Tacitus
18 Mar 2025
News / Building regional alliance to stabilize Eastern Europe. [236]
@jon357
Hardly. Turkey under Erdogan has made several steps backs on its' democratic evolution. There is no prospect of them fullfilling the membership criterias. We have already enough problems with one wannabe autocrat in Hungary, we dont need another one.
I'd say the chances for that are 50/50. If Trump and Putin agree to a ceasefire that holds, then it would be logical to make an opening of NSII part of the negotiations with Russia. It is one of the few leverages we still have left that could incentive Putin to make some concessions. And realistically speaking, based on how much European countries are still importing Russian oil and gas, it is also what those countries will demand.
@jon357
it's strange that Turkey isn't a member.
Hardly. Turkey under Erdogan has made several steps backs on its' democratic evolution. There is no prospect of them fullfilling the membership criterias. We have already enough problems with one wannabe autocrat in Hungary, we dont need another one.
would be buying hydrocarbons from r*SSia again once the war ends
I'd say the chances for that are 50/50. If Trump and Putin agree to a ceasefire that holds, then it would be logical to make an opening of NSII part of the negotiations with Russia. It is one of the few leverages we still have left that could incentive Putin to make some concessions. And realistically speaking, based on how much European countries are still importing Russian oil and gas, it is also what those countries will demand.