News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


I hope America and Venezuela will become famous friends!


Claudia Scheinbaum must be sh*tting bricks.

If Maduro can be branded a "narco trafficker" and thus - magically stripped from the sovereign immunity that he should enjoy (based on common federal law, international law, and executive practice)... then what stops America from declaring her as an even bigger drug peddler and similarly kidnapping her and depositing her in a Manhattan prison cell?

Unlike Venezuela - Mexico is a truly huge supplier of narcotics into America. There have been numerous reports of collusion between Mexican officials and the many cartels operating within their country.

This is probably why, despite the overarching need to maintain good relations with America - she issued such a message haha!

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


Russia had goals. Namely - a friendly regime in a neighboring country.

-//-

Everything here is in fact nearly identical.

Russia spent approximately 20 years trying to force a change of behavior in Ukraine. First using carrots, and then increasingly sticks.

America spent approximately 20 years trying to force a change of behavior in Venezuela. First using carrots, and then increasingly sticks.

Ukraine aligned itself with hostile alliances and trade groupings.

Venezuela aligned itself with hostile alliances and trade groupings.

Ukraine was led by a series of kleptocrats and outright criminals, that eventually turned Ukraine into the poorest country in Europe (despite being blessed with enormous natural wealth).

Venezuela was led by a series of kleptocrats and outright criminals, that eventually turned Venezuela into the poorest country in Latin America (despite being blessed with enormous natural wealth).

Ukrainian exiles in Russia, fed a false narrative to Russian leadership about the rapturous welcome they would receive in Ukraine.

Venezuelan exiles in America, fed a false narrative to American leadership about the rapturous welcome they would receive in Venezuela.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


I wish somebody told us that you can do that!

Putin is some especial kind of autist for studiously avoiding hitting Ukraine's government buildings. Sending paratroopers to Hostomel, instead of the Bankovaya...

Look at America! Bombed Saddam's palace day 1. Here, they bombed Venezuela's parliament building in the first hours.

Here we are in year 4 of this war - and not a single bomb has dropped on the Ukrainian Rada building.

America truly leads the way.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]

Alternatively - is this war good or bad for Ukraine?

One can simply assume that anything that is bad for Russia is good for Ukraine (and vice versa) - but that would be an oversimplification.

-//-

Arguments "FOR":

1) Russia lost a nominal ally. One that didn't really send any fighting men, or weapons, or money - but still an ally.

2) America is "aping out" and this may give pause to Putin, somehow convincing him to treat America's ceasefire proposals more seriously.

3) Europe may finally realize, from which side the wind is blowing - and hurry things up in terms of rearmament and overall "bulk".

Arguments "AGAINST":

1) Once again, a key shareholder of the current world order has demonstrated that international law is as good as toilet paper. This is not beneficial to Ukraine.

2) American weapons, and ammunition, are now going to some other place than Ukraine. Not great.

3) There is some sense that America worked out a deal with China and Russia - some sort of quid pro quo.


lol what?

First of all - how? I'm very curious? Through psychological damage? Haha.

Second - I will tell you that we overthrew the government of Afghanistan in one day - and we ended up being stuck there for ten years. Similarly - America blew up Iraq and Afghanistan quickly - but then ended up stuck there for ten plus years.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


🤣

-//-

In any case, we need to steer this conversation back on topic.

Tell me your thoughts - gentlemen - is this war good for Russia, or is it bad?

-//-

Arguments "FOR":

1) Perhaps a short term boost in oil prices.

2) The whole world is laughing at EU hypocrisy/impotence. Within the EU, there is also some cognitive dissonance. This is ammunition for the industrial lobbies of European states, who have been pressuring governments to consider restarting oil/gas supplies from Russia. The Scholzs and Macrons of the world, will tow the line for as long as they are in power, but the replacements may reopen the discussion.

3) America is clearly intent on focusing on its own backyard. This cannot but come at the expense of reduced attention to other places.

Arguments "AGAINST":

1) Removal of sanctions from Venezuela, and the return of various Chevrons and Exxons - will inevitably boost Venezuelan oil production over the long term. This is increased competition for Russia's exports, and a near certain reduction in global oil prices - hitting Russia's budget revenues.

2) Russia (and China) - will be seen as unable to defend a friendly country from predation by the US.

3) Assuming Venezuela gets a puppet regime friendly to America - this means a loss of an important export market for Russia's defense industry (not so much over the last ten years, but still).

History / Konstanty Rokossowski - a Pole or a Russian? [41]


Key question here.

I understand Stalin, or Beria - but what did Rokossovsky do to Poland?

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


I'm sorry - I just get very emotional when people talk about international law and the UN Charter.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


Au contraire, mon ami!

In case you forgot - the EU has a combined GDP in excess of 20 trillion. It is the largest and richest trade bloc in the world. A world leader in regulatory innovation and Camembert production.

I firmly believe in European strategic autonomy - and cannot even imagine it allowing itself to be bullied by some upstart nation from the world periphery!

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]

My God - I have so many questions...

When will Europe cut itself off from stinking American gas (Venezuela is said to hold the world's largest hydrocarbon reserves, so they will surely replace American shipments)?

-//-

What clever spelling will Europeans apply to the word "America"? Seeing as we already have ruSSia, it seems a no brainer that it will be ameriKKKa.

But then what will Europeans call Americans? Slave/Orc proudly belongs to Russia - so they will need to come up with something different.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]

@Crnogorac3

Ah I see!

So then we should expect that the EU will - imminently - cut all diplomatic, trade, and cultural ties with the aggressor nation?

What about banning America from Eurovision, and making Americans apply for Schengen visas in Burkina Faso? Can we expect this?

Perhaps Ursula Von Der Leyen and Kaja Kallas will send the Vice President of Venezuela a smart tactical sweater and a pair of black mountaineering boots - and then send him on a tour of the Bundestag, Sejm, and Parliament?

Great Bolivarian Republic - hold fast! The EU will support you "FOR AS LONG AS IT TAKES!".

Slava Venezuele! Chavistam Slava!

Sig Heil!


Well if you say so...

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]

Hello European friends!

Can someone please translate the message below from European to plain English?

What is Frau Kallas trying to tell us?

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News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


To hardcore American Nazis, Italians and Greeks are "greasy wops" and "sheepfuckers".

Mind you - these are the two founding blocks of Western Civilization we are talking about... hahaha!

American racism is as glorious as it is incomprehensible.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


155 millimeter shells - produced @ multiple factories simultaneously in 3 shifts - for 24 hours a day, 365 days a year - that's a fact.

Thousands of Shahed-type drones per week - enough to overwhelm any air defense system - that's a fact.

Armor factories pumping out hundreds of tanks and thousands of armored personnel carriers per year - that's a fact.

Tens of millions of men between the age of 18 and 60 - is a fact.

One sixth of the world's resources in energy and every other mineral that God has chosen to reward us us with - that's a fact.

$20 TRILLION is an excel sheet entry.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]

@Bimberian

Alcohol content alone will not determine probability of success.

You seem like a person that may understand.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


Air.

Nitrogen and carbon dioxide - not a lot of oxygen...

Oxygen is - what you can put forth tomorrow. Your teeth. Your fists. Your body.

Russia has plenty of oxygen.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


Real Nigeria has manpower - undoubtedly.

It has energy - tons of it.

But it doesn't have nukes.

It cannot print ballistic missiles and long range drones like sausages.

Nepalis and Nicaraguans will not flock to its banners.

It has a fractious population, that wants to kill each other, as much as they desire foreign acquisitions.

Nigeria knows it benefited from maps drawn up in London. Russia knows it has had important parts of its body severed by foreigners.

Russia is one of the oldest shareholders - since the Congress of Vienna, and the writing of the United Nations charter. Russia knows how to exercise its power - whereas Nigeria may get a little carried away through inexperience.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


America is waking up to who its real partners are.

In addition to the above, they allegedly planned the creation of a new group to replace the G7 - that would be called the Core 5.

It would be America, Japan, China, India, Russia.

Basically only countries with more than 100M people, and with either demographic, economic, or military weight.

-//-

China and Russia - by blessing their predations on Venezuela, Panama, Greenland, etc - can block the protests of Europeans at the Security Council. We can give America the cover it seeks, to flex its muscles and spreads its wings in the Western hemisphere.

America must respond in kind, by closing its eyes to Russia and China setting things up in their own neighborhood.

Working with Russia and China will always give America more power than being tied as an anchor to Europe.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


I like what they are doing.

First the National Security Strategy document - which declared that America will now only mind its own business in its own hemisphere. FINALLY!

Then, the WSJ published a long form article on America's plans on how to reintegrate Russia into the world economy.

Besides handing all $200B frozen in Europe to America (so that it may invest it into Ukrainian reconstruction), it prescribes measures to encourage Europe resumes supplies of Russian gas.

This is hilarious. The EU parliament just passed some legislation, which indicates that the EU should curtail all gas purchases from Russia by 2027.

At the same time you have Trump here, who says "No no, we changed our mind - you should actually buy Russian gas".

I love it.

Law / Recourse to the Law - Noise Harassment in Poland [25]


Arrived to me by game of "funny telephone", but the key components are true.

Law / Recourse to the Law - Noise Harassment in Poland [25]


Don't know if I can subscribe to this point of view.

My wife knows the cost of a lie is more expensive than the cost of truth.

Law / Recourse to the Law - Noise Harassment in Poland [25]


I don't think it was just "hello, fyi I'm pregnant - have a good life".

Probably more like, "hello you piece of sh*t - guess what, I'm pregnant - and I'm gonna kill myself and this baby because you're a deadbeat."

Something along those lines...

Guys can be very impressionable to such threats. It's a rare guy that will just say "Fine - go kill yourself", and try to call the bluff.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


Milo my dear, whatever you say.

We all gotta hate somebody.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


Ok. I can understand.


You know I'm right. I've been here for years, and have been repeating the same thing non stop.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]

@cms neuf

Put your money where your mouth is - like the market.

You wanted my stock picks.

Now you commit to this.

If you want, we can bet on this on Kalshi or Polymarket, and give this a monetary dimension.

Let's go.

I'll take the other side of whatever you propose, within reason.

Let's see what your words are worth.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


They are not idiots. They did what was asked of them, and more.... It's just a pity that we do not fight together, but against each other.

Our strength is enormous, as this war shows. All these foreigners cannot understand why we fight as we do.

We need to work together and stop killing each other.

Language / Dukaj' "Lód" in English [8]

Hmm...

Interesting. Perhaps I will try.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]

@cms neuf

I am tired of trying to synthesize everything I read and absorb, into a readable and comprehensible format here.

Just register my opinion - and in six months hence me and you will have a discussion, just like in the stocks....

Your boys are at the bottom of their reserves of strength.

Overwhelming Russian pressure is bringing them to the cracking point, and soon it will not be pretty.

-//-

Before you hate on me - they fought like lions. But... it was not enough.

The people behind them, did not share the strength they exhibited. For this very sad reason, their sacrifices will all be for naught.

Law / Recourse to the Law - Noise Harassment in Poland [25]


He broke up with her simply based on her words.

First signal.

Then, when she cheated, instead of destroying her ass - he decided it is smart to direct all his anger at his boss.

-//-

I forgot to add that after... he tried to get a job a local factory as an CFO, and the banker boss went to enough lengths to besmirch his reputation and have his candidacy dismissed (this part I am somewhat confident of).

This guy turned out to be a complete idiot. I honestly have no sympathy for him, because all decisions along the way were regarded.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


He does not go everywhere, searching for a deal.

It is your boy; who behaves as a prostitute, and crawls around on his knees before everyone.

"Oh, they will cut my weapons supplies!"... "Oh, they will stop sharing intelligence!"... "My God, they will stop topping off my budget!"

Meanwhile, we are the most sanctioned country on Earth. To deal with us, is to accept some kind of eventual trouble.

We can't buy a tool, without paying $3 for what costs $1. We don't get any help - instead others discuss how they will steal what we earned....

Yet we stand.

This is why Trump is talking to us as a rational man. Because Russia has proven it has strength, and is a real stockholder.

Your puppets will die as soon as their oxygen is cut.

We survive even as you try to strangle us to death.

Feel the difference.

News / Poland's aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 27 [1110]


You keep telling yourself that.

I can smell your soiled pants from a mile away.