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Posts by delphiandomine  

Joined: 25 Nov 2008 / Male ♂
Warnings: 1 - Q
Last Post: 17 Feb 2021
Threads: Total: 86 / Live: 15 / Archived: 71
Posts: Total: 17813 / Live: 4639 / Archived: 13174
From: Poznań, Poland
Speaks Polish?: Yeah.
Interests: law, business

Displayed posts: 4654 / page 78 of 156
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delphiandomine   
21 Jan 2016
UK, Ireland / Britain's moral collapse? [99]

When did you see a hetero couple doing that in public manifesting their sexuality?

Haven't been on many nights out in the UK, have you? I've seen my fair share of growlers that I didn't want to see.

Not that it's an issue of 'morality', anyway.

Indeed, morality is about being accepting of others, just like that chap Jesus used to preach about.

Waiting for a link from you Jon showing how heterosexual people are of lesser moral standards.

Blimey, where do we start?
delphiandomine   
21 Jan 2016
UK, Ireland / Britain's moral collapse? [99]

They manifest them by licking their faces off, wearing shirts with holes for nipples and strings with their ball-sacks sticking out in public. Icons of morality.

I think you're thinking a bit too much about the topic, to be honest. I've never seen anyone homosexual wearing that kind of thing outside of some very niche clubs.

Last gay club I was in, there was a distinct lack of ball sacks and nipples. Good club though, good music, reasonably priced drinks and a very friendly atmosphere. If you're ever in Poznań, let me know and we can go.
delphiandomine   
20 Jan 2016
Feedback / Is it Polish forum or foreign forum? [159]

Admin, you could at least admit that you're controlled by the mysterious and secret shadowy underworld group known only as the Turkish Agenda, headed by jon357 and which controls this forum to spread Judeo-Muslim propaganda to destroy Poles and Poland forever.

What happened to Barney, btw?
delphiandomine   
20 Jan 2016
Feedback / Is it Polish forum or foreign forum? [159]

Yes, definitely. His mother is probably sick and tired of her son getting up in the middle of the night to post rubbish about Jews on the internet.

Nothing that a good thrashing can't solve, though.
delphiandomine   
20 Jan 2016
Feedback / Is it Polish forum or foreign forum? [159]

No, it wont be purchased, it will be cancelled buddy.

Cancelled by who?

this forum is under scrutiny already.

By who?

The masses demand answers.

I wonder if Ktos was caught by mummy and sent back to bed. :(
delphiandomine   
20 Jan 2016
Feedback / Is it Polish forum or foreign forum? [159]

however, how can we Polish accept the fact that this forum has its headquarters in USA and that administers are Americans?

Frankly, it's not for you to accept or not. If you don't like it, leave and stop whining.

If you want a forum run by a Pole, go to allthingspolish
delphiandomine   
19 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

How could a party which had only a minority of the votes in the Sejm pass any motions in the Sejm?

PiS supporters really do seem to be fond of historical revisionism. It rather reminds one of Winston's job.
delphiandomine   
19 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

Well done "democrats".

Don't blame the people for the actions of a useless government. S&P made it crystal clear that it's the government and not the demonstrations to blame.
delphiandomine   
19 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

Quite.

The latest news...

bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-18/poland-feels-sting-from-downgrade-as-long-term-debt-costs-soar

It just got a whole lot more expensive for Poland to live up to a goal of selling more longer-dated bonds after the shock credit-rating downgrade by Standard & Poor's.

The yield on the eastern European nation's 10-year bonds rose 22 basis points on Monday, the most since September 2014, after S&P knocked the country down by one level. It was the first time the ratings company has ever downgraded a sovereign from a positive outlook, a spokesman said by e-mail on Monday.

Pretty clear that PiS are now costing the "ordinary Pole" a significant amount of money.
delphiandomine   
18 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

What is going to be interesting is watching to see when the first centrist elements of PIS break away from the grip of the Dear Leader Chairman Kaczynski and form a new party that does have a prayer of winning centrist votes.

Gowin is almost certainly going to fall out with PiS at some point. He's already made it clear that he intends a model of higher education that focuses on the elite that can generate profits for Poland while also making it clear that he supports the introduction of tuition fees. It's not going to win any support from the rank and file, and he's notorious for throwing a sulk and walking away when people don't back him up.
delphiandomine   
18 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

Another day, another poll.

The trend is maintaining itself. A few Kukiz voters have switched to PiS, but the opposition maintains the advantage.

ewybory.eu/sondaz-ibris-dla-rzeczpospolitej-18-01-2016/

PiS - 32%
Nowoczesna - 28%
PO - 14%
SLD - 5%
Kukiz - 5%
PSL - 5%
Korwin and Razem were nowhere

Kukiz is fading away, voters see that most of his grouping is incompetent (except, interestingly, Liroy - he could have a future because he understands how to get stuff done) and that his "anti-system" message is actually "pro-PiS".

Looks like the centrist vote has abandoned PiS, and it will be interesting to see if they can do anything to win it back.
delphiandomine   
17 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

And foreign investment by big, rich well established Western concerns will create situations with which fledgdling Polish companies cannot compete.

That's why the important thing to do is to focus on what Poland can do as opposed to what Poland can't do. Poland can compete in agriculture, it can compete in IT, banking and so on. She can't compete when it comes to supermarkets or courier services - and nor should she try. It doesn't make sense to throw large amount of limited resources to try and dominate every industry, it doesn't work and it deprives Poland of needed foreign capital.

Strong antitrust laws are needed, but the trick is for the important infrastructure to stay in Polish hands while allowing everyone to use it on equal terms. That drives innovation and competition while ensuring that no foreign company abuses it for their own purposes.

The optimum arrangement would be one enabling Polish startup businesses to learn from foreign entrepreneurs.

Absolutely. There are a lot of small things that can be done - for instance, are you familiar with TEDx talks? These kind of things should be supported and funded locally to encourage people to share their knowledge and experiences - but unfortunately, Poland is fixated on 'big ticket' items and the small things are often ignored. But it all goes back to a very unfriendly climate for new businesses and governments since 1989 (well, 1945) being obsessed with protecting the big industry at the expense of small, flexible companies. But it's not just central government to blame - even towns and cities with independent mayors are prone to throwing large amounts of cash at pointless vanity projects. Look at all those stupid Aquaparks that have been built in Poland - the example from Slupsk shows that a huge amount of small entrepreneurs could have been funded for the cost of one vanity project. Which will bring in more money and build Poland more?

What about requiring a Polish majority stake in any company operating in Poland?

The problem with that approach is that the Poles don't really have the cash to invest, and no foreign company is going to put up 70% of the capital in exchange for 49.9% of the votes.

I don't disagree with you Polonius - I think Poland really should focus on small and medium sized businesses and should help them as much as possible. But there's only a finite pot of money - and unfortunately, miners need their high pensions and their unproductive jobs...

Thinking a bit out of the box - Polonius, don't you agree that it makes no sense whatsoever to spend $75/tonne mining Polish coal when it costs $50 in Antwerp to buy? We should be looking for innovative solutions here - and one idea would be to build up industries around the coal mine dealing with innovative solutions with coal. Fund smallish companies to work there, let them use the mine to supply coal to experiment with, and see where it takes you. The workers that want to work will take the funding, and those that don't want to can be unemployed. If nothing comes of it, at least the work experience will help them find jobs elsewhere in mining - and Poland might just produce something that changes the world as a result.

Likewise, it was the same story with the shipyards. We threw so much money at them, when in reality, the trick was to move to building smaller boats that were in demand. Look at these guys en.delphiayachts.eu/ - we should be helping them as much as possible.
delphiandomine   
17 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

A finally free and sovereign Poland has to make up for lost time.

The American approach right now is the best one. No early retirement, no large pensions (there should be a cap to make sure that no retired person gets more than the net average wage from ZUS), abolish all retirement privileges that have already been granted. Scrap the huge and crippling ZUS contributions on new businesses, throw money at training and set up further and larger special economic zones to encourage them further. Remove any and all restrictions on farmland to encourage the land to be used as productively as possible, and provide further economic incentives for economically deprived towns and villages to develop.

If you make Poland a low taxation, small government country, then investment will flood in. That investment will raise living standards considerably, and the money earnt by Poles can then be used to develop further. Look at how the UK transformed from a very socialist country in the 1970's to an economic powerhouse in the 1990's - it was only the utter failure to put in regulatory controls combined with Labour spending everything they could that caused so much trouble from 2008 onwards.
delphiandomine   
17 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

And now we see the great return of Adam Hoffman.

Does anyone really genuinely believe that PiS are anything other than specialists in TKM?
delphiandomine   
17 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

Why don't you give credit to the unelected dictator, your Dear Leader Chairman Kaczynski?

Did you see how everyone turned up at some luxury hotel outside of Warsaw to watch him give a speech, then barely anyone showed up the next day for Szydło's speech while Jarosław himself didn't bother?

Says it all. The man has clear delusions of being Piłsudski.
delphiandomine   
15 Jan 2016
News / Jacek Kurski, the new chairman of TVP (Telewizja Polska) [37]

Already, we can see the hand of Kurski with TVP news.

Today, TVP1 dedicated an entire...7 seconds to the news that S&P has downgraded the country's credit rating. 7 seconds. Meanwhile, they dedicated significant time to Duda's CHF law.

It shows that it already is TVPiS and that unfavourable news will simply be buried and barely mentioned.
delphiandomine   
15 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

SO what does this one mean, since you're the know-all poll interpreter?

Not much. You need to look at the long term trends rather than individual polls.

ewybory.eu/sondaze/

We'll see what happens when PiS fail to keep their electoral promises while the economy runs into a crisis.
delphiandomine   
15 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

that's great news delph, we will be importing and buying fewer foreign goods

It will also be very hard for Poles that want (and desire) imported things. Wages aren't going to go up because the złoty is weak, but things already cost nearly 10% more to import than they did earlier in 2015. That means that living standards have been cut dramatically already, and there's nothing in the plans of PiS that suggest that the złoty can strengthen back to even 4.1.
delphiandomine   
15 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

Before the parliamentary elections, the exchange rate was about 4,20 PLN/EUR.

If the news from Fitch is bad, the złoty is going to take a nosedive on Monday morning.

Commerzbank AG also now rate Poland's bonds as "sell", which shows that markets are definitely reacting very badly to the government.

Still no sign of the 500zł per child...where is it, Polonius? We were promised it within the first 100 days!
delphiandomine   
15 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

and it could be only the beginning...

It is. The interbank rate is now 4.49, and the złoty has lost nearly 10gr against the Euro in the space of 24 hours.

Let's just wait for the PiS supporters to come with their usual abuse, because you know, they all live abroad and earn in foreign currencies, so why should they worry about the fact that their yearly holiday is now even cheaper?

(mods, could you add this link to my post above? I forgot to attribute it to - ft.com/fastft/2016/01/15/poland-downgraded-by-sp-zloty-tumbles] - thanks)

There's also a decision coming from Fitch later today, and a second negative opinion will send the złoty crashing further down. It's the second worst performing currency this year in Europe after the Russian ruble, which says a lot about how bad this government really is.
delphiandomine   
15 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

Notice how Greggy didn't post this one :

ewybory.eu/sondaz-millward-brown-dla-faktow-tvn-i-tvn24-14-01-2016/

PiS - 30%
Nowoczesna - 27%
PO - 14%
Kukiz - 9%
SLD - 5%

Which clearly shows that the middle ground has gone firmly away from PiS.

Anyway, that's the not the real news.

Furthermore, exchange rates today :

I posted this at 15:24. Now...

1 EUR = 4.48PLN
1 USD = 4.09PLN
1 CHF = 4.10CHF

--

1 PLN = 6.03CZK
1 PLN = 70.41HF

The złoty is in freefall, and the biggest news of the day -

Poland's new government has been given a stern warning by rating agency Standard & Poor's, which cut the country's rating and warned of a further cut.

The ratings agency on Friday downgraded Poland's foreign credit rating by a notch to BBB+ as it warns over what it said are recent moves that "weaken the independence and effectiveness of key institutions." It also put the country on negative watch, a move that suggests further downgrades could be possible...

...The change in the rating outlook to negative reflects our view that there is potential for further erosion of the independence, credibility, and effectiveness of key institutions, especially the National Bank of Poland (NBP).

In other words, financial institutions think that Poland is in trouble. Psychologically, we've broken the 4PLN/1USD barrier by a long way, and only the weekend will save the złoty from breaking the 4.50 barrier against the Euro.
delphiandomine   
15 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

Good news, as in more propaganda and less facts?

No doubt someone will soon be on TVP to tell us why an incredibly weak exchange rate means that Polish people can no longer enjoy imported products or go on foreign holidays, which is good because Patriotic Poles only buy Polish and holiday in Poland.
delphiandomine   
15 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

Another day, and yet more bad news for PiS.

Since the election, the WIG20 has fallen from around 2100 at the time of the election to a mere 1743 today.

Furthermore, exchange rates today :

1EUR = 4.41PLN
1CHF = 4.02PLN
1USD = 4.02PLN

And worse...

1PLN = 6.13CZK
1PLN = 71.30HUF

The most shocking one is the fall against the Czech Koruna. On the 30th April, it was standing at 1PLN = 6.89CZK. But even against the Euro - we see that on the 30th April, it was 1 EUR = 3.99PLN. The markets are clearly not impressed with PiS.
delphiandomine   
14 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

When a company sets up a factory they aim to make 10% profit. 90% of the income goes into the factory as wages, taxes and cost..

Polonius is your typical pre-1989 worker though. He thinks that the 'capitalists' are making 'obscene' profits at the expense of the workers. No-one ever mentions how Paweł turns up, presses buttons for 40 hours and goes home - and he doesn't have to worry about the factory or anything else. Meanwhile CEO Piotr has gone home to enjoy a nice glass of wine, only to have to go back to work at 23:00 because a lorry transporting their goods (and carrying their name) has just crashed into several cars on the Autostrada, killing 9, and the company name is now all over the 24/7 news channel and people want answers.

Perhaps if Polonius actually had experience of the real world, he would understand that there's a reason why we don't pay the button pusher the same salary as the CEO.
delphiandomine   
13 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

Absolutely. Can't imagine that they'll suddenly be all "hey Poland, let's be equal partners!". More like "Hey Poland, you have no friends now, so let's be "friends" where you give me all your resources for free and you can pay me twice market value for mine!".
delphiandomine   
13 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

they need to establish relationships with Russia and most likely leave the EU sooner than later.

I think I've read it all on PF now.

You do realise that Poland already tried that for 44 years and it didn't go so well?
delphiandomine   
13 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

That Czech PM officially said there's nothing wrong with democracy in Poland and he doesn't understand what the fuss is about. But you hear and quote only what you want Delphi.

Who belongs to the Czech Social Democratic Party, which was more or less part of the Czechoslovakian Communist Party and certainly came from it.

Try harder.
delphiandomine   
13 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

There's something very amusing about the fact that all of these people commenting here and defending PiS are such patriots that they....live abroad.
delphiandomine   
13 Jan 2016
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

What's quite amusing is today's events. It transpires that the Hungarian Commissioner on the European Commission actually failed to support Poland. Orban is no fool, and it looks like PiS believed him when he said that Hungary will block any sanctions ;)
delphiandomine   
12 Jan 2016
News / PiS and Russian political/economic interests [70]

Have an idea what the trickle down effect will be on Poland ?

Not much effect, unfortunately. The deal Poland signed means that there's no need to source oil from any other seller, and the Russians now control the refinery on the German border that supplies a huge amount to Western Poland. We're effectively forced to pay a minimum of $36/bl. regardless of what happens with the price.

and the fact that drillers from Houston to Riyadh won't quit pumping despite the oil glut.

I read somewhere that the Americans now have so much of the stuff that their storage facilities are full, companies are resorting to trying to hire in tankers for storage and that it's all contributing to the price crashing down.