4th Polish Republic may re-emerge

LOL!!! I will very happily bet everything I own against that result.

In love war and politics one can never say 'never'. Maybe now PiS have only got a several-point lead, but by 2015 Poles may get so fed up with shifty-eyed Donny boy's prevarications and unkept promises, that one cannot even rule out a PiS landslide -- the prospect of going it alone without the need to seek coalition partners. Right now it's still anyone's guess: PiS-led coalition or PiS alone.

I guarantee that your predicted result will never happen. No chance. Never. No way.

Except Solidarna Polska haven't got a chance of getting such a result. PiS would also have to do something that they've never done, at a time when they cannot get higher than 30% in the opinion polls. The PSL are also highly unlikely to get 10% if PiS get 39%.


Let's take your hypothetical scenario of PiS getting 39%. They would still be forced into opposition by the current electoral mathematics (PO, PSL, SLD and RP all voting against them) - therefore guaranteeing another 4 years of opposition.


Glinski is a non-starter. He lost the vote of non-confidence, and he would be widely seen as a Kaczynski puppet.


Which is why PiS would never enter a coalition with the elephant in the corner. The other parties know exactly what his game is - and they won't be fooled.


Fortunately, we have nothing to worry about - PiS have no chance of getting elected with Kaczynski at the helm.

The real question now should be - who will lead PiS into the next parliamentary election? Will the party really want to keep Kaczynski there if they know that they can only get 30% of the vote yet again?

Polonius, what you completely fail to understand is that disillusioned PO voters are not going to vote PiS - they will vote SLD, PSL or RP. The decline in the polls of PO is mirrored by the rise of those parties - not the rise of PiS.

SP would get 8%? PSL 10%? Play lotto if you like betting on random generated numbers.


Right. Just like Marcinkiewicz, who was being controlled from the back seat. And what is the point in that?


Our beloved leader Kim-Il-Sung, the eternal president. Sounds familiar.


Or to change it. Or prevent it from ever happening. There are so many more promising options than leaving ones homeland for political purposes.


I'm more likely to open a beer and enjoy the wacko's seventh failure in a row.

I like the way that he manages to account for 107% of the vote.

Exactly. That is why I will vote PO again at the next local and European elections :)

What's more, it's assuming that the PSL would risk their parliamentary future for the sake of a coalition with a man known to spy on coalition partners.


And who was removed as soon as he started threatening to walk an independent path.


Some people might say that this is the only way that PiS can survive as a party.


I wonder what kind of excuses he'll come up with after this defeat?

It's almost becoming enjoyable to watch them blame the voters for being stupid.

I forgot to mention there is a 7% margin of error in this particular proecjtion.

Yes. Sometimes 100% is 107%, sometimes it's only 93%.

Just to give everyone a good laugh, here's a thread from 2011, started by Polonius, about the 4th Republic.

https://polishforums.com/news/republic-may-emerge-54001/

Political scum, that's all it is.

What's there to laugh about? Nothing has changed since then. Except PO has chalked up a few more bloopers and unkept promises.

Your predictions being dashed when, merely a few weeks later, the voters of Poland decisively rejected the politics of bitterness & envy and sent Kaczyński crashing to his 14th electoral defeat.


Precisely: PiS still have no chance at all of forming the next government.

Re predictions, let the prophet who has never mispredicted anything cast the first stone.

yes current regime in power are indeed political scum as are those who willingly knowing all details of their polices are supporting them. \
I exclude from that those who are brainwashed by TV or who do not know better.

Interesting that to you the majority of Poles are either scum or brainwashed or do not know any better. Sounds rather as if you don't like democracy.

The democratic pendulum will swing in 2015.

But before you mentioned the election results in 2014????

We will see Polonius. We have different views so I hope you're wrong but that's not why I think it's all rubbish- polls are simply there to entertain ppl in my opinion

I largely agree. They may provide only a very rough orientation. Different pollsters use different methods, different samplings and phrase their quewstions differently. Which party do you support? may generate different replies than Who would you vote for if the election were held today? Phone queries, written responses and man-in-the-street itterviews also produce varied results.

I'm on the left side of the barricade. Mostly because of the fact that I want ppl who do not harm others to have the right to live how they want

I was speaking of PiS.

I was talking about scum.

Great! So we're on the same page. Different words, same meanings.

Good that finally you recognize tv maybach for what is :)

Some people equate leftism wtih lewizna (shady schemes), dwie lewe ręce (two left hands), lewy interes (underhanded buisness) and lewactwo (radical leftists). In English the word sinister (connoting soemthing dark, spooky or threatening) comes from Latin where it means left.

Some people equate rightism with Hitler, nazism, totalitarism and prawactwo. Your arguments are invalid.

So such term as prawactwo. But the rightist root is found insuch words as prawy, prawo, prawowity, and prawda -- all the things the lefist scumballs lack!

But Polonius, why are you so against the left when they provided you with employment for many years?

I think comparing your posts with Lenka tells us all we need to know about your newfound ideology.