Now it is a foregone conclusion both Europe and The USA will fall into recession in 2012. Even if the Germans find the 1 trillion Euro package to prop up the Euro, it will still be weighted on the negative side. The euro will not be safe until Europe answers some fundamental questions that it has run away from for many years. At their root is how its nations should respond to a world that is rapidly changing around them. What will it do as globalisation strips the West of the monopoly over the technologies that have made it rich, and an ageing Europe starts to look increasingly like the western peninsula of a resurgent Asia?Some Europeans would like to put up carefully designed fences around the EU’s still vast and wealthy market. Others, including a growing number of populist politicians, want to turn their nations inward and shut out not just the world but also the elites’ project of European integration. And a few—from among those same elites, mostly—argue that the only means of paying for Europe’s distinctive way of life is not to evade globalisation but to embrace it wholeheartedly.This is not some abstract philosophical choice. It is a fierce struggle for Europe’s future, being waged in Athens as George Papandreou lost his power to a temporary government of national unity, in derelict factories in France and Belgium and in the wasted lives of millions of unemployed young Spaniards.
One way the euro crisis could affect Poland, is through its banks. Roughly 70% of Poland's banking assets are controlled by Western European banks. Overall, banks in Poland are well-capitalized, liquid and relatively free of bad loans. Poland has private capital that could be used to put a larger share of the country's banking sector into Polish hands.There's nothing unusual for a country Poland's size to think about such an evolution and benefit from market dynamics.Belgium's KBC Group NV and Portugal's Banco Comercial Português are considering sales of their Polish holdings. Others are also considering selling Polish operations. Who will step in to buy the banks?
One way the euro crisis could affect Poland, is through its banks. Roughly 70% of Poland's banking assets are controlled by Western European banks. Overall, banks in Poland are well-capitalized, liquid and relatively free of bad loans. Poland has private capital that could be used to put a larger share of the country's banking sector into Polish hands.There's nothing unusual for a country Poland's size to think about such an evolution and benefit from market dynamics.Belgium's KBC Group NV and Portugal's Banco Comercial Português are considering sales of their Polish holdings. Others are also considering selling Polish operations. Who will step in to buy the banks?