general cooling and maintenance of equipment, as well as for providing the needs of the miners themselves.

Real Estate / Getting a mortgage loan with girlfriend [18]


I'm sure talking about how she may f*ck you in the future has really strengthened your relationship against future hardships. You sound like a swell fellow.

Language / Cultural disparities shown through Polish and English languages [86]


What is the point of your comments?

Off-Topic / Using Super Glue on a open wound/cut on the head [49]

@Cargo pants
What the actual f*ck? Tell this retard that sealing a wound that deep with store bought super glue will 100% lead to an infection. Any pocket of space that is left under the glue after this wonderful procedure will fill with fluid and get infected, if it is not already. Step one is to clean the wound thoroughly, then seal it. Super glue is not even close to being appropriate for a wound of that depth and width, in addition to being toxic and not sterile.

Life / Where do the wealthy class live in Warsaw? [32]


You get rich in Poland by excelling in education/sport/commerce, hard work, financial prudence, and favorable external conditions (i.e. luck) just like anywhere else in the world. These kind of questions really p!ss me off to no end. Just like Johnny Reb's troll question about what defines wealth for PF posters. It pissed me off so much I wanted to show him, using statistics, that there is a whole small-city's-worth of individuals in Poland that are far richer than his redneck standard of jet skis surrounded by "hardbodies".

People that think that successful Eastern Europeans, and poles specifically, all made their wealth through sex trafficking, money laundering, online fraud etc can all go and collectively f#ck themselves. Been dealing with this attitude from the western world's collective dregs (losers who don't get a "hello's"- worth of recognition at home in the west), who decided to descend on the East as some Wild West frontier beginning from the 1990s, and I find this tone worst than racist.

Life / Where do the wealthy class live in Warsaw? [32]

Not entirely on-topic, but this generational wealth accumulation idea is precisely the reason why the West should stop freaking out about China. Going by GDP numbers alone, it may seem to an observer that China is close to overtaking or has already overtaken the United States (if one goes by purchasing power rather than nominal dollar to dollar comparisons). But GDP is only a measure of output, not wealth. Aircraft carriers and nuclear submarines are paid for not with GDP but wealth. In this regard America is at least twice the size of China, and the lead is actually INCREASING. American national wealth in 2019 was approximately $118 trillion, whereas China's was $64 trillion. This lead was at least $12 trillion larger than in 2011.

China is still a very poor country, and will remain so for a long time. Building steel plants and aluminum smelters may look good in aggregate GDP numbers, but if they are not useful and productive they do not add to wealth.

Life / Where do the wealthy class live in Warsaw? [32]

The definition capgemini used is, as you said, inclusive of primary residence and not just liquid assets. I did not find any information for the $5-10MM+ cohort you mentioned, but I did find something for UNHNWis (Ultra High Net Worth Individual) in Poland from Credit Suisse for 2020. UNHNWis are defined as $30MM+. It appears that there are only about a thousand of them in Poland, whereas their number in the States is 100k. Basically there's a hundred times more of them. Hence, the absence of millionaire towns in Poland. I think this is just a function of time. Wealth is built over generations. World wars, revolutions, transitions between different economic systems has prevented Poles from accumulating.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]

Truly, there is an inverse relationship between the time people spend discussing a subject and it's complexity/importance. If it's another retarded discussion between JohnnyReb and Maf, it'll make a thread a 1,000 posts long. If it's something material to actual business life in Poland, or anything that matters to real people - opinions dry up. Some popular sociologist once created a model for this, based on an imagined example of discussions around the construction of a new nuclear power plant. The less intellectually taxing the discussion - the more opinions - since everyone wants to "contribute" with their two cents worth of ****, while the more complex it is the more deafening the silence.

Life / Energy - Poland [71]

One note - there is, at this time, no thorium fuel used in the commercial nuclear industry anywhere in the world.

Otherwise, you've answered a lot of the questions yourself here. My personal belief is that the West (at large), and Poland specifically, are being completely delusional at this moment in trying to completely diversify away from hydrocarbons. The weather over Poland means wind turbines and solar panels will never be able to cover 100% of needs, and that traditional generation will continue to have an important role in the overall energy mix. For this, investment needs to happen at an appropriate pace, but at the moment it seems the climate camp has the upper hand and western corporations are being shamed by governments and shareholders into scrapping exploration and extraction CAPEX. All this means is a shifting of power to Russia and the Middle East, where people still have enough common sense to continue developing these resources.

Life / The Pole, as an example of a perfect Russophobe, in a spherical vacuum [42]


What the hell man? I like that you think it's insulting to accuse Poles of Russophobia (I agree). However, I gave Poland more compliments than I did to Russia, and the purpose of my post was to show that there is in fact grudging respect. I didn't expect this, and was remarking on it. The original question was a joke to begin with - essentially are Polish people the ones that have the worst opinion of Russians amongst all the peoples of the world? I do think that the answer to this is affirmative. It's a curious fact, when you consider that there is an active Russian military presence in Ukraine, a frozen conflict in Moldova, similar issues in Georgia, etc, etc. I haven't recently checked opinion polls, but I remember that despite those issues sentiment regarding Russia remains split in those countries, while Poland is pretty monolithically anti-Russian.

Life / The Pole, as an example of a perfect Russophobe, in a spherical vacuum [42]


Seriously? I don't think you have to be biased against Poles to be able to state that they are generally dismissive of all things Russian. This is true across the political spectrum. You don't have to look for a Smolensk-conspiracy nut to find a Russophobe. This forum is good proof, that the perception of Russia is of a country that has zero to offer the world except oil and gas, political assassinations, and nuclear sabre rattling. The general sentiment is that Europe would do quite well if Russia just disappeared off the map.

Life / The Pole, as an example of a perfect Russophobe, in a spherical vacuum [42]

I read the article on Lurkmore.to

Here's a link for others interested: lurkmore.to/%D0%9F%D0%BE%D0%BB%D1%8F%D0%BA%D0%B8

I don't think Poles get an unfair treatment, all things being said. The article is written much more respectfully than those for some other nationalities. Specifically it treats honestly the periods when Poland was "on top", and acknowledges the fact of Poland's more ancient provenance - and this surprised me. Poland's relative geographic misfortune is also given a decent treatment. All in all, I think the article actually reveals some things about Russian attitudes towards Poland, which I was not aware of. In the same way that Poles are dismissive of all things Russian, I assumed it would be the same in the other direction. Instead, there seems to be a grudging respect to the "number 2" country in the Slavic world, with allowances for the fact that it was not always number 2. Very surprised!

Edit:

Response to Pawian: To my own regret - yes - I did imagine this scene in my mind. It made me laugh even harder.

Life / The Pole, as an example of a perfect Russophobe, in a spherical vacuum [42]

@pawian


Fortunately/unfortunately - one has not witnessed such a thing personally. But it's hard to say what happens behind closed doors.

Life / Who's the best looking (and acting/singing) celebrity in Poland? [32]

@pawian
What a beautiful man.

Language / How Polish sounds to other Slavs [32]


Yes, this could lead to some pretty unfortunate misunderstandings.

Language / How Polish sounds to other Slavs [32]

@Lyzko

Here's some funny Polish/Russian "false friends" for you Lyzko:

1) miłość/милость - love/mercy
2) nagły/наглый - sudden/rude
3) uroda/урод - beauty/freak, ugly
4) woń/вонь - aroma/stench
5) dynia/дыня - pumpkin/melon
6) kwas/квас - acid/refreshing carbonated drink
7) ssać/ссать - to suck/to pee

Life / Do you know these characters from Polish movies? [223]

Is this some kind of Polish Baron Munchausen, or some Pan Kleks title when he time travels?

Language / How Polish sounds to other Slavs [32]

@Pawian

Oh ****, I actually found a different speech then. (aillarionov.livejournal.com/192431.html)

Will look for Jaroslaw's speech now.


I think this is a non-starter, if Snyder is referring to Суржик (pidgin Russian spoken in kiev, the south and the east). Though as an idea it is interesting, I'm afraid it would be completely unpalatable to nationalistically-minded Ukrainians who are fighting for Ukrainian.


This is absolutely true. At the same time, as someone who reads a lot of both, I have to say that the quality of journalism in Ukraine, compared to their Russian colleagues, is still of a lower, more provincial, quality. That is, you don't often see them use their journalistic freedom in a truly bold fashion that challenges the status quo, as of yet. Instead, this freedom has so far been more often demonstrated through the non-stop injection of "kompromat" against rival factions. This is probably a result of the fact that all print publications, radio stations and tv channels in the Ukraine are owned by oligarchs, who each have their own puppet political parties. In Russia, of course, all mass media at this point are owned by the state or state affiliated entities (i.e. Gazprom Media), so all these fights happen under the carpet, with the public left to just guess at what is really happening. However, Russian journalists do write amazing pieces sometimes (latest example is the scandalous story of Golunov's arrest), that proudly carry on the Russian dissident tradition. It'll be some time before Ukraine can truly be a beacon of freedom for Russia. Now, it is more a Scarecrow reminding people of the dangers of excessive democracy.