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Poland's post-election political scene [4080]
Kaczynski
PROGNOSIS: Despite the pointless, sterile ranting of the niche protest movement, eventually the government's detractors will tire of their futile marches and refocus on more productive endeavours. That development will be enahcned by the government's continuous introduction of good changes which will see PiS' support grow as the as tangible improvemetns are increasignly felt throughout society. The composition of the ruling camp will remain roughly the same as now into PiS' second term in office (2019), but on the eve of the third (2023) Kaczyński will become honorary president of the party and a new person will take over the helm. It is still not clear whether it will be one of PiS' now younger luminaries or someone who has yet to make their political début.
Internationally, Germany will become an effective police state thanks to Merkel's folly. Not a nationalistic one like Hitler's but a protective one introduced to safeguard citizens against increasingly frequent random suicide bombings and other terrorist attacks. By 2019, the Muslim migrant community will have already grown to nearly five million strong thanks to their extremely high birth rate. Muslim problems will be occurring in other European countires but nowhere will they be as severe as in the Bundesrepublik. Heavily armed secuity forces in APCs, on foot and horseback patrolling the streets of German cities will become a common sight. Poland may decide to build a protective barrier along the German border similar to that lining the US-Mexican frontier. Not that many migrants will want to come to Poland, but constant pre-emptive raids by special Germany security forces will have many suspects on the run with nowhere to flee to except Poland. Fugitive terrorist suspects is the last thing Poland needs! Austria, Denmark and France have already built such barriers along their borders with German to prevent unwanted migrant spill-over.