News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 21 [238]


I'm not gonna post pictures of dead bodies, but look what the Ukrainians are writing - just a day later:

censor.net/ru/news/3546774/artyuh-prokommentiroval-nagrajdenie-voennyh-v-sumah-13-aprelya

This is a Ukrainian website, which I've linked here many times, run by a rabid Ukrainian nationalist that hates Russians a bit more than completely. No accusation of Russian manipulation possible here.

What does the article say?

It cites the head of the city's defense administration, who actively denies it was his idea to stage an award ceremony for soldiers of the 117th Territorial Defense Brigade at the Sumy University convention center.

He is replying to that same MP's (Maryana Bezugla) accusations that leadership had gathered soldiers on a Sunday at a university for an award ceremony.

The journalist asks him - "was this your idea?"

The guy says - "No, it was not my idea, but I was simply invited there instead. Who invited me? I can't say."

That's it. Case closed.

Kania with his anger over Russians bombing church queues. You with your ever present mistrust of Russians.... All it took was one single day to confirm that Ukraine is lying - AGAIN.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 21 [238]


... and?

You do not find it unusual, that a hand selected (by Zelensky) member of the President's party, is being treated as some leper?

I didn't find this girl, Zelensky did. He trusted her enough, to allow him to represent his own voice in parliament.

She wasn't just an anonymous rank-and-file member of parliament either. Not some trophy wife of a oligarch, that only shows up to vote on laws. As you yourself pointed out - she was Deputy Chair of the Parliamentary Committee on National Security and Defense.

She had the power to audit the Ministry of Defense, to call generals and colonels to testify, and to visit any section of the frontline which interested her (and she did this a lot).

If she thinks that Ukrainian generals are idiots that don't care about the safety of the enlisted members - who are you to argue with her?

Do you know anything about the Mirotvorets website which you mentioned? Both the EU and the US have asked Ukraine to shut it down. It features a great number of Europeans and Americans that did a great deal to help Ukraine, and whose only fault is some uncareful tweet or facebook post. People whose names have been entered into Mirotvorets have received death threats. It is a criminal website, run by Ukrainian nationalists. Great job Paulina!

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 21 [238]


The Ukrainian MP, Maryana Bezugla, mentioned in the Russian statement is not an imaginary person. Also, the issue of soldiers being gathered in large numbers for unnecessary ceremonies is not an imagined one (nor does it only happen with the Ukrainian side, unfortunately).

Here is a report from March, from a Ukrainian news source, about a commander being fired in the aftermath of a Russian missile strike in Dnipropetrovsk.

Source: ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3966408-training-center-chief-unit-commander-suspended-after-deadly-russian-strike-cinc.html

This strike also involved an Islander-M.

The command told everybody to gather in an open field (this, in the third year of the war), and was 30 minutes late to arrive. The men stood out in the open, while a Russian drone observed from overhead. A "double tap" approach was used, as favored by the Israelis.

This is part of the answer to your question about why there are no photos from "spies" on the ground. It is because drones are used to surveil territories close enough to the frontline. The rest is:

1) There are also satellites
2) There is signals intelligence
3) You don't want to "burn" your agents by having them lay out photos on Instagram

The Ukrainian government forbids media and citizens from posting photos or videos from the location of Russian strikes. The ostensible reason is to deny the Russian military the ability to carry out damage assessment. This is nonsense. The Russian military does not rely on Instagram to assess damage.

The real reason Ukraine forbids reporting from strike sites (other than through fully stage managed reports), is because it allows the government to continue arguing that every single Russian strike is a war crime.

When people shared videos on social media that clearly controvert the government line, by showing clearly that a military target was struck - those people get arrested by the SBU and jailed.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 21 [238]


Why hit a church gathering? Iskanders are not free, and Ukrainian babushkas and kids represent no value whatsoever. They represent NEGATIVE value.

Hitting them damages Russian morale, and boosts Ukrainian morale.

Hitting them leads to less recruits in Russia, just as Ukraine hitting Russian civilians leads to increased recruitment.

With a city like Sumy, you can be certain there is a very high chance there were Russian citizens in that crowd, or relatives of people living in Kursk and Belgorod.

It makes no sense at all.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 21 [238]


I will tell you that Ukraine is lying, again, and you will tell me in response that Russia is lying. What's the point of this?

Ukraine has lost several hundred men over the past month, when Russia struck them during various ceremonies. There is public outcry in Ukraine, over why commanders continue to gather men in locations where there is constant Russian surveillance.

Here is a Google-translated report from the Russian side (notice it quoted a Ukrainian MP - Bezugla). You are free to look at the pictures yourself and tell me if you spot the military pickups and bodies in uniform.

Excerpt:

Fake: The Russian Armed Forces intentionally hit the civilian population of the city of Sumy with Iskander missiles. This was stated by Volodymyr Zelensky.

Truth: The strike by two high-precision Iskander-M OTRKs was carried out on the congress center of Sumy University, where the award ceremony of the Ukrainian Armed Forces militants was taking place. The electronic warfare systems installed there were able to deflect one of the missiles. The second missile hit the target exactly. Thus, the Ukrainian army once again exposed its own civilian population to attack. The human shield tactic has been used by the Ukrainian Armed Forces since the very beginning of the conflict.

The presence of military personnel on the territory of the congress center is also proven by the vehicles captured on video by Ukrainian media. For example, several army pickups are visible, including one with a tactical sign (triangle). Units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces with exactly these tactical signs invaded the Kursk region in August 2024. The concentration of vehicles of this type is not typical for urban conditions. Also, Ukrainian military personnel were captured on video in the first minutes after the explosion. What they were doing on Sunday at the supposedly "non-working" congress center is a rhetorical question.

The fact that the military award ceremony was held was confirmed by Verkhovna Rada deputy Maryana Bezugla:

"Appeal to Syrsky and separately to the commander of the Troops: do not gather the military for the award ceremony, and especially in civilian cities - the Russians again had information about the gathering. And there is still a formation at the training grounds..."

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 21 [238]


It was not a strike on "people going to church". It was a strike on the center of a city, which is crucial to what happens next in this war.

After the Ukrainians were largely pushed out of Kursk, they re-entrenched themselves along a line on the border (on the Russian side) that provides them commanding heights.

These forces are being supplied out of Sumy - which acted as the logistical hub for the entire Kursk operation during its 8 month history.

Instead of sending them to aid the fight in the Donbass or in the South, Zelensky and Syrski are keeping their men there. The rationale they provide, is that these men must act as a screening force to prevent a planned Russian re-invasion of the North. This new invasion is supposed to be effected by a fresh grouping of up to 160,000 Russian servicemen.

To blunt the Russian preparations, Ukraine has been using its F-16s to perform strikes right along the line of contact. Yesterday - one F-16 was shot down while dropping precision bombs on Russian positions.

Russian strikes on Sumy are not intended for "killing churchgoers", but disrupting the Ukrainian rear on a new potential front.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 21 [238]


I actually like this idea. I think there are several reasons it may work:

1) Ukraine itself always acts like the pipeline is an albatross around its neck, and not a money printing machine. Why not help the Ukrainians unburden themselves of this weight?

2) Russia (Gazprom) pays a very handsome and very stable fee for using the pipeline. Depending on volumes, it can be as much as $3-4 billion a year.

3) Under this scenario - it is not Ukraine being "extorted" out of its mineral wealth, but Russia paying "reparations". Ukrainian leadership saves face, and can boast about "making Russia pay".

4) Unlike some ephemeral Ukrainian rare earths (where nobody knows if they actually exist), under this scenario the US will have a total assurance that the money it spent on Ukraine will be paid back within a relatively short time frame.

5) As for Russia - we don't care who we pay transit fees to. What we do care about is regaining access to our historic consumers in a context where Nord Stream is still out of commission.

6) American control over the pipeline would address one of the main pre-war concerns of Russia - random shut offs and theft by the Ukrainians.

Off-Topic / Stock Market Talk and Trading - part 2 [379]


Perhaps it is too simple an example.

Lets imagine this:

1) I am Boeing

2) I buy jet engines from Rolls Royce for $20 million dollars.

3) A trade deficit is formed with Rolls Royce - for exactly $20 million dollars

4) Rolls Royce stubbornly refuses to buy airplanes for me, but instead insists I simply continue buying engines

Am I a loser?

Does it matter that I later sold a plane for $80 million dollars to China Airlines - netting a 25% margin in the process?

How about this:

1) You go to the barber, and he cuts your hair. Charges $30.

2) You now have a trade deficit of $30 with the barber.

3) You go home, and with the hour saved from not cutting your own hair - earn 100X what you paid to the barber.

Should you then go back to the barber, and demand that he purchase a $30 foot massage from you - to balance accounts?

Off-Topic / Stock Market Talk and Trading - part 2 [379]

Another great stock pick if you are bullish Russia - GAZPROM.

Total market cap is $35 billion dollars. Meanwhile, ExxonMobil which is tiny in comparison is worth almost half a trillion dollars.

You can own the largest gas producer in the world, for a 90% discount.

Did I forget to say it pays a 50% dividend? Who cares about the stock price performance, when Gazprom prints money for you? It will continue to print money in dividends, for as long as the Russian government relies on it to fill up its coffers.

Off-Topic / Stock Market Talk and Trading - part 2 [379]


Look at Surgutneftegas.

The company's market cap is 1.6 trillion rubles. It has almost 7 trillion Rubles of cash-like assets on its balance, and practically zero debt.

That is, the company is worth about $16 billion dollars, while it has almost $70B of cash sitting in deposits.

Theoretically - if you could buy the company, you would immediately get a 4X+ return.

It's one of the most mysterious companies on the Moscow Exchange. It has been hoarding cash for almost twenty years. Nobody knows anything about who it's shareholders are, beyond its mysterious director Vladimir Bogdanov who only controls a small share.

Rumor is that it is Putin's personal piggy bank. It's as good an explanation as any, for why an oil and gas company would hoard dollars like Smaug the Dragon.

At one point last year - SURGUTNEFTEGAS accounted for 40% of all FX deposits in Russia. There were about $150B of USD-denominated deposits in Russia, and $70B of it was held by SNG.

They never invest this cash into anything. Not even US Treasuries (they can't do it now because they are sanctioned). They could have turned that $70B into $500 billion by now, through simple investment activity, but instead they just collect more and more cash.

So there's a stock tip for you - a company which controls 5 times more cash than its worth.

Off-Topic / USA and The Middle East. [27]


It's very funny how to you:

1) Trump is a galactic-scale moron for destroying the US economy with tariffs

2) Trump is a complete idiot for not respecting his alliance with your sh*thole of a country

3) Trump is a traitor for selling Ukraine down the river

4) and so on, and so forth...

But then at the same time "Trump is exactly right to be attacking the Houthis".

In Russian we say - "Either pull your pants up, or take the crucifix off your neck".

I realize that hating brown people is your primary forte, but what do you know specifically about the Houthis to be able to say that "Trump is doing exactly the right thing?"

Off-Topic / What's your hobby? [186]

@Torq

Slavs are Gods of literature.

They seem like idiots, but at the same time they see through your soul :)

Life / Trendsetter from Poland. [86]


F*cking idiots.

I hope you starve to death.

Off-Topic / Random Chat Thread [1062]

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Off-Topic / Random Chat Thread [1062]

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News / Presidential elections 2025 - the race has commenced!!! [305]


I love this motherf*cker.

But still my number one is Zbigniew Stonoga, after I was introduced to him by Kania.

Only Stonoga can honestly tell his "imbecilic" electorate, that the way PiS will f*ck them... "tak sie powinno was jiebat jak tylko was Moze".

Respect to this man.

Off-Topic / Random Chat Thread [1062]

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News / Presidential elections 2025 - the race has commenced!!! [305]


Once again - I ask you what about this appears to you as antisemitic?

You are beginning to sound a little bit hysterical. Please calm down.

Off-Topic / What's your hobby? [186]


Did you forget the Imperial secret agent that was tasked with "entering Schweik's trust"?

Agent Brettschneider?

Who was so ashamed of the costs he imposed on the Inperial treasury, that he locked himself in an apartment with the seven poor wretches he bought from Schweik - and was eventually eaten by them?

When Schweik heard about this, he only said: "It will be hard for him to gather his bones at the Final Judgement".

Off-Topic / What's your hobby? [186]

@Torq
Have you forgot Schweik?!?!

• 
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News / Presidential elections 2025 - the race has commenced!!! [305]


I was thinking of you when I decided to share my hobby of stealing dogs, in the hobby thread.

News / Presidential elections 2025 - the race has commenced!!! [305]

@Torq

Perfection of argumentation.

News / Presidential elections 2025 - the race has commenced!!! [305]


What do you find anti-Semitic about this?

First - an open flame inside a historic building is a dangerous fire hazard.

Second - if I say that Ramadan is Satanic - does that mean I am a Arabophobe? Of course not.

Third - should people that take part in Satanic worship not be ashamed?

Off-Topic / What's your hobby? [186]


What would you like to know?

If you are in the market for a Schnauzer, for example, I would recommend equipping yourself with some cod liver.

If we are talking a Dachshund - then of course I would suggest carrying some smoked meats in your pocket. Perhaps a toy or two.

Off-Topic / What's your hobby? [186]


Yes, but this is only because of colonialism.

Off-Topic / What's your hobby? [186]


You do not eat dogs in Britain?

Off-Topic / What's your hobby? [186]

My hobby is stealing dogs.

History / Why American military aid to Europe and Poland is important to America itself? [212]


Russia has likely 600-700,000 men in Ukraine right now, or along the Russian side of the border.

Russia is much, much, much poorer than America.

Somehow we are not bankrupt.

I think America will figure this out somehow.

They sent 500,000 men to Iraq during Desert Storm on only a month's notice.

History / Why American military aid to Europe and Poland is important to America itself? [212]


Dear Grunnie,

Tomorrow, America unloads 100,000 troops in Greenland.

Likely completely unopposed - since the United States has the legal right to do so.

This would immediately TRIPLE Greenland's population. From 50,000 - it goes to 150,000.

At this point - it is too late for Europe to do anything. Want to fight it out against the US in Greenland, and risk Russia and China helping the US?

I highly doubt it.

Europe cannot - in any universe - fight the United States. It certainly cannot fight Russia and the United States at the same time.

Solution? Be quiet and bear it. Grow your strength quietly, until you are finally ready to flex it.

But before then - don't embarrass yourself.

History / Why American military aid to Europe and Poland is important to America itself? [212]


I'm gonna say something dangerous...

Russia doesn't care about denazification, NATO, wokeness, etc.

Russia cares about power and sovereignty. Sovereignty meaning the ability to live life as you want to, without looking behind your back.

The United States does not care about "Arctic security", the maintenance of free passage for commerce, or anything else. It wants Greenland also for raw power.

It's not convenient for us, to reveal these ambitions to you openly. It makes us look bad, and feel awkward.

Now what are you gonna do about it?