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Posts by mafketis  

Joined: 31 Mar 2008 / Male ♂
Warnings: 1 - O
Last Post: 5 hrs ago
Threads: Total: 43 / Live: 23 / Archived: 20
Posts: Total: 11781 / Live: 7079 / Archived: 4702
From: tez nie
Speaks Polish?: tak
Interests: tez nie

Displayed posts: 7102 / page 229 of 237
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mafketis   
8 Dec 2015
Work / Poland Work Permit / Study Visa Processing Times [191]

much money i can get per hour if i work for part time

I doubt if you can get a work permit for part time work and finding work in Poland (without extremely fluen tPolish) is very, very hard.

So, effectively .... nothing.
mafketis   
7 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

Women should have access to various options: full-time career woman, part-time career woman

In my experience most Polish women want one of those two. The full time homemaker option just doesn't ... appeal much here. Admittedly my sample is biased (I can't think of any stay at home housewives by choice I've known in Poland).
mafketis   
7 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

If he could, many women who opt for the supremely important job of raising children and running a well-organised household

You really don't understand Poland at ground level, do you? Most women want to work even if their husbands could make enough to support them.

"Housewife" is almost an insult (and it has nothing to do with communism or modernity). It's just the way it is.
mafketis   
7 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

For now there's "pressure" via foreign media, foreign financed NGOs etc.

Define "foreign"

This is primarily a class issue not a national one. There is a ruling elite class that has no allegiance to any country (no matter where they happen to be located at any given time). They're in charge of most of the media and it's interesting how little that is working.

At present, it's essentially a low level conflict between those who want to do away with the nation state (most of the elite) and those who want to keep it (most everyone else who's aware of the issue).
mafketis   
7 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

So far they are scaling up from "repeat the referendum until the results are "correct" " to "try to remove democratically elected government that we don't like".

It will be interesting to see what comes next and how people react to it. I would say election fraud but that's already probably happened.

Interestingly the first stage of the Houellebecq book "Submission" just happened in real life. If the book, ultimately power is given to an Islamic leader by the traditional right and left working together to keep a nationalist out of power.

I wonder what will be done to keep Le Pen out of an office that the elite clearly don't want her in.

The one thing I tend to agree with PiS about is the need to slow down the whole EU thing (though I'm not as anti-EU as they are). It would be nice to keep open borders and free movement of labor and not much else (maybe a limited federal structure for things like disaster relief).

If the 500 zł thing is ridiculous, then please us what will do the trick.

It's not the worst idea in the world, but the promises were dumb, trying to make it into an entitlement program.

Such a program would have to be means-tested, possibly linked to tax returns.

The real clue is supporting working (married) mothers. Lots of young Polish women want to get married and have kids but they know that's death to their job prospects and Poland remains a country where generally two-wage-earners are necessary to keep a household going. The idea of being a stay at home housewife has never had much appeal in Poland as far as I can tell so trying to promote that won't work.

Mandating employers give maternal leave and pay just makes employers not want to hire women.

The iron law of the workplace is that the more restrictions are placed on employment (including attempts to give people job security) the less employment there will be.

No one has beat that law yet.
mafketis   
7 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

Tusk is a German agent of influence, what was regarded as a conspiracy theory several years ago, is clear now for 2/3 of people.

It's not a conspiracy, it's an _agenda_ that the economic and political elite have that is in direct conflict with the wishes of the majority of every EU country.

Now that opposition to the agenda is becoming mainstream it will be interesting to see if they back off or double down and just how repressive they'll get in pursuit of their aims (roughly: no restrictions on capital liquidity).
mafketis   
7 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

The major milestones of PO losing power were:

I broadly agree, Merkel's Folly and subsequent clumsy efforts to force other countries to help her save face at home made her previously okay relationship with PO leaders absolutely toxic.

PO's campaigns (presidential and parliamentary) were sluggish and not very .... good. They did a horrible job of running on their accomplishments (no love for almost entirely avoiding the economic crisis still paralysing half the continent? No love for major infrastructural improvements?)

Established parties sometimes don't mind a few years out of power as a way to clean house and refocus on their message and I sort of think that's what was going on this year (especially after Bronisław "I will concentrate deeply and try to contact the living" Komorowski's boring effort). The question is is PO established enough to be able to afford the downtime or will younger hungrier parties (like Nowoczesna) take their place (I wouldn't mind).

My preference would be for a moderate to conservative fiscal policy (lotsa luck with socialists like PiS) and a moderately liberal social policy (while not trying to push Poles in directions they don't want to go socially).

The problem is that PiS is no better than PO in terms of what most voters care about (roughly, in order 1. job creation, 2. job creation, 3. job creation). They haven't lifted one finger to do anything that will increase employment so far (nor do I expect them to). Some voters had hoped that by putting younger faces forward PiS was changing but no such luck. I was talking with one younger person who now bitterly regrets voting for PiS (he said he was voting more against PO than for PiS and had hoped D/S wouldn't be completely dominated by JK).

They've already thrown the Frankowicze under the bus and are backtracking with the ridiculous 500 zl per baby pledge.

PiS can still turn this around but unless they double down on job creation (which means adopting policies that will alienate many of their core supporters) then this term in office won't be any more successful than the last.

I'll add: "Deeper European intergration" is a loser at the polls in almost every EU country now. But idiots like Merkel and the out-of-touch EU elite don't realize this. I don't know anyone who wants Poland to leave the EU (yet) but if they don't back off and give member states more room they're going to wreck it (and if they don't back off then wrecking it is probably the best option).
mafketis   
7 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

If this persists, Duda is finished as a lawyer and academic teacher.

Having a politician with a trust rating in the high 30's completely under the thumb of one with a trust ranking in the low 20's is not a recipe for success.

He'll always have a place at the perpetually angry table of those who are incapable of being happy about anything going on in Poland (like Polonius, Ironside etc) but he's rapidly working himself out of the mainstream.

PiS is already taking over courts, and it's in bed with the Church too

the thing is that most Poles are not very religious (common stereotypes to the contrary). The church has lost a huge amount of support for its political actions in recent years.

I'm assuming that soon PiS will start working its destructive magic on higher education (in which case Poland is finished as a prospective first world country).
mafketis   
6 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

low scum who should be rounded up put against the wall and summarily executed.

How many Polish people do you want to kill to make a better Poland?
mafketis   
5 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

From memory, the MSzMP in Hungary also abandoned Communism as early as October 1989.

Also Hungary granted asylum to ethnic Hungarians from Romania's very repressive regime as early as 1988, an unheard breach of communist protocal at the time that went unchallenged by the USSR (signalling weakness).

Ending communism was a group effort and Hungarians, Poles, East Germans and Czechoslovaks can all be proud of the roles they played in that noble undertaking without contests about who was first with exactly what.

Too bad that so many here are nostalgic for the PRL and want the current government to emulate its ways.
mafketis   
5 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

Indeed, PiS's concern has always been first nad foremost the good of the nation.

You could have fooled a lot of people actually living in the nation. Because so much of what they do is oriented around the past rather than the present (and forget about the future).

How is destroying the TK or turning it into a set of PiS lap dogs going to create jobs? (number one priority of younger voters)
mafketis   
5 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

They have to destroy the constitution to save it?

My theory: This isn't about the earlier PiS government as it's specifically about the 2006 mayoral elections where PiS tried to invalidate the results on the basis of a law which could not pass any constitutional muster (it required greater diligence on the part of the candidate's spouse than of the candidate themself). The TK declared the law in violation of the constitution and she took office. This was a vital shot in the arm for PO who went on to take the parliament.

At the time JK or LK (can't remember which) said a lot of things about respecting laws even if they're poorly written. I guess things have changed and only laws that please JK should be followed.
mafketis   
5 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

many viewers say to themselves: "Oh no, more political claptrap!" Some switch channels to some soap or sitcom.

This is from the "not as reassuring as it's meant to be" file. You're saying that Polish people are politically passive and don't care what the government does as long as it can hand out some goodies. A very damning indictment.
mafketis   
5 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

But the Polish one learnt from that mistake and so many things are very clear and unambiguous.

Another important difference is between common law (US) and civil law (Poland most European countries) where lots of things have to be spelled out in the constitution in the latter where as the former leaves them for courts to figure out.
mafketis   
5 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

That simply doesn't apply here. For a start, the United States Constitution doesn't have anything about decisions being final,

Well there's no appealing a Supreme Court decision so in that way, yeah, it's rulings are final (though they have no enforcement power). Sometimes a sitting court will agree to hear a case that is similar to a previous one and may come to a different decision but that's not tremendously common. the basic job of the Supreme Court is to make judgements on whether particular laws or lower court decisions violate the federal constitution or not. Since the constitution is written in unclear, ambiguous language a lot of the time (probably on purpose) there's no shortage of disagreements on how to interpret it.

To quote a famous U.S. President, "[The Chief Justice] has made his decision; now let him enforce it!"

You really don't want to be quoting Andrew (most genocidal US President ever) Jackson. (plus, he probably never said it).

another scandal when Franklin Roosevelt proposed packing the U.S. Supreme Court with favorable justices.)

That's what the the current case reminds me of. In America, people love(d) to complain about Supreme Court decisions but reacted very stronly to attempts to maniupulate it by stacking the deck. Now stacking the court is the open goal of both sides in the US.

the President is now in breach of the Constitution

If the Polish public decides it doesn't like this I wonder what will happen to Duda. In some ways the US politician JK reminds me most of is Karl Rove one of the masterminds behind George W Bush. Any politicians that openly cooperated with W lived to regret it (Tony Blair and Colin Powell for starters).
mafketis   
4 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

he cannot ignore what the TK says.

He is ignoring it, I wouldn't be surprised if regrets doing so sooner or later. The more integrity he has the more he will regret it.
mafketis   
4 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

Duda spoke to the country, but it looks like he's made a complete mess of things.

Three weeks into PiS as a ruling party and already the biggest government crisis since.......? I see they aren't wasting any time.

It looks to me like Duda is lost.

Yep, he's caught between loyalty to the party and loyalty to the country and constitution. something tells me he's not made for such pressure and will probably break soon (or be discarded by the party and forced to resign, who would be president then?)
mafketis   
3 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

It's hard to see Duda as anything but a marionette, do you have any evidence that he's his own man and would ever stand up to JK?
mafketis   
3 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

They've also ruled that Duda was/is obliged to take their oath immediately and that any other interpretation is unlawful.

I wonder what Kaczyń... I mean Duda, President Duda, that's who I mean, I wonder what he'll do now.
mafketis   
3 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

Nobody opened this subject because as soon as you do, you will be attacked by a bunch of 18 years olds from Chicago

Bring it on, I can take care of myself.

they appointed 5 Tribunal judges -- 3 of them legally, 2 illegally

Explain how two were appointed illegally and why the three that even you admit were appointed legally were not sworn in.

If what PiS is doing is for the good of the nation then why are they subverting the rule of law?
mafketis   
3 Dec 2015
News / Throwing away the constitution in Poland? [626]

Why is there not more discussion on recent events? The PiS government has been making a steady attack on the rule of law by trying to pack the Constitutional Court (Trybunał Konstytucyjny) with PiS supporters by highly irregular means.

Why are they doing this? Are they simply trying to remove any obstacle to ruling by decree?

How can what they're doing be justified by supporters beyond "the end justifies the means"? (we all know where that leads)

Mods: Please don't attach this to some other unrelated thread. This is a separate issue that needs its own thread.
mafketis   
2 Dec 2015
Work / How does a person join the Poland's army? [39]

In order to be able to speak Polish you will need at least 2 years of learning about 5 or 6 hours a day

The school in £ódź used to take people with no previous knowledge of Polish and get them in shape for university courses in 8 months. Of course these were highly intelligent university students but the idea is that it is possible (if not easy) to make someone fluent quickly.

I don't know if that school is still in operation.
mafketis   
27 Nov 2015
News / Polish final report on Smoleńsk aircrash [870]

What was American Revolution about then?

No taxation without representation (American version of nic o nas bez nas)

Wasn't 9/11 a case were Americans felt wronged by the big hostile jealous world?

You'd be surprised at how many Americans blame the US for that (and later troubles). I don't, but the basic principle is that countries sometimes victimize people and are sometimes victimized. Infantile nationalists don't realize there countries ever have done (or could have done) wrong.

A lot?

Well I was just at MON's site and the front page has two pictures of him with foreign dignitaries....
mafketis   
27 Nov 2015
News / Poland's post-election political scene [4080]

PO is finished, washed up, kaput

Who will you blame everything on if they do disappear? Bogeymen just don't make themselves, you know.