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Polish Parliamentary Elections 2023 [933]
The situation in general is very unpredictable, despite known election results.
Thanks for this write up - quite helpful!
those procedures take time in which the new coalition might start fighting each other before they vote on their own PM cabinet happens
This has happened countless times, in elections all across the world. Would be disappointing, if it happens here as well.
a longer hospitalization could be enough to trigger a free for all within PiS, since he simply is getting too old to keep discipline
This is the problem, as I see it, with these mixed political systems which are prevalent throughout Eurasia. You get a million different parties, with rather marginal policy differences amongst them, but instead mainly defined by the personas at the top.
United Russia will probably not survive Putin and Medvedev, in the same way PiS might not survive Kaczynski.
It speaks to the political immaturity and primitivism of places like Poland and Russia, when your political loyalties are dictated primarily by your sympathies towards a particular guy rather than a dry calculation of where our interests as voters lie.
By the way, America is actually arriving at this point as well - after a good 200 years of acting as example to others of the advantages of a two party system.
