Maybe they will not necessarily cut economic ties, but they will cease pumping huge amounts of money into Poland, in the infrastructure and so on, as they are doing now.
alright, let us presume that western Europe don`t cut economic ties with Poland. After all, Poland have some friends on the west of Europe. At least declarative.
So, no annul of contracts of mutual interests. But, for sure there won`t be money from EU funds. Then, Poland is great market. That is interesting. Some investors from western Europe would for sure like to stay in Poland and new would like to come, exactly because Poland isn`t part of EU. Have in mind that, for example, Fiat abandoned Poland no matter Poland`s EU membership. In my opinion, at least on the short run, to attract investors Poland would have to lower the wages. It immediately rise question- are Poles ready to pay that price for independence? But, on the other side, have in mind, if Poland have developed economic ties with China, Russia, India, Japan, USA and rest of the world, it would for sure help that Polish economy consolidate faster if Poland one day leave EU. Most important for maneuverable space of Polish economy is to have strong political and economic ties with countries from Baltic to Balkan via Central Europe. For sure, in first and hardest days when/if Poland leave EU, traditionally loyal, friendly and economically capable countries from the region can greatly compensate lack of funds in Polish economy. Countries like: Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Serbia.
It will likely take a war to leave that thing.
i myself was sure about that few years ago but, with time, i see that new era of multi-polar world may prevent that what happened to Yugoslavia happen to Poland. It is possible. Have in mind that if Poland decide to go out of EU, in multi-polar world, western Europe would at least like to keep some influence on Poland and that is possible only with at least declarative friendly ties and at least minimal economic cooperation. Rest of economic input-output Poland would have to make with the rest of world, what is even desirable for any independent state, especially for one that seek to be center of one civilization.
By the way, it's more likely that Poland will get thrown out of the EU than that it will leave it on its own.
Totally correct, Poland will have no say in whether it stays in the EU or not.
Poland would have say on the subject. Especially if have internal stability. If isn`t stable from within then, there is the all kind of problems, if Poland tries to go out of EU. Questions like Silesia and some other border regions, near to the countries that are EU members. Yes, Poland may face problems of local separatist movements that would like to stay within EU. Mechanisms? well, its for discussion.
Poland is heavily reliant on Russia and always will be.
Poland should be related to whole world when it comes to economy. When it comes to politics, Poland should focus on countries from Baltic to Balkan and Ukraine, via Central Europe. Today`s Poland looks to me quite isolated and heavily dependent on western Europe.