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Stock Market Talk and Trading - part 2


cms neuf  2 | 1874
5 Mar 2025   #211
European markets are up strongly today - 3 percent in Poland and France m, 2 percent in Germany

Quite big inflows from the US to Europe plus some strong moves in defence and tech
johnny reb  49 | 7932
8 Mar 2025   #212
European markets are up strongly today -

Just watch Germany's military complex markets start sky rocketing.
Here is a real opportunity for you young bucks to get in now and let me tell you why I think this.
Armin Papperger is arguably the most important man in Europe and Putin wants him dead.
For it is the factories of his German defense company, Rheinmetall, that are churning out the weaponry for the depleted armories of Europe and the battlefields of Ukraine.
Now that the U.S. is done sending our military weapons I would suspect Germany is going to cash in on this opportunity.
The stock is RHM.DE and is presently at 1115 per share which has doubled already in the last 10 weeks.
All serious feedback would be appreciated. J.R.
pawian  226 | 27744
8 Mar 2025   #213
Here is a real opportunity

Golden Cow patriotic voters shouldn`t buy European shares cos they betray their MASA ideals!!!
cms neuf  2 | 1874
9 Mar 2025   #214
Been mentioned several times already. There are plenty of EU tech and defence stocks but you won't get them cheap now.

Siemens, which I mentioned when you asked me for a stock tip - 70 percent up last 6 months
Thales, French electronics and aviation business, up 63 percent

You need to be careful of currency movements - the USD is very weak right now, so for an American, buying Euro stocks will be more expensive, and will only come back with political stability and deficit reduction in the US

Worth looking wt Britain too if you can deal with the taxes and political instability - BAE and Rolls Royce will both be expensive but you could think about smaller things like Chemring.

In the US I hold Harris and General Dynamics - both performing poorly. I expect it to continue - cancelled orders from Europe and Canada are likely. But I will probably hold on to them.
johnny reb  49 | 7932
10 Mar 2025   #215
Been mentioned several times already. There are plenty of EU tech and defence stocks but you won't get them cheap now.

Don't you wish you would have listened to me and jumped in at the time.
you could think about smaller things like Chemring.

I could but Trump is turning things around which is going to take some time but when our economy takes off I will be positioned at the bottom so there will be no way to go but up.
The market will get worse before it gets better so I am just waiting for it to bottom out with my pockets full of cash and be ready to invest in some real deals.
johnny reb  49 | 7932
10 Mar 2025   #216
Here is a tip for you Cms Nerd
The Japanese Yen is my new currency
cms neuf  2 | 1874
10 Mar 2025   #217
Very difficult in Poland to open a yen bank account unless you are doing physical business with Japan.

General rule - only use currencies where you have an income stream in that currency. lots of Poles learned that the hard way with swiss franc housing loans.

Anyway I know nothing about Japan other than what I learned in Warsaw's sushi bars. In times like these I will not do a lot of buying and selling - rather wait it out. At the moment in the US it is looking like a rout, but the weak dollar should provide some opportunities in a few months once Musk is out the picture and tariffs are forgotten.
pawian  226 | 27744
10 Mar 2025   #218
so I am just waiting for it to bottom

Are the current Am share holders also waiting for the bottoms??? :):):)
johnny reb  49 | 7932
11 Mar 2025   #219
the weak dollar should provide some opportunities in a few months once Musk is out the picture and tariffs are forgotten.

That's what I am thinking too.
Meanwhile I am content feeding my deer herd this winter and sipping my bourbon.
I even took a picture of a deer out my kitchen window just for Joker.
Life is good.


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Joker  2 | 2451
11 Mar 2025   #220
I even took a picture of a deer out my kitchen window just for Joker.

You still have a lot of snow up there... bone dry down here and 60F today. Im already thinking spring
johnny reb  49 | 7932
11 Mar 2025   #221
The snow is starting to melt up here.
Should be gone in two weeks or so.
Here is a picture I snapped Ionight when I went out my back door to feed them.
You can see that i am only twenty yards from them.
Without me many of them would have starved this winter.
I put out well over $2000 in feed for them.
I feed about fifty of them every day.
So when I shoot one to eat it is well deserved.
Better than getting run over a car or having a coyote catch them alive.


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Novichok  4 | 8748
11 Mar 2025   #222
The snow is starting to melt up here.

What's "snow"?
Alien  26 | 6575
11 Mar 2025   #223
The snow is starting to melt up here

Same as Dow Jones.
johnny reb  49 | 7932
11 Mar 2025   #224
Same as Dow Jones.

You jealous foreigners always want IMMEDIATE results and if not your diminishments start as in:
"What has Trump done ?" when he was only in office three weeks
And now mocking our stock market when it is in a correction while Trump fixes bidens mess that he made of it.
Just hold on Allen, the Dow will be back and better than before.
Rome wasn't built in a day.
And I promise I won't mock you when Putin starts bombing your military complexes.
cms neuf  2 | 1874
11 Mar 2025   #225
Pretty steep correction and seems to be driven by tariffs and inflation plus low consumer confidence

Nasdaq falls are much deeper than the Dow - It's not just Tesla being hit - big falls in all the AI players
Novichok  4 | 8748
11 Mar 2025   #226
Pretty steep correction and seems to be driven by tariffs

...and for a very simple reason...

Tariffs will force US companies to come home and operate in the real world where wages must support a family of four. The free ride on the backs of slave and child labor is about to end.

Nike shoes prices will not go up because when Nike went to China their US prices didn't go down. I just bought a pair for my gd. Made in China. Still $250.
cms neuf  2 | 1874
11 Mar 2025   #227
Yes correct - it will definitely lead to inflation and probably to higher wages

Nike is a bad example though - making those probably cost 30 dollars max, so you could add a lot to manufacturing cost. They are losing a lot of sales in poorer countries than the US though, as too expensive and Adidas and other new players like Hoka taking market share. i bought the stock in 2023 and it's been a real dog :(
Novichok  4 | 8748
11 Mar 2025   #228
it will definitely lead to inflation

Only the US government in cahoots with the so-called Federal Reserve can cause inflation - a general price increase due to an increase in money supply.

Nobody else can other than by printing money in the basement and risking 20 in a fed pen.
cms neuf  2 | 1874
11 Mar 2025   #229
That is of course completely untrue - if the price of bangladeshi tomato pickers, fertilizer and tractor tyres goes up, I am going to either put the price of my tomatoes up, or I am not going to bother growing them, the Federal Reserve and the US government have nothing to do with it.

Maybe you should stick to engineering.
Novichok  4 | 8748
12 Mar 2025   #230
Maybe you should stick to engineering.

Hey, econ moron, you are confusing "inflation" and prices changing according to the law of supply and demand.

Inflation, by definition, is general and affects everything.

Prices based on S&D are specific and individual. In the US, inflation may be 5% but eggs shot up 50%.

Maybe you should stick to Nigerian geography.
johnny reb  49 | 7932
13 Mar 2025   #231
! Want to keep this thread for the markets

I have tried several times however the uninformed about the stock market feel left out so they intentionally derail it in a fit of inferior complex because they are not included.
Anyways thank you cms for your support
Back On-Topic
Today the U.S. stock market has taken another hefty hit wiping out all the profits so far this week.
J.R. ain't a happy camper
cms neuf  2 | 1874
13 Mar 2025   #232
Me neither - halfway through this shitstorm my stockbroker has fallen out with the custodian bank and wants to move a bunch of my portfolio - an admin step that I know will result in missing funds, loads of electronic signatures and hidden costs

Poland has poor service and high costs for those who want to invest in stock markets
cms neuf  2 | 1874
31 Mar 2025   #233
Getting worse and worse

Sharply down this quarter end - Liberation Day looking more like Demolition Day.

Polish market also down after a pretty good March. Britain is about the only market performing ok this week

Won't get better until inflation gets better
Novichok  4 | 8748
31 Mar 2025   #234
Getting worse and worse

Yes, moron...

Dow YTD: -1.6%
Dow 5Y: +98%

Dow investors are jumping to their deaths...

What an azzhole...
Novichok  4 | 8748
31 Mar 2025   #235
Won't get better until inflation gets better

Do you eve know what causes inflation?
cms neuf  2 | 1874
31 Mar 2025   #236
Your explanation for inflation can sit next to PolAm's thoughts on VAT as examples of American ignorance

I have said before, this thread is not for you - no time wasters. Why not instead trawl the local newspaper see if there are any jaw dropping deals in the used car section (weird stains on the seats included)
Novichok  4 | 8748
31 Mar 2025   #237
I have said before, this thread is not for you - no time wasters.

Cut the crap, weasel...

What causes inflation?
cms neuf  2 | 1874
31 Mar 2025   #238
Demand exceeding supply or input costs increasing or hundreds of other things

What causes dementia ?
Bobko  27 | 2160
31 Mar 2025   #239
thoughts on VAT

Personally - hate the VAT. At the same time, you gotta recognize that 175 countries use it. The United States is the only OECD country that doesn't have a VAT.

Reasons I hate it:

1) It's a pain in the ass. It puts a big administrative burden on a small business. If you don't have an accountant or tax preparer (if you are running some small car parts shop, for example) - then you have to take days or weeks out of your year to sort everything.

2) Everybody up and down the supply chain has to collect and remit the VAT. You charge VAT on your sales (output tax), and then reclaim VAT on your purchases (input tax). This means a need to constantly file detailed periodic returns, produce VAT compliant invoices, and on top of it all - if you do any cross border stuff - you gotta stay on top of international VAT compliance.

3) If you f*ck up - the fines and audits are usually hugely annoying. The problem is - it is easy to f*ck up with such a Byzantine system.

In America, if I'm buying something, to make something else - all I gotta do is apply for a Re-Sale Certificate or a Sales Tax Exemption. It's a one page document I can fill out in probably 90 seconds. That's it! I don't have to collect or pay out any stupid taxes from anyone, and can just carry on running my business.

The only person in America that pays a sales tax is the final consumer. So... on the example of a Coca Cola bottle:

Coke doesn't have to pay sales tax on the caps and bottles and labels it buys, just to apply for a refund of these taxes later (as under VAT). It just doesn't pay any tax at all, thereby avoiding these stupid back and forth motions. Neither does Coca Cola's distributor have to pay sales tax when it buys the pallets of Coke bottles from Coke. Neither does the retailer, that buys the Coke from the distributor. The only person that pays a tax in America is the guy that takes the Coke bottle from the shelf and drinks it.

The problem with having just a sales tax, however, is that it's in effect a tax on the poor. Many poor people in America pay significantly more in sales tax than in income tax (income tax typically being zero for low brackets). For poor people, consumption is a much larger piece of the family budget - but the sales tax is flat. A billionaire and a pauper pay the same rate.

But that's a different problem. I still hate VAT because it's a pain in the ass, and because of this a business killer.
Bobko  27 | 2160
31 Mar 2025   #240
Also... guess who invented the VAT?

F*cking France of course.

Only the minds that made the Citroen DS or the Concorde could come up with such a human-hating tax system.

Another French export that serves to make life miserable for everyone around the world.


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