News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


It was discussed in Russian press, but a little bit overshadowed by the closure of the Consulate in Gdansk...

Also, it was noticed by our Hohol brothers, causing some dupa ignitions...

It's a nice letter - seemingly not written by a Menorah-extinguishing maniac.

Of course, as a Pole - he had to start with complaints about removing the Virtuti Militarii and September Campaign Cross from the cemetery reliefs. But ok... that's fair, and better than some "saccharine" letter which fools no one.

The Katyn stuff... is exhausting... but probably the only logical place where we can pick up and start rebuilding some kind of shabby dialogue.

There's nothing else to discuss, as we cut everything with each other - so we must go back to the eternal Katyn to have something in common again.

Probably another big visit to the grounds (hopefully without a plane crash), and just do everything all over again.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]

I think the world is gonna be a lot more like it was in the past.

Everyone's gonna stick to minding their own business in their own little gardens.

Trump has said as much - he wants to focus on his hemisphere. He wants to break the Canadians, invade the Venezuelans, nationalize the Panamians, free his buddy from jail in Brazil, and so on.

China wants to do as it wishes in its waters - and boss around various Philippines and Myanmars without lectures from others.

Russia wants to cobble back together what it can of its own former space.

Europe can be a little neat island of prosperity and calm - like Disneyland. Good museums, good wine, rich history... So long as it can STFU and doesn't try to spread "values" and "principles" to others.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


You are too atomized, too easily divided - to pull off any such thing.

In the end, you'll accept what's presented - because various Orbans and Ficos and Babis' will block all your noble attempts at acting decisively.

The people that had strong opinions, will one day leave. Other, younger people - not as invested in past conflicts - will come and argue that it's important to engage, because not to do so means to not be a player. Everyone will clap, and say prayers for the departing dinosaurs.

Then it'll repeat again.

It's baked into the architecture and DNA of your thing. Meaning - the EU weaknesses.

The founding "partners" - France and Germany - ensured it would be this way.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]

@Torq

If I am China, and I am watching this comedy unfold - then I would think:

1) These fools cannot coordinate a thing as "simple" as Ukraine, they will be absolutely hopeless during a hypothetical Taiwan.

2) It is not worth negotiating seriously with them over tariffs - because this means to disrespect oneself.

3) Europe must be getting irritated to such a point, that soon it will cross a "red line". Europe negotiated with America in good faith, and did not retaliate on tariffs - because they were worried to lose the American security guarantee during the largest war in Europe since 1945. Now America is dumping Europe anyway, so there is less incentive for Europe to sell away its Crown Jewels (the Common Market). Let us wait for the Americans and Europeans to arrive at a point of complete mutual distrust - and then swoop in as the mediator and broker.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


He told a group of Senators that this plan was a "Russian wish list".

They went on TV and said as much.

Then, the State Department spokesman came out, and called the Senators a bunch of liars - insisting that America authored the whole thing.

-//-

One of the Senators already came back, insisting he was not under the influence of any substances, and did not hallucinate his conversation with Rubio.

-//-

What a mess...

-//-

Poor Ukrainians and Europeans took this for the "genuine item", and have been discussing it in earnest like fools. Recording joint communiques from the G20 Summit in RSA, and staging press conferences.. lol!

At least the Russians simply said - haven't studied it, can't comment.

Well - now it is the real thing - and not least because the Europeans sh*t their pants and started running around like mad with this plan. It became a self fulfilling bag of sh*t for both them and the Ukrainians.

Sometimes - it's better to just stay silent and let things evolve on "inertia". Europe's silence would arguably be better than the desperate hysterics. America would still have to loop them in.

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News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Nah... now he says he wrote it. After some "input" from our side.

I don't blame you for losing track... on account this guy said three different things to 3 different groups of people within the past 36 hours.

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News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


She's no Indira Gandhi or Benazir Bhutto...

She seems very concerned with her looks, and in general - about the optics of things (as with so many EU functionaries) - as opposed to the substance of what is being done.

-///-

Nothing against women at large, but this woman specifically - and her very feminine approach to the office.

Same with Sana Marin.

Reason I posted that photo is because I think it's ridiculous and says a lot.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]

Europe's plans to-date:

1) We will support Ukraine for as long as it takes. (2022-2023).

2) We seek a just peace. (2024)

3) We really want to be invited to Alaska. Please? Any minerals left for us? (Summer 2025).

4) America is allowing us to admit Ukraine into the EU! Hooray! America is also allowing us to place our own planes in our own countries! Amazing! (Now)


Former Estonian PM. Now the EU Rubio.

In her (very sh*tty) memoir, she spends about as much time talking about photo shoots and how her dress fits - as she spends talking about her time as leader of Estonia.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Of course it does!


Europe is having a hard time coming up with a realistic peace plan, because Europe's top foreign policy official is an Estonian woman.

If instead of Kaja Kallas, it was a Viktor Orban or Robert Fico leading foreign policy - I think Europe would have had a seat at the table.

In the event, an FT article recently reported that American diplomats believe the EU has undergone an "Estoniazation" of foreign policy - where the hysterical behavior of micro-states along Russia's borders undermines the macro interests of the Union as a whole.

Source: on.ft.com/43KZOLV

Quote:

Just beneath the surface, there is real tension between the Trump administration and its Baltic allies. In Washington, I have heard complaints about the "Estonianisation" of European foreign policy - a reference to the fact that Kaja Kallas, the EU's foreign policy chief, is Estonia's former prime minister. In parts of the Trump administration, the Balts are regarded as dangerously aggressive in their attitude to Putin. At a recent high-level Pentagon meeting, Baltic officials were accused of being "ideological" in their opposition to Russia.

"Ideological" - lol. Curious how they would describe Poles...

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News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Noted.

I just wanted to make it clear - nobody tried to kill a 7 year old Polish girl - if this fact needed any explanation.

This is a tragedy, and a terrible thing. I just wanted to say this before others got here, and wrote something nasty.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Milo.

The whole world changed since you were posting last week.

I think it may be good for you to close YouTube, and open Google News for once, and type "Ukraine".

Read the first 5-10 articles... and come back to us with what you think.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


I did not want to say this, as I am not a Pole and it is not my place to dismiss the killing of a small child...

For what it's worth - the Ternopol strike almost certainly had a military component. The Ukrainians posted a photo of the office opposite where the child died, and there was a grenade launcher hanging on the wall.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Did not continue reading after this point...

Idiot.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


What's revolting is how you made these poor people fight for two extra years, to end up in the same place... or even worse.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]

Here's a Finn, who has been on many research trips to Ukraine, and cannot be accused by anyone of being a Russian sympathizer:

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News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Well now I feel bad...

I've upset my good friend.

-//-

I don't mean to be patronizing - but it's fully understandable to be upset when confronted with the ugly nature of the global system.

We Russians have been disgusted since the 1990s.

Nothing is sacred. Everything is for sale. Nobody cares about anything except for their ass.

That's life on Planet Earth.

Ukrainians listened to too much Radio Liberty, and spent too many evenings hanging out at the British Council.

They started to believe in dragons, and gnomes, and fairies - and now the Great Dildo of Consequences is crashing into their anus.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


3? Russian, English, and Ukrainian.

A little bit of Belarusian, but it's a fairy tale language...

Between Belarusian, Ukrainian and Russian - I can piece together most Polish constructions... but sometimes I stumble across something unexpected, and then have to reach for. a Polish dictionary or grammar book to understand what the hell is going on.

In general - as a Russian speaker - if something in Belarusian or Ukrainian looks strange, it's almost a 99% probability that it's Polish.

You collect these Polish mysteries in your head, and then they help you read and understand Polish.


For example - this is eminently understandable for a Russian.

No need to run for a translator.

Also, the famous video I shared of a Polish man chasing a beaver along the highway - is fully understandable for a Russian with zero translation.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Thank you.

I understand them, as America First (Polish Edition).

Polska dla Polaków, as Iron explained to me many times, includes:

1) No military missions abroad

2) No foreign entanglements

3) No emotional alliances

4) No "sacrificing Polish interests for others."

-//-

Do you think Iron shares your particular point of view?

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Don't be angry at us - we do what we have been evolved to do.

Be angry at America for flushing your friends down the toilet.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Ah, you are a real Slav man!

But do you disagree with my understanding of where Konfederacija stands on the question?

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


This is not what Nawrocki says.

This is not what KORWiN says.

Not what the folks of Ruch Narodowy say.

Not what the Zjednoczen folks say (Thank you Grzegorz!).

-//-

Maybe your PSL boys entertain such thoughts, but not the "meat" of Konfa.

And Konfa is the kingmaker, now and in future elections.

What can be done without them? Nothing.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Kania - if it's "time" - then you must understand that you will also fight without America.

If Poland unilaterally joins the war against Russia - even other NATO members have no obligation to you.

It will be you, and the Ukrainians with their naked asses - against Russia.

You'll probably also get sanctioned by the US.

Why don't you ask the French and the British, why they spent 18 months talking about deploying a force to Ukraine, and then suddenly shut up? What happened to the Coalition of the Willing?

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]

Newspaper articles and Twitter posts published - now the comments from Ukrainians are pouring in....

It doesn't look great for Zelensky (or good - I guess - if he wants to show Trump that the proposal is a non-starter).

It looks like the overwhelming majority of comments are... not happy ones.

Surprisingly enough - the Ukrainian military community of Twitter and Facebook are the ones that seem to have the most reasonable reaction.

Civilians, especially women, are pissed off at Trump and demanding "Vladimir, hold strong". Idiots.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]

Sorry Admin - you know I rarely ever do this... sure - posting an image with full text is perfect. but I believe this is a historic moment so just wanted to post the statement in full.

Zelensky just addressed the nation.

FT's Chris Miller reposted. Image below:

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News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


You're being a bit dramatic.

Western experts and Ukrainian realists are saying the plan is not half as bad as it may seem at first glance.

1) The Ukrainians would never have been able to support a standing army of 1.2M people. Even a twice reduced number of 600,000 is too heavy a load for their battered economy.

This means - in effect - that there aren't any real restrictions on Ukraine's army. Even at 200,000 - it would still be one of Europe's largest armies (this, in Europe's poorest country).

2) It seems Russia is agreeing to give up ant least half of its $200B parked in Europe, for Ukrainian reconstruction. Somehow, America also collects 50% of the profits from this reconstruction - which I don't really understand... WTF are profits from reconstruction?

3) Joining NATO was a pipe dream anyway. So Ukraine enshrining its neutral status in its constitution, and NATO amending its charter to say Ukraine can never join the org - doesn't really change anything.

4) It is made explicit that Ukraine can and should join the EU.

5) Ukraine receives US security guarantees. If Russia restarts the war, the US becomes legally obligated to defend Ukraine.

6) Russia (but also Ukraine) agrees to introduce changes to its school programme, promoting tolerance and understanding of each other's cultural legacy.

The worst part for Ukraine, is leaving the Donbass.

That's painful, but not the end of the world. They lost 99% of Luhansk, and about 79% of Donetsk.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Not sure I can follow your logic?

If Ukraine refuses to subscribe to the framework, and decides to continue fighting on in hopes of a better deal - it would be forced to rely only on Europe's resources.

In some aspects, the Europeans are capable of fully replacing the Americans, but in others they are not.

Intelligence has been many times cited as THE KEY ENABLER of Ukrainian successes.

American intelligence provides warning to the Ukrainians as bombs are being wheeled up to bomber jets (long before they are even airborne).

American intelligence makes it impossible for Russian forces to accumulate too close to the front lines - otherwise an HIMARS or ATACMS is liable to land on the troop grouping.

Without American intelligence - the Ukrainians will have to rely on their little drones to spot Russians - when they're already close and moving in on their positions.

-///-

Meaning - continued fighting without US intelligence is likely to be chaotic and damaging for Ukraine.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Reuters is writing that the Americans are holding out the threat of a full suspension of weapons transfers and intelligence sharing - if Zelensky does not sign on to the framework by next Thursday.

It seems the speculation of the past few days that this is not the "real" plan, but instead yet another hallucination of Witkoff - did not pan out.

It is a real plan, and Rubio and Trump have approved it.

It seems Congress was not informed (Lindsey Graham has been making various noises of indignation), as well as the Europeans.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


Today is the day, Maf chose to come out in favor the National Socialist German Worker's Party of Germany.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


If he is some Indian troll, and just represented a dead grandfather... then Hell is waiting for him.

Alternatively - he told the truth - and I can not help but recognize his family sacrifice.


Мое почтение твоему деду. Прости если меня заносит тут, но я не думаю что с Поляками нужно так общаться...

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 26 [1183]


I trust you see the question is not as simple as may seem to paranoid minds.