News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


You and one thousand years of various pessimists have predicted the collapse of Russia into various independent polities.

Unlike yourself - the people in the past had good reason to do so. The Russians seemed "finished" by the Mongols. Then Napoleon. Finally Hitler, who made it nearly a certainty.

Nonetheless, we defeated every "would be conqueror", and turned them into our dogs instead.

-//--

Bottom line - you should try.

Try dividing us and slicing us up.

Don't be upset if you are the one who ends up being sliced up on the operating table. Don't say we did not warn you.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


Our country was born in the territory that is now Ukraine (to some large extent).

The West has targeted our heart - our brain.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]

@Bratwurst Boy

Everyone should mind their own business.

The problems of the people of Venezuela, are not the problems of the people of the United States.

I know I may look like a huge hypocrite now, but - as I've said one thousand times - Ukraine is not our Iraq or Afghanistan.

Ukraine is our heart, which was ripped from our rib cage - causing enormous torture and pain.

It is same as Kosovo to Serbia.

Ukraine is the beating heart of Rus', and it cannot be allowed to be transferred to the Western manipulators.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


This is not a computer game.

You whack one "mole" on the head, because he is "hurting you" - and suddenly a dozen new "moles" arise - hungrier, angrier, and with sharper teeth than some kleptocratic regime awash in its own dysfunction.

Every bomb, every targeted killing - breeds 3-5 new killers. Before... they wanted a student visa, and just a job. Now they want to kill you, and drink your blood - and watch your family suffer in pain.

In one job I had, I had to interview such people on a daily basis - 10-20 a day. I know what I'm talking about. People in St Louis and Indianapolis may have no sense of what is happening there, but it's happening.

It's a loop of hell, with no escape.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


America meticulously planned the invasion of Iraq for a period of 18 months. Then they went on a world tour, convincing everyone that they were not bloodthirsty dogs.

Still... it ended in a 15 year occupation, hundreds of thousands of dead civilians, and triggered the rise of the Islamic State - which now controls various geographies from Afghanistan, to Syria, to Mali.

I don't trust American "services" to plan anything well, just as I don't trust Russian "services" to plan anything well.

We can bulldoze people, and crush them, and exterminate them (both Russia and America), but we are not very good at making them our friends.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


So then if it invades Venezuela and doesn't leave immediately... but instead decides to stay - I think this will turn into a big and cancerous tumor.

Already nobody respects America - but this would be the final nail in the coffin.

Everyone will accelerate their plans on how to disconnect from such maniacs, and maybe apply a little effort towards making America's occupation of Venezuela as painful as humanly possible.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


You are watching as a German spectator.

I'm living here, and seeing the effects of it.

America ONLY seems invincible. A wrong step here, a wrong war there, and you will see the incredibly fragility of this project.

America belongs to the world. The whole planet needs it to do a certain thing, and to do it well....

When America gets knocked off course, and starts doing strange things... bad things happen everywhere else. Like invasions of Ukraine...

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


Did they?

Trump had me convinced he was an anti-war president... until recently.

Now I think, he simply doesn't believe in "far away" wars, but very much has an appetite for "neighborhood" wars.

He is using the army (secretly) in Mexico, to great consternation from the Mexicans. He is using the military in the Caribbean. He is making noises about Greenland and Panama. He is parking aircraft carriers at Venezuela's door step...

I don't think America has learned anything.

If it does these things, that it contemplates, it will weaken this country - hugely so.

No matter what I may have written here, I love America. I don't want it to do such things to itself.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


For the past 100+ years - we could not simply decide to kill people suspected of drug smuggling.

I mean... it happens in Afghanistan... in the Philippines... but not in the so called "developed" countries it does not.

What's more - we do not violate someone's sovereignty and declare war on them, to kill criminal elements within their country.


Of course not.

When I was a young kid, witnessing Afghanistan and Iraq, I would ask God: "Will the Americans be one day punished for this? Will they regret it?"

For the longest time it seemed like God would not punish America. That every crime... it could just wash away.

But now, twenty years later, you will not find a single American who thinks that those events were a good idea. It poisoned their country, and their politics. They are to this day dealing with the toxicity of what they had done, and how it affected not just the world but themselves.

As much sin as they committed over there, did they absorb back home - which blackened the soul of the country.

They let the demon out of the box, and achieved nothing.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]

In addition to the above, you have to bear in mind that:

1) Cuba supplies Venezuela with Cuban intelligence officers who monitor the population for seditious behavior. The Cubans are supposed to be some of the best in the world at this job.

2) Russia and China both control important oil production operations in the country.

3) Iran and North Korea have little to lose, and much to gain - by developing leverage over the United States through supporting Venezuelan resistance. America will begin offering them candies to stop their help.

4) Mexico, Columbia, and Brazil all have socialist leaders in power at this moment. The Colombian president has called Trump a murderer. The Brazilian president has claimed that Trump "acts as a small time crook".

I don't think these three leftist presidents will watch passively as America invades their neighborhood, and begins to play policeman.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]

@Bratwurst Boy

You bring up some good points.

But there are counterarguments also...

1) Venezuela has very difficult topology, and huge rainforest cover. In Colombia, FARC managed to lead a guerrilla war against the Central Government (supported by the USG) for nearly thirty years by basing themselves in the jungle.

2) Venezuela has an enormous coast line, and long borders with neighboring countries. Supplying Venezuela with weapons and ammunition is much easier than doing so for Iraq or Afghanistan. Some of the world's most important narco-traffic routes pass through Venezuela, which should you give you a sense of smuggling potential.

3) Chavez and Maduro have raised two whole generations of Venezuelans who know nothing except Chavista rule. He may be a bus driver, he may be uneducated, he may be a crook... but he's not stupid. Even if the overwhelming majority of Venezuelans are cynically opposed to the government, they still have several millions of regime loyalists that they can rely on.

4) The amount of money and resources available to a Venezuelan government in hiding would be significantly larger than what the Taliban or Saddam loyalists and Islamists could rely on. They could feed themselves on narcotraffic, on oil smuggling, on people smuggling, on precious stone smuggling, and so on.

5) Russia and China were too weak to get involved in Afghanistan and Iraq. But in the past twenty years much has changed...

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


My feeling is more that Venezuela will collapse like a house of cards - if the Americans just kick the door in.

I say this based on the corruption, poverty, and massive brain drain that Venezuela has experienced to-date.

It's hard for me to imagine that the people will fight for Maduro, if America manages to signal its intentions in clear and fair terms.

If America is just going in to change the government, and then leave immediately after - it could be a big success.

-//-

If America comes to stay... I think it will be just as bad as Afghanistan and Iraq, or maybe even as bad as Vietnam.

Reports in the press, however, indicate that Trump may actually indeed be planning to "stay", because he is mesmerized by Venezuela's oil reserves (the largest in the world), and rare earths.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


Good enough for me!


You... make it difficult to argue with your points.

Humans know human things, as God knows divine things.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


In war-era Leningrad, people allowed their children to eat themselves. In addition to being eaten by their children, people ate dogs, cats, tree bark, and dessicated mud from the banks of the Neva.

For some strange reason - all this misery produced no impression on Comrade Stalin - and did not force him to reach out to Nazi Germany sooner than he wanted to.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


WRONG


Ho ho ho ho ho!


WRONG


WRONG

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


I go through an "amplitude" with Alien.

But he's a German Pole, so I thought he might have a unique perspective on blowing up pipelines.

But... just more silly jokes.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


Mhmm...

It seems legal scholars and prosecutors take an even dimmer view of the Warsaw District Court judge's extravagant legal innovations.

From the Guardian:

Nevertheless, the rejection of the extradition request is highly unusual between EU member states, said Kai Ambos, a law professor at the University of Göttingen, who questioned the "non-legal reasoning and the almost political ingredients" of the judge's decision.

"It's just one page saying it's a just war of Ukraine against Russia. For various reasons this is not convincing. It's not really a reasoning, it's just an affirmation," said Ambos.

Source: theguardian.com/business/2025/nov/03/the-nord-stream-riddle-echoes-of-mistrust-ripple-through-europe

He went on to say:

If you want to argue that this was an act of war, you would have to establish that the pipeline is a military target, which is not the case. It's a civilian target, so you cannot just attack it," he said, adding that he believed Germany did have jurisdiction because the yacht allegedly used in the attack was rented in Germany.

Nice!

It appears that 1 page decision by a Polish judge was... lacking in some regards.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]

Kania, for you:

dw.com/en/italian-court-approves-extradition-in-nord-stream-case/a-74509848

Italy's appeals courts held up the earlier decision to approve extradition.

Poland is alone again, in not cooperating with German police investigation.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


It's not happening.

It's too late.

It is year three of this war between our countries - and yet nearly every Ukrainian child watches Russian TikTok and YouTube. Every Ukrainian teenager listens to Russian music, and studiously copies Moscow slang.

They lost their children.

Once we have your kids, there is nothing you can realistically do.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


If you would read some Ukrainian papers, watch some Ukrainian television, and immerse yourself a bit in their cultural scene - you would quickly see they're actually quite paranoid about the fact that they may be living through "Round 4" of partition.

That is, it's not just Bobko's wishful thinking.

The same symptoms are slowly emerging that "sunk" their independence ship in the past... so there's some reason for them to be paranoid.

The closest parallel to what is happening in Ukraine now, is what was happening to them in their last period of independence 1917-1921. Throughout the first half of that period, Imperial Germany was their main sponsor. Then Pilsudski's Poland and the countries of the Little Entente.

What sunk them then, was:

1) Unfortunate dictatorial tendencies from Petliura and Skoropadsky (Hello Zelensky and Yermak).

2) Constant political infighting triggered by turf wars over who controls the flows of money Western governments were donating to support the fight against the Bolsheviks.

3) An alienated populace that viewed their leaders as puppets in the pocket of Western capital. This manifested in a nearly total refusal to mobilize and pay taxes.

4) Clashes between Western and Eastern Ukrainians, who came from completely orthogonal cultural origins. Moscow played on these differences expertly, and to such an extent, that both sides would send embassies to Moscow with offers of betrayal in exchange for support.

-//-

Where there are two Ukrainians - there are three Hetmans.

This has always been their weakness, even as they call us slaves. Our slavishness has held our great country together, while their rowdy and freedom loving ways have always led them to doom.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


When they made an alliance with the Poles, we warred with the Cossacks for 38 years before finally breaking them.

We fought with them for another two years, when they stabbed us in the back and allied with the Swedes during Peter's reign.

Quite recently we fought with them for nearly four years, after some of them figured that the collapse of the Russian Empire was a good opportunity to "hop off the train". Kicking and screaming... but they were brought back home.

-//-

It's not our first rodeo, sluggin it out with the Hohols.

The West should listen to Putin when he states that this is an existential battle for Russia, where cost and time are not material.

Listen to him - and do a deal. End this stupid war.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


How can we believe you, when you already "called" the collapse of the Russian economy in 200 other instances within the past 3 years?

Is this the same as Putin, who is about to die "at any moment" from Stage IV cancer for the past 3 years?

-//-

Russia will always have money for war.

There is a Russian joke:

Son: Papa! Papa! They've raised the prices on vodka - surely you will drink less now!

Father: No son, it is you who will have to eat less from now on..

Life / Wszystkich Świętych (All Saints Day) // Dzien Zaduszny (All Souls day) [106]


Hahahaha!

The same thing I am always thinking when someone makes me watch some stupid horror film.

I don't want to be some Karen ghost, hassling civilians.

I want to drink with Hitler and Stalin, and never get hungover.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


You are telling me you would actually watch a Russian video if I posted it?

Off-Topic / USA News and Poland - part 17 [674]


Oh dear...

That's a great electoral platform.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]

@Novichok

One feels the worst for the wounded, because rarely does anyone want to bother with taking them prisoner.

It's a huge physical effort to transport them, and the entire time you are liable to get killed by the drones of their friends.

Instead, what typically happens, is that anyone who discovers the wounded immediately make them a permanent part of the past.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


Depending on who you ask, they are either still fighting or already withdrawing.

Russian soldiers have penetrated nearly every district of the city.

Escape routes for AFU are shrinking by the hour.

If the personnel manages to get out by walking on foot throughout the night, the equipment and the ammunition will certainly have to be abandoned.

The wounded will likely be abandoned as well.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


What will you ask me now, once Pokrovsk is taken?


Well... in front of Pokrovsk you had one of the densest urban agglomerations in Ukraine.

Behind it is nothing but fields, for a good 40-60 kilometers, until you start hitting the larger population centers of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

In addition to this, the fields beyond Pokrovsk lie at a lower elevation than the city. Plus - Pokrovsk is a city with many high rises - which means Russian antennas will broadcast significantly farther than they can now, further crippling Ukrainian rear logistics.

Finally - as a reminder to everyone - the environs of Pokrovsk contained Ukraine's largest anthracite coal mining operation, on which their entire metallurgical industry depended, as well as Ukraine's largest lithium deposit.
-//-

It's not just Pokrovsk and Mirnograd which are about to fall, but also Kupyansk and Lyman.

Kupyansk is arguably a bigger deal, since it allows Russia to once again threaten Kharkov. We had lost it in 2022, during the Ukrainian Kharkov Counteroffensive.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


Yes he is correct.

Russians (as a whole) suffer from a certain megalomania and feeling of mission.

But so do Americans, and not just now (when they are a world hyper power), but even when they were a tiny country focused primarily on its frontier. Some say the Puritans made them this way...

So do Chinese, who call themselves the only proper rulers under Heaven.

So Maf's comparison to Jews and Gypsies does not offend me.

Poles are the same way. That's why I love them.

Nobody gives a **** about the "square" nations of Netherlands, and Belgiums, and Switzerlands - who suffer from no psychological problems and live quietly and mind their own business.

People only love the psychopathic countries like England, and Russia, and France - that feel they know exactly how everyone else should live. That's fun. That's drama. That's sexy.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [996]


As we Russians say - "to whom, and how?".

What I realize, and what you realize, and... what matters... can be three different things.