AntV
28 Jun 2024
Off-Topic / Terms of Ukrainian Surrender [67]
@Bobko
There's another thing to consider, if Trump gets into office.
Contrary to popular belief, Trump doesn't dislike NATO-he dislikes the fact that NATO members don't pay enough to contribute to their own defense.
If Trump wins (still a big if), he'll put pressure on European NATO members to modernize and grow their defense. This will be done at a time when there's more appetite for increased military spending in Europe. When it's all said and done, Putin may have a significantly more muscular Europe than he wants.
I also got a feeling that any agreement will include Russian remuneration without Russian contracts to help rebuild Uke. Plus, some kind of economic agreement between Western Ukraine and The EU/USA.
Russia may get its eastern flank and Crimea, but a lot of pressure it didn't want. Not sure that's a win for Russia
@Bobko
There's another thing to consider, if Trump gets into office.
Contrary to popular belief, Trump doesn't dislike NATO-he dislikes the fact that NATO members don't pay enough to contribute to their own defense.
If Trump wins (still a big if), he'll put pressure on European NATO members to modernize and grow their defense. This will be done at a time when there's more appetite for increased military spending in Europe. When it's all said and done, Putin may have a significantly more muscular Europe than he wants.
I also got a feeling that any agreement will include Russian remuneration without Russian contracts to help rebuild Uke. Plus, some kind of economic agreement between Western Ukraine and The EU/USA.
Russia may get its eastern flank and Crimea, but a lot of pressure it didn't want. Not sure that's a win for Russia