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Posts by peterweg  

Joined: 16 Feb 2007 / Male ♂
Last Post: 19 Jun 2020
Threads: Total: 37 / In This Archive: 22
Posts: Total: 2305 / In This Archive: 1651
From: London, Battersea, Krakow.
Speaks Polish?: no
Interests: Motorbikes, Skiing

Displayed posts: 1673 / page 15 of 56
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peterweg   
28 Jan 2013
Real Estate / The current property boom in Poland is a bubble [342]

a bubble bursts, it doesn't steadily decrease- this is the world wide definition, not mine. we are experiencing a steady decrease, not a burst.

No, its not the definition of a bubble, Can you show me this definition, I've never seen it before. This is wiki's definition -

An economic bubble (sometimes referred to as a speculative bubble, a market bubble, a price bubble, a financial bubble, a speculative mania or a balloon) is "trade in high volumes at prices that are considerably at variance with intrinsic values". It could also be described as a trade in products or assets with inflated values.

What happens after to a bubble is irrelevant. You argument that prices will fall gradually - not crash - may or may nor be true, however a bubble describes the rise in prices, not a fall.

Time will tell what happens to prices.

Commiserations on buying in 2010. I bought in 2009, at the peak of the market apparently.
peterweg   
28 Jan 2013
UK, Ireland / Why are Brits so left-wing? [60]

Not really,not in the way you imagine. No more so than in any other country. Rich Americans will spend little time mingling with poor Americans will they?

America is almost a an apartheid state, less of a melting pot, more like a salad bowl as one American put it. They put a lot of effort keeping away from those who are different.
peterweg   
28 Jan 2013
News / Poland is the source of horsemeat in burgers? [169]

That's precisely what they did. And traced the contaminated meat to a Polish supplier. Nothing you say can change that. ;-)

In Poland selling horsemeat for food is legal. These British/Irish companies came to Poland to buy meat and for years they didn't check what it was. Its the responsibility of the food manufactures to ensure the quality of the product they manufacture and sell. British supermarkets boast about the quality of source of their food and they didn't know or care where it came from.

Another thing is beefburgers have a legal right to contain other types of meat (varying percent) and excrement (1%) . There have been many scandals with food in the UK, if UK manufacturers travel to Poland for crap, cheap material don't be surprised if is exactly that.

Very sure. It isn't the ABP Poznan factory and in any case, it's irrelevant what else they make. If they're producing a product for a customer, the customer has a right to get exactly what they have paid for. Meaning, if they're buying beef burgers, they expect beef burgers. Not petfood.

ABP supplied horse meat as beef. Their responsibility.
peterweg   
28 Jan 2013
UK, Ireland / How might Britain`s withdrawal from EU affect Poles there and here? [474]

I dont think they are, a lot of the fear mongering lately has revolved around the Romanians, Bulgarians, and the gypsys i

A section of the Uk have hated the EU even before the UK joined. and decades before Poland was a member. Its a pathological hatred of 'Johnny Foreigner'

Switzerland is not in the EU but still EU nationals have the right to come and work in the country with minimal formalities (except Romanians and Bulgarians)

I have already pointed out that leaving the EU and joining the EEA will not result in any changed in status for EU/EEA residents, but some on here are to thick to understand it.

That's why Britain wants out. In comparison to the leech that is France,

France is a net contributor to the EU. The French are paying for Polish roads too. France pays more as a percent of its GDP than the UK.

Poland gets six billion from the EU, the same as Frances pays into the EU

news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/8036097.stm
peterweg   
27 Jan 2013
News / Poland is the source of horsemeat in burgers? [169]

what is wrong with the horse-meat?

Its illegal to sell it as beef. Main problem is nobody knows whether this was diseased or not.

I like horse meat, but I cannot stand beef, especially beefburgers.
peterweg   
27 Jan 2013
News / Poland is the source of horsemeat in burgers? [169]

I'll pass on the beefburgers.

Horsemeat used in beef burgers supplied to supermarkets in Britain was imported from Poland, the Irish agriculture minister has said.

telegraph.co.uk/foodanddrink/9829821/Poland-is-the-source-of-horsemeat-in-burgers-minister-says.html
peterweg   
27 Jan 2013
UK, Ireland / How might Britain`s withdrawal from EU affect Poles there and here? [474]

The EU is far too important for Britain as an export market. I therefore don't believe that Cameron will be stupid enough to allow a referendum. He would kill off large parts of the British economy and the Poles would probably have to go home.

I think you are all missing very important point. The proposal is to leave the European Union and Join Norway/Switzerland/Iceland in the EEA.

In the EEA
- The UK would not be allowed to bar EU/EEA immigrants. The Poles etc. would NOT have to go home.
- The UK would have to pay a membership fee, determined by the EU on a take-it-or-leave-it basis. About £2billion is the estimate based on Norway's fee (which mainly goes to Poland)

- All laws the EU produces except agriculture and fisheries will be automatically accepted. No veto or influence. Hello Tobin Tax???


Seems the tories think they can leave the EU and still be part of the common market... any country could veto that.

Bonkers the lot of them. Here we are entering the third recession and they are obsessed about cutting free trade to where the Uk exports 200billion a year
peterweg   
25 Jan 2013
Real Estate / The current property boom in Poland is a bubble [342]

Pip, Apple shares yesterday, overnight, dropped 10%. $46 billion wiped off the value of the company. Must have been a bubble!!!!

You really don't have a clue do you? Of course Apple share are vastly inflated, a bubble asset. They have fallen 35% in a few months. A more over inflated, over hyped company, short of facebook, you won't find.

I see that, but I highlighted the most important point. And his point about the market falling at a slow rate and still being a bubble is wrong. A bubble bursting, is just that. The market has high prices followed by the "burst" which leads to lower prices. Dropping 40% since 2008 is not a bubble bursting

A bubble bursts in a tenth of a second, so of course by your definition the only thing that is a bubble is a soap balloon full of over-pressured gas.

However, the rest of the world understands that a housing bubble is made of houses not air and the rate it deflates has no bearing whatsoever on whether its a bubble or not. Care to point me to the source of your genius logic, but I'll hazard a guess its your real estate husband and his like minded associates.

Keep it up pip, this is funny.
peterweg   
23 Jan 2013
Real Estate / The current property boom in Poland is a bubble [342]

not sure why Pip wants to split hairs on that.

Because if peopel think there is a bubble they will be even more disinclined to borrow and buy. Anybody with any sense will realise the market will go down, to affordable, no matter what.

I am agreeing with PIP if you have cash there are some bargains out there.

True, but you will be buying into to a falling market. Making money on highly geared investment is one thing, its another to lose it. How many other (legal) investments allow you to lose 200%, 300% of the money you put in?
peterweg   
23 Jan 2013
Real Estate / The current property boom in Poland is a bubble [342]

ol! thats not the case anymore dude.Poles also have more or compatable money to beat you if you implying that they have more money to raise prices.

You do talk rubbish, the limit on farm/ agro-building land is until 2016 and you need a permit until then.

ok- but there are still those spouting off about a bubble when there isn't one and it is inaccurate.

Over 100% price rises followed by a 50% fall is a bubble. Poland is approach that level of fall. Feel free to tell anyone who disagrees with you to shut up, for the good it will do you.

as buyers in Poland, it is a good time to buy.

Hahahaha...
peterweg   
22 Jan 2013
Australia / Husband moving to Australia after separation [4]

Just say you never thought it was important to register your marriage in Australia. I doubt they know where you both were for those years.
peterweg   
21 Jan 2013
Travel / Dreamliner for Lot Polish [27]

Boeing talking crap again.

They certified the aircraft as fit for purpose, it quite obviously isn't. The FAA does not really certify the aircraft, they simply take Boeing's word for it and Boeing apparently don't know what they are doing.

They will have to pay the airlines compensation.

The 787 will probably be grounded for six months.

The FAA and media come out looking foolish or institutionally corrupt as the 787 issues force regulatory responses, because there are other major question marks over this airliner and its certification as safe.

blogs.crikey.com.au/planetalking/2013/01/19/dreamliner-787-battery-fires-burn-faa-and-media-too

Boeing battery solution may keep 787 grounded until 2014

news.cnet.com/8301-11386_3-57566066-76/boeing-battery-solution-may-keep-787-grounded-until-2014

Its going to cost Boeing up to $5billion, pushing profitability on the 787 to twenty years hence
peterweg   
21 Jan 2013
Real Estate / The current property boom in Poland is a bubble [342]

As Milky and Peterweg plus maybe others have me on Ignore,

Not ignoring you, I don't know the answer. Other than I earn too much and I'm not a first time buyer so its of no use to me.

Your best option is to keep waiting and consider buying out of town, where it can be much cheaper.

Or buy where foreigners are banned from buying without the permit.
peterweg   
20 Jan 2013
Real Estate / The current property boom in Poland is a bubble [342]

Poland as opposed to somebody with real estate knowledge and experience.

Nobody is going to listen to you, after all you have just admitted you lie to promote property.

You think having a husband in property means your opinion has higher value than a normal human who couldn't care less about your obsession with 'bubbles'?

Your 'real estate knowledge' come from having a vested interest in lying about the state of the property market.

Prices are collapsing in Poland, any idiot can see that.

10x average earning is a property bubble, never mind 20x So yes, the bubble has burst and it will deflate at the rate it wants to - not by your ridiculous definition.
peterweg   
20 Jan 2013
Real Estate / The current property boom in Poland is a bubble [342]

Btw, do you have any education at all? Your English is alarmingly bad for a native speaker.

He's from India I believe. In theory they speak English, but not like the English or Americans.
peterweg   
20 Jan 2013
Real Estate / The current property boom in Poland is a bubble [342]

But what people are posting here, with no real estate knowledge or experience,

Apparently with your 'real estate knowledge' you feel entitled to deny reality and propagate ********.

Which is par for the course for a industry whose survival depends on lying.

It doesn't follow the rules of the rest of the world...

Yes, the old jokes.. "Its different this time", "but, but, but my house is special"
peterweg   
13 Jan 2013
UK, Ireland / Polonization of Britain - Tipping Point Confirmed in 2011 Census [97]

Neville Chamberlain, "a far-away country and people of whom we know nothing."

However thats before over a quarter of a million Polish soldiers defended Britain against the Nazi's and were welcome as refugee's after the war.

Its a sacrifice many British people remember with gratitude and I'm sure you must be honored to host the Poles who made Britain what it is today.

The kind of people who vote BNP, for example.

I've got the old membership list, good for a laugh. There is so few of them..
peterweg   
13 Jan 2013
Law / Forex Market in Poland [16]

Why not read your own link and the articles it links to.

Still, the hangover from the past party remains – about 56 per cent of outstanding mortgages are still non-zloty (making up about 34 per cent of the overall lending portfolio), down from 65 per cent of all mortgages at the end of 2009.

65% to 56% isn't that much of a reduction
peterweg   
7 Jan 2013
Real Estate / Buying/Selling distressed property in Poland/ Walk away from your mortgage [10]

I'd say go ahead and walk away from the debt if you really have to. But don't be surprised if the bank comes after your10+ years in the future when your finances are better. This certainly happened to a friend of mine who had to pay off a decade old mortgage debt from the 1990's.

The advice from the other poster might be right, however commercial loans via a Ltd company can be walked away from be personal debt is very different. Another point hge ignored is the 'fronting a purchase for a friend'.. what does that mean - he has another property that can be seized and his friend will lose it??? And it sounds fraudulent.
peterweg   
7 Jan 2013
Real Estate / Poland's apartment prices continue to fall [1844]

telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/houseprices/9784736 /House -prices-rise-1.3pc-in-December.html

There were six monthly rises and six decreases during 2012 as underlying prices remained little changed over the course of last year, the bank added.

minus inflation = fall.
peterweg   
6 Jan 2013
Real Estate / Poland's apartment prices continue to fall [1844]

I think you still don't understand inflation. Inflation has devalued the £ by 25% since 2007 and London Prices have just about risen back to 2007 levels. But not inflation adjusted.

So yes, prices have fallen in London in real terms. In nominal numbers on average over ALL the UK, including London, they have fallen.
peterweg   
6 Jan 2013
Real Estate / Poland's apartment prices continue to fall [1844]

I want cheaper petrol but I'm not going to get it.

I've already explained that consumables and fixed assets are completely different. Besides, they are getting cheaper houses and petrol will come down in price with the recession.

I think you will find that they have already broken most of their own rules/laws and if it suits the EU commissions purposes, they will break many more. The project must succeed, no matter how many people get hurt.

Getting more people to get in debt is not in anyone's benefit, they are introducing rules to stop property speculation. The Euro project will/must succeed and stopping borrowing is a key part of that.

Property prices are falling everywhere, you do understand that don't you?
peterweg   
5 Jan 2013
Real Estate / Poland's apartment prices continue to fall [1844]

You only have to look at the anger in the UK, as more young people are denied the right to buy and live independently. Its a huge vote loser for any party in power.

Do you see any effort on behalf of the Uk Gov to bring house prices down? on the contrary propping up house prices at an unfordable level to FTB's is a core of all party's policies.

.
If you read the angry 'priced out' buyers at HousePriceCrash.co.uk you will see they want cheaper houses not cheaper mortgages

They will hand the responsibilities of home loans back to the banks and claim special circumstances to the EU,

Thats pure speculation on your part and ignores the Euro debt bank crisis which takes precedent over creating construction jobs.
peterweg   
5 Jan 2013
Travel / Dreamliner for Lot Polish [27]

787 Continues to be a disaster on introduction. United, Qatar and now LOT have multiple technical faults on the 787

Aircraft supplied to Qatar and LOT were delivered with faults. Both of LOT's aircraft have failed repeatedly.

airliners.net/aviation-forums/general_aviation/read.main/5640861/

Very serious accident. Two week old Japanese Airlines 787 catches fire after landing, adding to the dozens of incidents the small number of aircraft have been involved in. This may result in the ETOPS certification being removed and trans-Atlantic flights...

airliners.net/aviation-forums/general_aviation/read.main/5653555/

The 787 has obviously not been tested enough.

Flames about two feet (0.6 meter) high shot out of an avionics compartment in the jet's belly, and there was a small explosion afterward, Massachusetts Port Authority Fire Chief Robert Donahue said today in an interview. No passengers were...

bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-07/boeing-787-damaged-in-fire-while-on-ground-in-boston.html

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swissair_Flight_111

21 minutes from smelling smoke to hitting the ocean.

an 8 (Reuters) - A fuel leak forced a Boeing Co 787 Dreamliner operated by Japan Airlines to cancel its takeoff and return to the gate at Boston's Logan International Airport Tuesday, a fire official said, the second incident in...

reuters.com/article/2013/01/08/boeing-japan-airlines-idUSL1E9C88NH20130108

The 787 Nightmare becomes the first aircraft in decades to be subject to a FAA safety review

Boeing Balked at FAA Review of 787

U.S. regulators Friday began a comprehensive review of the design and assembly of Boeing Co.'s new 787 jet, a move initially resisted by the company, according to people familiar with the matter.

online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324081704578235370985104146.html?KEYWORDS=JON+OSTROWER

Its interesting that the authorities are going back to the certification process to look for faults. Some of these problems sound like QA issues (fuel lines not properly installed, etc.). On the other hand, if these are issues with design...

pprune.org/rumours-news/504995-787-review-called.html
peterweg   
5 Jan 2013
Real Estate / Poland's apartment prices continue to fall [1844]

What part of "bought and already own" don't you understand

I understand it perfectly but what has that go to do with the discussion of falling prices, aim your comments at Milky

they will soon have to change this when the developers stop building homes (permit applications already going down) and the banks are screaming because they cannot make any profits, or, do you think they will promise voters more slums to live in?

Yet the government is doing its very best to force prices down by restricting banks lending. Banks will make profit how they can. Screaming will not make any difference to the Basel III rules on bank lending, its completely outside the actions of of governments.

Which is a polite way of saying you are talking crap, developers and banks cannot force the government to do the impossible.

You think that Poles live in slums? Not convinced by what I've seen in Poland. Generally not very pretty but fundamentally sound.
peterweg   
4 Jan 2013
Real Estate / Poland's apartment prices continue to fall [1844]

Poland: clamping down on forex loans

Polish borrowers are about to lose one of the last vestiges of the long-gone real estate boom - the ability to borrow lots of money in a foreign currency.

The Polish Financial Supervision Authority (KNF) is preparing to throttle what little remains of forex lending later this year, limiting such loans only to people actually earning euros or Swiss francs.

Five years inflation, about 25% and a 27% fall, thats around 45% fall in real terms.

Welcome to 2013, 4th year for the losers predictions.

And every year his prediction comes closer to reality. The pair of you just have to comprehend what 'real' versus 'nominal' prices are.
peterweg   
20 Dec 2012
Real Estate / Foreign investor, properties in Poland, walk away from mortgages? [209]

I am looking for an advise on precisely how will the bank act if I walk away from the mortgage.

They will never let up in trying to get you. You might be fine, but who knows how US law may change. If the bank can pursue you in the USA over the next decade they may well do.

Generally I'd suggest negotiating a get out with the bank. Try get them to accept 40% or whatever.

Knowing what they will accept is very difficult, depending on your age, assets and earnings. They could also sell the debt to a US company