The PSL can always be counted on to join the winning coalition, be it post-commies or PO. If the righist coalition (PiS 29%, SP 5%) won 34% and PSL 11%, a 45% popular vote would probably translate into a slim parliamentary majority. PO (30%), SLD (7%) and Palikot (5%) would be in the opposition. The PSL might go along if enough cabinet posts were promised.
That of coruse presuposes the cotninuation of the current poltical stage. But there are signs the PO may be breaking up - personal ambitions coming to the fore, tensions between Tusk and Schetyna as well as Gowin. One cannot rule out that the PO's conservative wing will at some point eventually go off on their own and set up a separate groupingn or even join forces with SP. An estimated 30-35% of PO are thought to be traditionalist conservatives who do not stomach anticlericalism and libertine lifestyles. In Poltiics anything can happen!
That of coruse presuposes the cotninuation of the current poltical stage. But there are signs the PO may be breaking up - personal ambitions coming to the fore, tensions between Tusk and Schetyna as well as Gowin. One cannot rule out that the PO's conservative wing will at some point eventually go off on their own and set up a separate groupingn or even join forces with SP. An estimated 30-35% of PO are thought to be traditionalist conservatives who do not stomach anticlericalism and libertine lifestyles. In Poltiics anything can happen!