Off-Topic /
USA News and Poland - part 18 [611]
Now lets watch Cuba collapse and the US rescue those citizens.
In any given society you have the following breakdown - which I just made up completely while sitting on the toilet:
1) 80% of people who just want to be left alone and live their lives.
2) 20% that are ideologically active. They follow the news, get angry about world events, participate in protests and what not.
Now I agree that North Korea has a pretty rotten system, and that many people would jump at an opportunity to escape - but there's also then a cohort of "true believers" that would go down with the ship.
In Venezuela - this cohort of "true believers" - people that got their first housing from the Chavistas, people that first got a chance at a university education, or simply people that were given power by them - constitute about 25-30%. I have no doubt that if organized and properly led they would constitute a strong resistance on the ground.
In Cuba it is likely the same.
In Iraq it was the same.
Hell even in Poland and Russia it was the same - and in Russia they actually staged a revanche 30 years after being seemingly defeated.
-//-
Life is not some game of Monopoly. If you break something, then you will own it.
We want to own Ukraine - eyes wide open - knowing what a potential cancer we will import consisting of Ukrainian nationalists and all sorts of other people that can't stand Russia. Ukraine is simply too important for us, and we're willing to swallow these costs.
Are you willing to deal with the Chavista and Cuban remnants, just as you dealt with ex-Saddam functionaries and Sadr militias, or Shadow Taliban?
Do you expect these people to simply disappear overnight, or fly to Mars?