News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


Moving HEU is not as easy as it sounds, based on what I've read from papers in recent days.

It's not as highly radioactive compared to other nuclear materials, but still poses a high risk.

It can literally explode like an ersatz nuclear bomb, in what's known as a "criticality" accident. That will kill anyone that is near, and contaminate the area.

Maybe it's possible to move it on 24 hours notice, but it seems like it's hard.

UK, Ireland / BBC launches new Polish language news service [87]


My favorite form of drinking.

Am enjoying some fine bourbon, right this very moment, from AntV's home state. In utter solitude.

It's not about sadness, or drama. It's about ownership. You pour exactly what you want, exactly how you want it. No one judges your ice-to-whiskey ratio (zero). No one steals your olives. No one tries to turn the music up "just a little."

You can toast to absolutely nothing. Or everything.

You can sit in your kitchen in your underwear and listen to some obscure jazz or Soviet wartime marches or German industrial metal - whatever you, in that moment, feel like. You're not performing. You're not managing anyone else's vibe. It's just you and the glass, having a delightful conversation.

Po polsku / Tylko dla Polaków [16]

Faszyści.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


To use an astronomical analogy - I think we are like a binary asteroid.

Two bodies that orbit each other closely, when all other conditions are stable, but then suddenly have very volatile and collision-liable trajectories as soon as they pass a third body - which had exerted a momentary gravitational pull.


Fine, have it your way.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


The lady doth protest too much, methinks.

Oh... sooo complicated. Sooo complex. So arcane and Byzantine in its internal structures... that we shouldn't even bother.

Come on AntV...

Occupation is occupation. Forced resettlement is forced resettlement. Expropriation is expropriation. Murder is murder. Theft is theft.

Nuance is important, and impartiality, but here I feel you are trying to make something that is pretty straightforward into something more complex than it is.

Po polsku / Koniec Tuska [17]


Dlaczego nie chcesz omawiać takich tematów po angielsku? Myślę, że inni czytelnicy również byliby zainteresowani tym, jak ewoluowały poglądy Torqa.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


This leaves me with very conflicted feelings, hehehe.

On the one hand - I'm sorry our boy Iran got run over by a truck...

On the other hand... this pipeline business is just so freaking important. We've been chasing the Chinese for the better part of ten years, begging them to sign this contract. They've been wrinkling their nose, and furrowing their eyebrows, and making all sorts of ridiculous demands. They basically wanted the gas for free.

When we had Europe, we managed to negotiate the Power of Siberia pipeline - albeit on pretty ****** terms. When we lost our main customer, China really had us between a rock and a hard place. And now... how the tables have turned!

Too bad it's gonna take like 5 years to bring this pipe online. But once it gets going, it won't shut down for the better part of a century.

Supposedly China has some internal rule where they don't want more than 20% of their energy supplies coming from a single source. They're gonna have to amend that, and become like the Germans - sitting tightly on Russia's oil needle.

--///--

Maybe I should put this in the stock trading thread... but I have a near 100% confidence level in that Russia's European pipelines will be restarted.

It may take a very long time before it reaches the 150-200 billion cubic meters we used to supply annually, but it should rise to 50-75 bcm pretty quickly. This should act as additional pressure on China.

First, I think supplies through the southern corridor will increase. Then the Ukrainian pipeline will be relaunched (to help meet their budget needs, and as a "soft" form of reparations from Russia). The finally stage would be the relaunching of the Nord Stream pipes 1 and 2.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


F*ck them.

We didn't get anything from them.

Everything we got, was from the Greeks in Constantinople.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


Do you not see the answer - here?

We are one people. One leader. One empire.

ONE THOUSAND YEARS OF SLAVIC POWER!

Edit: I'm sorry, I had to.

USA, Canada / Polish people in Kentucky? [11]

@AntV

lol.

A thread with 8 posts.

How did you find this?

Genealogy / Russian POW Camp records [71]


Not strange... but nearly impossible.

Something does not add up.

All sorts of people, during that period, had strange biographies - and this is one of them.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


1) Christ as King

2) Russia First - meaning immigrants, and everyone else has to get in line first

3) Peace through strength - we have been abused and taken advantage of. From now on, we shoot first, ask questions later.

4) Death to GloboHomo. No public displays of affection by homosexuals, zero visibility for transgenders, zero propaganda of tolerance in schools, zero understanding for their pain.

5) Destruction of any supranational entities that try to control people. EU. UN. WTO. NATO. Everything else. National will - SUPREME.

Off-Topic / What is a woman? [844]

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Off-Topic / What is a woman? [844]

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News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


What?

America and Russia have been friends more often, and for longer, than they had been enemies.

America built up our industry. Henry Ford built Gaz, and General Electric built our power plants. John Deere mechanized our agriculture. 3M helped us develop our chemical industry.

America clothed us and provided Jeeps and Studebeckers for transport during the war.

In the 19th century, it mainted absolute neutrality during all of Russia's wars. We had a completely bloodless transfer of parts of Northern California, Washington, Oregon, and Alaska between each other.

America has cowboys. We have Cossacks. They have the West, and Manifest Destiny. We have the East, and the March to the Pacific.

Both countries are "larger than life". These expanses they define the national character, and is what makes Americans and Russians feel like they have so much to offer the world, as opposed to Belgians or Italians.

Only two countries have a vision for the whole world.

China is as rich as God, but still cannot formulate what it wants. You never have to ask Russia or America what they want. They'll provide you with a long list,

Off-Topic / What is a woman? [844]

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News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


Not better trade deals. There is no trade to regulate.

He offered to lift all sanctions and inaugurate a new era of Russian-American friendship, mutually beneficial to both nations in the material sense.

That was the right message and the right tone.

Russians were tired of Obama's and Biden's lectures about how we should behave, without offering anything attractive in return.

Trump literally offered the ONE thing that actually moves the needle, and gives us ammunition here in Russia against the war hawks.

Now I know all of Ukraine and all of Europe wants to see Russia punished severely. Maybe it even deserves it. But do you have the stick requisite to punish us? No? Trump does - and Trump is offering us to be friends again.

Europe and Ukraine will have to quiet their bloodlust and desire for vengeance.

Off-Topic / What is a woman? [844]

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News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


20 is a whole lot more than the 8 Tu-160s we have.

You also have more B-52s than we have Tu-95s.

The Russian answer to the Raider has been hopelessly delayed, thanks to the war in Ukraine. Some geniuses, starting about two years ago, started saying we don't need it or the aircraft carrier - because unmanned systems have changed the rules of the game.

This successful American operation just gave Tupolev and Ilyushin a huge shot in the arm. Now Putin will likely accelerate the PAK DA "Envoy" program.

Turns out stealth bombers can still wreck ****, in a way that no drone ever could.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


Actually? Nothing.

Technically, according to our Constitution, he's not even in the line of succession for the presidency, if a big icicle falls on Putin's head one day from the Kremlin bell tower.

He's Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the RF. The Security Council is less powerful than the American National Security Council. It's a purely consultative organ, with no executive functions.

As Deputy Chairman, he does not even control the agenda of the Security Council. Putin sets the agenda, and chairs the meetings.

He's not even the second, or third most powerful person on the Security Council - that's the Minister of Defense and the head of the FSB.

--//--

So he doesn't do much of anything.

That's why in recent years, Medvedev has largely reinvented himself as a radical hawk, posting unhinged threats on Telegram and echoing the most maximalist war rhetoric. But he does it in such comedic fashion, that even his supposed constituency of "war fighters" can't take him seriously.

He wears a Mao-style French tunic, and strange jewelry. Likes to announce impromptu visits to state armament factories, and then prowls around the production floor nodding at tanks and artillery pieces with a knowing wink and a little pat of his paws.

They say he writes too, but the things he writes are so hideous - that people need to check themselves into rehabilitation for two weeks after reading his works. Allegedly it's poetry, but I have also heard fantasy fiction.

Curious fella.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


The EU is the most disgusting weakling of all. Not mentioning them, because... well because they're entirely useless.

Having been kicked to the periphery in a war on their own Continent, they decided they'd like to try their hand at Iran.

Again they trotted out all their foreign policy cavalry, and the Iranians actually obliged and received them. The result - a big fat zero.

Israel laid a big fat turd on their diplomatic efforts. Trump told them to "stay the hell out".

And they did. Meekly retreated back into their corner.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


Dunno if you saw this, but Medvedev came crawling out of his den yesterday with what amounted to a public apology.

I imagine it was pretty humiliating for this wannabe Napoleon, to do such a thing... so something serious must have happened.

More likely than not, it was Putin that told him to shut his trap and stay in his lane.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]

@Torq @AntV

"Israel, as soon as we made the deal, they came out and they dropped a load of bombs," Trump said, "the likes of which I've never seen before, the biggest load that we've seen. I'm not happy with Israel."

This was what Trump said early this morning, before he said "they don't know what the f*ck they are doing".

What is that, but a transparent attempt by Netanyahu to override the will of the POTUS, and forcefully drag America deeper into war?

It's what Zelensky does every time as well, when it seems like this war will wind down. Then when Putin inevitably responds, he starts shrieking like a hysterical woman that "Putin" cannot be trusted. Same sh*t - trying to continue the war at all costs, in a desperate attempt to end it on his terms.

Hmmm?

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


Not sure that he has.

If you love peace, then all this looks and smells pretty good.

If you are cynic, however, it's easy to argue that what happened was:

1) Israel was doing a hell of a job fighting Iran

2) Trump decided to hop onto the train at the last minute, so he could be seen as "kicking ass"

3) Without any proof that Iran's nuclear program was disabled - he declared Mission Accomplished.

That is, one could argue that it's becoming increasingly clear that the United States is unable or unwilling to engage in protracted operations.

--//--

Living here for quite a while, and having a healthy appreciation for American strength - I think that this incapability/inability is largely political in nature. America certainly has the wherewithal, but it lacks the will.

That's all that's important for people like Xi and Putin to observe. Can we escalate to such an extent, that America will always back down? Will the American people support a forceful intervention by Trump in Ukraine or Taiwan?

The Fordow strikes were a powerful demonstration of America's unparalleled technical dominance and the unbelievable professionalism of its military. But we already knew this, if even some people began to forget.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


Yeah, the "they don't know what the f*ck they are doing" was pure poetry.

In one sentence, he explained the situation in such terms, that every single American can understand what is happening.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]

Yep here it is:

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News / The Iran war and Poland [826]


Yeah, haha!

Iran fired off a single ballistic missile after the start of the ceasefire. Israel mounted a huge bombing run in response.

Trump said that Iran fired its missile by mistake, and that he was extremely frustrated with Israel for its disproportionate response.

Then he said "they don't know what the f*ck they are doing" as he was walking to Marine One.

Finally he tweeted this... and apparently it worked. The planes were rerouted mid air, and are returning to Israel.

P.S. - Defense editor of the Economist argues that Trump is likely correct. That Iranian commanders had earlier this year fired missiles into Pakistan, and it was later determined that this was done without the authorization of Khamenei.

The command and control issues likely stem from Iran implementing mass delegation of responsibility to lower level commanders in response to Israel's decapitation attacks.

Basically, some overeager Persian colonel had fired off the missile, or... he had simply not been aware of the ceasefire.

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News / The Iran war and Poland [826]

Trump: "We have two countries (Israel and Iran) that have been fighting so long and so hard that they don't know what the f*ck they are doing"

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]

@AntV

This makes me think the Iranian foreign ministry guy was telling the truth when he said that the Admin called ahead of the strikes to provide a heads up, and to warn that it was a "one off" and not to go crazy.

Which I guess is kind of a bad ass move.

Even from Russia, this looks pretty goddamn impressive.

News / The Iran war and Poland [826]

Bro seriously?

"Come on dude, Iran should get to bomb us - they gotta get it outta their system."

What is this world we are living in?

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