There wouldn't be enough money, it would break the budget, parents would use the money for booze and ciggies
We will see. It's been not enough time to judge it now. In my opinion - there are people who will use these money properly, there are people who will use it for booze and ciggies. It's real world and real world works so. There was already lots of people in Poland living on social benefits only. More social benefits = more money for them. There is also lots of upright people who will, for example, invest these money in the child's education.
The most important consequence should be an increase in the number of births. Then it will turn out to be a real investment in the future of the country. And it will be worth the costs.
About the budget - they have already cut the money for metropolitan areas, for example. So there will be less money for public transport and for the local investments. They are introducing the "supermarket" tax which may destroy small local businesses in favor of big supermarket chains (although PiS said it will be exactly on the contrary).
By the way, what's the point of "repolonizing" a bank in form of overtaking it by the state? It's enough when a single bank in the country belongs to the state. There is PKO BP. And it's enough. More banks in hands of the government just doesn't make any sense.
Instead of "repolonizing" banks by overtaking them by the government, we should think about why the general tendency is that the whole business, once it gets big enough, leaves Poland. Maybe because the taxes here are too high? See that even Polish people quite often decide to open the business, for example, on the British Isles, even if it's actually going to operate in Poland. Because on the British Isles there is much more benefits for small businesses, and the state institutions are much more friendly.
Let's look at the 10 biggest Polish banks...
1. PKO BP - the state bank, and the biggest bank in Poland
2. Pekao SA - one of the banks created by the state in 1989 with the intention of privatizing it, Italian (UniCredit)
3. Bank Zachodni WBK - also one of those banks, was Irish (AIB) to 2010, from 2011 it's Spanish (Santander)
4. mBank - also one of those banks, German (Commerzbank)
5. ING Bank Śląski - also one of those banks, Dutch (ING)
6. Getin Noble Bank - also one of those banks, seems to be in Polish hands in high percent
7. BGŻ BNP Paribas - a predecessor of BGŻ has existed since 1919 as a state bank, focused on agriculture; from 2004 partially Dutch (Rabobank), from 2008 Rabobank had over 50% of shares, in 2014 it sold them to a French bank (also existing on Polish market), so now it's French (BNP Paribas)
8. Bank Millenium - also one of those banks, Portuguese (BCP)
9. Raiffeisen Polbank - Austrian, on Polish market from 1991
10. BGK - another state bank, not a typical commercial bank, as PKO BP, but rather focused on providing support of different type for people, companies and local authorities
Very meaningful are also local cooperative banks, associated in a few groups.
It seems only one of those banks is private and Polish.
To compare, in Germany, one of the banks in the first ten is Italian - and it would be all in terms of the foreign capital. But 4 of those banks belong to the federal states - it's something we don't have in Poland because Poland is not a federation. One is the state commercial bank, equivalent of PKO BP (Deutsche Bank), one is a truly commercial, private bank (Commerzbank), one is an equivalent of our BGK (KfW), one unites the cooperative banks (DZ Bank) Then you have an Italian one (Hypovereinsbank, belonging to UniCredit, like Polish Pekao SA), then four banks of federal states, then the Postbank, belonging fully to Deutsche Bank.
Then: Dutch ING, again a federal state bank, then the Sparkassen, so a group of banks belonging to local authorities (no equivalent in Poland), again a federal state bank, again a support bank - but for agriculture, again one uniting cooperative banks (WGZ Bank), again a federal state bank, then again a support bank (now one of one of the federal states), the next one is also a special kind of bank - and it's the first 19.
So the difference is just that the system of state banks is much more complex.