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Posts by Tacitus  

Joined: 6 Jul 2017 / Male ♂
Warnings: 2 - QQ
Last Post: 19 hrs ago
Threads: 2
Posts: 1,233

Displayed posts: 1235 / page 4 of 42
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Tacitus   
4 Mar 2021
News / Coronavirus in Poland [6454]

The mystery continues...

What is so mysterious about this? Japan and South Korea are both (semi-)islands with previous pandemic experience and who found naturally easier to isolate than European countries with many direct neighbours.

clocks in at 290 per million

And who knows how many deaths and infections are not detected because of the lack of testing equipment. Wealthy countries can test more and will discover more cases, not to mention how knows how autopsies are performed in poorer countries.

The true picture will only emerge later when surplus deaths are taken into account anyway. Russia seems to be doing especially poorly, despite the regime's attempt to hide the true scale of the pandemic.

themoscowtimes.com/2021/02/18/russia-has-one-of-the-worlds-highest-excess-death-rates-why-arent-russians-angrier-a72981
Tacitus   
24 Feb 2021
Off-Topic / Serbia etc. thread 2 [925]

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Tacitus   
23 Feb 2021
News / Coronavirus in Poland [6454]

He is no scientist, he has no credentials, his opinions are just that

His opinions are based on those of scientists and luckily for the world, he is putting his immense ressources to good use.
Tacitus   
18 Feb 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

Possibly some extensive economic cooperation with Eastern European countries?

Don't we have that already? Poland just became Germany's 5th biggest trading partner, and in return Germany has become the biggest trading partner of all the East European countries.
Tacitus   
18 Feb 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

From pretty much any historical book about Stalingrad.

Wikipedia gives the following numbers.

Battle of Stalingrad, 91,000 of the survivors became prisoners of war[...] only approximately 6,000 of them lived to be repatriated after the war.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_prisoners_of_war_in_the_Soviet_Union

According to this, 94,5% of German PoWs who were captured in Stalingrad died in captivity.
Tacitus   
18 Feb 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

It is estimated that around 96% of German war prisoners were able to return back home from USSR.

That is a good joke. Roughly 95% of the German prisoners taken in Stalingrad died, and from the approx. 3.3m German prisoners taken overall, only 2.2. returned. Now this is partly because many of them were already in bad condition, and the Soviets were starving themselves, thus making it understandable why so many died, but let us not make the Soviets better than they really were.
Tacitus   
15 Feb 2021
Off-Topic / Serbia etc. thread 2 [925]

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Tacitus   
9 Feb 2021
Off-Topic / Serbia etc. thread 2 [925]

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Tacitus   
9 Feb 2021
Off-Topic / Serbia etc. thread 2 [925]

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Tacitus   
8 Feb 2021
News / Coronavirus in Poland [6454]

The effectivness of vaccination also heavily depends on each specific virus. We were in a way lucky with smallpox since the virus hardly changed its' structure for several centuries, which meant that the primitive vaccination methods of the 1700s remained effective (they were of course later changed for safer measures but still). Sadly the Covid virus is mutating for quicker.
Tacitus   
19 Jan 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

Kohl seemed to have an abundance of charisma, as did Brandt

You are right with Brandt, in his case it helps that he belonged to the resistance against the Nazi, that eased possible suspiscions against him. Kohl however was rather dull in public appearances. The press made often fun of his borish behaviour, comparing him unfavourably to his predecessor Schmidt, who knew how to present himself as a true intellectual. Kohl was however very charming in personal meetings and managed to woo pretty much every foreign politician he met, which came in handy 1989/90.

The point is, being charismatic is not necessary for becoming chancellor in Germany. Germans do appreciate charisma in foreign leaders, otherwise JFK and Obama would not have been as popular as they are/were.
Tacitus   
19 Jan 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

Charisma is something most Germans do not value in their leaders any more for certain reasons.

What matters is that he is the prime minster of Germany's largest state which he has so far guided reasonably succesful through the pandemic.

EU federalist, which is terrible in any case

The dream of a fully united Europe is one we all share, don't we? It is the best way to ensure peace and prosperity for Europe for the future. But to my knowledge he has not really said much about his foreign policy ideas.
Tacitus   
19 Jan 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

Quite the contrary, he has done a lot for the integration of the Turkish community in the NRW.

He has the making of a decent chancellor, though he will have giant shoes to fill.
Tacitus   
18 Jan 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

whereas Germans are sad to see them go, both of them, as that weakens them.

Indeed, something that is often lost in the debate is how closely London and Berlin usually worked together on European policies, especially those that concerned the economy. The British free market approach is much more comfortable to the German mind-set than the French "Big state companies are the best" viewpoint.
Tacitus   
17 Jan 2021
History / Will Poland rebuild classical buildings? [24]

To much beauty and history was destroyed during the wars.

Indeed. Whenever I visit Dresden, I can't help but feel a tinge of sadness, because no matter how good it looks now, it will never be as it once was.

Still I appreciate any effort to rebuild historical, particulary if they can become a tourist destination. I've read that the the building in Potsfam that became museum has become a tourist magnet.
Tacitus   
17 Jan 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

without asking other EU countries for their permission or even for their opinion

The article you linked states the opposite. The other EU leaders were not asked once, but twice, but none of them tried to stop the deal for which the EU comission had a legal mandate.

Which is good, since the deal will be invaluable for the economic recovery after the pandemic.
Tacitus   
16 Jan 2021
News / Coronavirus in Poland [6454]

Rubbish

That is actually true and something our government gets a lot of flak for now. Because in taking a European solution, we caved in to Eastern European demands to not order to much of the expensive vaccine, and to French demands to not order more vaccine from BionTech than from a Frnch company. Which now means that we get less vaccine than e.g. Israel or UK, despite having developed it.

Thankfully we now ordered a new batch, but it will take time for it to arrive.
Tacitus   
16 Jan 2021
UK, Ireland / Advice about UK life insurance options [27]

decides that by default you body belongs to them and hope people don't notice.

I mean if you can't be bothered to invest 5 minutes in order to assure that your organs rot in the ground, you are clearly not very attached to them.

open to potential abuse

Which is there are nunerous safeguards against this in any modern country.
Tacitus   
16 Jan 2021
News / Coronavirus in Poland [6454]

but we're on par with Germany which is good enough for me.

Not sure if it should be. The German vaccination program has been rather subpar.
Tacitus   
15 Jan 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

Rather strange to see the Polish political Center and Left be compared to the Soviets when his PiS behaviour is so much closer to it (just switch their doctrine from religion to Communism).
Tacitus   
15 Jan 2021
News / Poles say a big YES to our European Union [711]

What a nutter.

Indeed. I suppose it is senseless to continue a rational discussion on this subject with someone who is so far removed from reality.

I mean let us not kid around. A purely conventional war - unrealistic as it is - would have likely killed millions of people and ended with the SU ruling all of Europe.
Tacitus   
15 Jan 2021
News / Poles say a big YES to our European Union [711]

how? Tell me how it influenced me or my parents.

I already did. The detente lessened the risk of war, and made it more difficult for the SU justify their opression. Obviously Poland some did benefit more from it than others - the East Germans the most since they were in a unique position - but overall it paid off quite. Again, no miracles, but infinitely more than the previous approach. Small steps were the best way to try and change Eastern Europe for better, once it became clear after 1968 that revolutions were not realistic for now.

Regan pushing Soviets bankrupted them

Reagan was smart enough to not simply go for a confrontational route, he instead offered to negotiate at every turn for which he could rely on the trust the West had gained with Eastern officials during detente. Many negotiators who were involved in the negotiations after the wall fell had gained much experience during the negotiations for the Helsinki Accords.

some ideologically biased kid!

I am not the one who lets his bias shown by disregarding the facts. I pointed to concrete results the detente delivered which you simply choose to ignore.
Tacitus   
14 Jan 2021
History / What have the Germans hidden in Poland? [28]

they seem to treat it okay at least..

Yeah now, but the treatment of it was rather appalling for the first few decades. The first time German experts were permitted to see them, quite a lot of documents had already rotten away.

At least now they are treated decently until their return to Germany in the future.
Tacitus   
14 Jan 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

certain procedures to be fulfilled to make it legal and binding.

Such as?

In the 60' PRL gov let west Germany gov know about it

I'd like a source on that.
Tacitus   
14 Jan 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

was just a Soviet colony and that Kremlin asked that dude to write that agreement.

Like I said, that doesn't matter as long as the government in question was the internationally recognized government.
Tacitus   
14 Jan 2021
News / New "Polish memorial" in Berlin [315]

1953 is disputable and 1990 doesn't apply to it at all.

1953 is not legally disputable. It does not matter that Poland was not a democracy at this time, treaties and declarations between dictatorships are just as legally binding. It is called international law, not law between democracies.

And of course the 2+4 treaty and the border treaty and the good neighbourhood treaty all apply since they designed to solve all outstanding issues from WWII, with the 2+4 treaty serving as a peace treaty. The only reason why the latter two were even necessary was because the signatory powers that a reunited Germany needed to reassure Polish fears and give a further guarantee on the border. This would also have been the final opportunity for Warsaw to raise the issue of reparations. Since they didn't, it was considered a closed case and thus the 2+4 treaty concluded it.

As I have pointed out a few times before, Poland's insistence on the border guarantee actually closed all options for them to later raise the issue of reparations again. Because the 2+4 treaty has one possible weakness. It only included the 4 victorious powers, not the other countries that suffered from the Nazis. Thus the other countries could technically argue that they were not sufficiently consulted and their interests not properly respected. A weak objection, but one that could possibly be made. However Poland could not do the same, since Polish objections and wishes were indeed listened to, to the satisfaction of Warsaw which Berlin could easily prove with records and the treaties.

To summarize, the case of reparations has been legally settlef and there is no way Warsaw could legally challenge it. Hence they don't use the legal way, but use it as a moral argument.

A long time ambition of Germany

Let us be real here, that is a totally unrealistic and even somewhat anachronistic goal. Even now it is already somewhat ridiculous, that countries like the UK and France sit on this table, despite only habing a fraction of e.g. China's or the USA's population. Given the predictions in terms of economic and population growth, this disparity will only become larger with time. No doubt India will one day become a member, probably at the expense of the UK. And the French seat might hopefully become a seat for the EU, once we have a truly common security and foreign policy.

being constantly reminded

The current PiS is most likely the last one to raise this issue, simply because time is not on their side. There are still people alive from WWII, and Poland has only been part of the EU for less than a generation, not enough time to profoundly change the outlook of all its' people. This will change however inevitably. PiS will not gove up on this issue (not pressing it either of course) since it would mean losing face as long as they are in government. Once they are voted out - whenever this will happen - the new, probably PO-led government won't raise issue again, and neither will a successor government led by PiS under a new party leadership. Because by then it will have become a truly ridiculous endeavour.