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Poland's Nationalists hold congress


Harry  
9 Jun 2013 /  #31
Getting the largest support during elections means winning them

LOL! The people who form the government are the ones who won the election Greggy.

however your expatish certainty that they will not make it is amusing

It's a certainty that is shared by the majority of Polish people.

you guys simply have no clue how politics here works

This from a man who thinks that getting 30% of the vote and then having nothing to do with the government is the same as winning an election.

PSL is a *****, which can do it with anyone

Which is why I said that PiS need 45%, not 50%.

It's a matter of time someone will make use of it.

And that somebody will not be DuckBoy.
delphiandomine  86 | 17823  
9 Jun 2013 /  #32
Which is why I said that PiS need 45%, not 50%.

I'd argue that the 45% that you reference would include the votes from the PSL.

PiS are in even more danger than before - if they lose even 3% of the vote to this Ruch Narodowy, then these end up as "wasted" votes and PiS have even more of a struggle.

If the Dear Leader could let his ego drop for a second, he would give way to a younger man without an ego problem.
OP Polonius3  980 | 12275  
9 Jun 2013 /  #33
For what it's worth, my gut feeling is that PiS will work out some arrangement, żeby wilk był syty i owca cała (so both sides are happy). Amid the greatest of tribtues, testimonials and honours Kaczyński will be eased into the post of life-long honorory chairman, whilst a younger chap will become the party's presdient. Whether anyone here likes it or not, the PiS programme minus Kaczyński and Smolensk have a fairly large potential draw amongst those fed up with PO.
delphiandomine  86 | 17823  
9 Jun 2013 /  #34
Amid the greatest of tribtues, testimonials and honours Kaczyński will be eased into the post of life-long honorory chairman, whilst a younger chap will become the party's presdient.

It won't work. Any young talent (for example, Ziobro) would know that without Kaczynski being permanently expelled from the party, he would still exert huge influence over the party and thus their policies. Such a position (President for life, how North Korean) would all but guarantee that the party wouldn't be trusted by that cruical centre ground.

Whether anyone here likes it or not, the PiS programme minus Kaczyński and Smolensk have a fairly large potential draw amongst those fed up with PO.

I've been saying it for years that without the radical Catholic agenda and Kaczynski, PiS have a decent chance of winning an election. But Kaczynski has to go for real, not like in 2005 when he pretended to step aside.
Grzegorz_  51 | 6138  
9 Jun 2013 /  #35
What's amusing is that you were calling repeatedly that PO and Tusk will fall, yet they're still here.

They lost ~14% since the last elections, the rest is just your wishful thinking.
Harry  
9 Jun 2013 /  #36
^ Yes Greg, and PiS have gained 0.1%....
Grzegorz_  51 | 6138  
9 Jun 2013 /  #37
~+7% over the last 6 months, the trend is clear and there are +2 years left, hopefully Tusk will not run away with early elections.
delphiandomine  86 | 17823  
9 Jun 2013 /  #38
^ Yes Greg, and PiS have gained 0.1%....

In other words, the statistics clearly show that PiS are headed straight for another defeat.

Shall we predict Greggy's excuses now?
jkb  - | 197  
10 Jun 2013 /  #40
The man has lost 14 elections and has lost at least 6 elections since 2007 (if not more, I lost track) - and you still think he's capable of winning?

A natural born loser :)

even PiS-SLD is not impossible

Even PiS-PO-PSL-RP-SLD is not impossible.

Grzegorz_: however your expatish certainty that they will not make it is amusing
It's a certainty that is shared by the majority of Polish people.

Even if they win, as in, get the largest piece of cake, good luck forming a government. PiS would be the largest party in Sejm and forming the opposition. What a shame :)

Harry: Which is why I said that PiS need 45%, not 50%.
I'd argue that the 45% that you reference would include the votes from the PSL.

You guys forget about one thing. The fact that a party gets 45% of popular vote doesn't mean they'll get 45% of all seats. The might as well get the required majority. Our current system promotes bigger parties. For instance, in 2011 PO received around 39% of popular vote, yet got 45% of seats. On the other hand, Palikot got slightly over 10% of popular vote, and only 8,7% of seats.

They lost ~14% since the last elections, the rest is just your wishful thinking.

Are you quoting polls? They have been proven to be useless so many times in the past, so quoting them is basically like telling others to come and laugh at you. I still remember 2011 polls giving Palikot 1-2% of popular vote :)

~+7% over the last 6 months, the trend is clear and there are +2 years left, hopefully Tusk will not run away with early elections.

In other words, the statistics clearly show that PiS are headed straight for another defeat. Shall we predict Greggy's excuses now?

Or maybe in 2 years the situation will change so much that the left will come to power again? Look at SLD with 15%, quoting the polls you guys like so much. Look at Europa+, which has estimates of around 25% of popular vote, yet again, by polls. Polls show that the society is getting sick of the right movements and slowly leaning towards the left again. It's really a bit too early to predict anything, 2 years before the election.
Grzegorz_  51 | 6138  
10 Jun 2013 /  #41
Look at Europa+

Kwas messed it up, thank God :))
jkb  - | 197  
10 Jun 2013 /  #42
jkb: Look at Europa+

Kwas messed it up, thank God :))

And what do you mean by that? :)
Grzegorz_  51 | 6138  
10 Jun 2013 /  #43
Fat, drunk guy :))
jkb  - | 197  
10 Jun 2013 /  #44
With 25% of the popular vote, as the polls show :)
smurf  38 | 1940  
10 Jun 2013 /  #45
I was referring to the holy inquisition

hahahah, win!
delphiandomine  86 | 17823  
10 Jun 2013 /  #46
With 25% of the popular vote, as the polls show :)

It's Greggy's worst nightmare, he spent so long trying to convince us all that the Dear Leader would win...only to stare yet another loss in the face.
Grzegorz_  51 | 6138  
10 Jun 2013 /  #47
With 25% of the popular vote, as the polls show :)

Except it it went down to 4% and after that the crap was pulled off the polls :)))
jkb  - | 197  
10 Jun 2013 /  #48
after that the crap was pulled off the polls :)))

Last time I cheked PiS was still shown in all polls, so you must be greatly mistaken here.
sobieski  106 | 2111  
10 Jun 2013 /  #49
~+7% over the last 6 months, the trend is clear and there are +2 years left, hopefully Tusk will not run away with early elections.

Still 70 % who not vote for the duck. Maybe they are all misguided?
Anecdote; Yesterday at Metro Młociny, one of of these "neutral" smolenkist referendumallists asked if I wanted to sign the petition against GW. I declined and asked her if she was a pisior. Which she of course was. Her reply? "Musisz być obcem".
delphiandomine  86 | 17823  
10 Jun 2013 /  #50
Anecdote; Yesterday at Metro Młociny, one of of these "neutral" smolenkist referendumallists asked if I wanted to sign the petition against GW.

I imagine Gazeta Wyborcza are laughing their heads off at such people - such free publicity!

And let's be honest, if those fools hate it, then it must be good.

Still 70 % who not vote for the duck. Maybe they are all misguided?

Usual rhetoric from followers of the Dear Leader - anyone that isn't with them is somehow 'misguided', 'stupid' and so on.
jkb  - | 197  
10 Jun 2013 /  #51
I declined and asked her if she was a pisior. Which she of course was. Her reply? "Musisz być obcem".

That's golden :D And so expected from pisiors.

I imagine Gazeta Wyborcza are laughing their heads off at such people - such free publicity!
And let's be honest, if those fools hate it, then it must be good.

They're not saint, but I prefer them so much better than Nasz Dziennik, Rzeczpospolita or other garbage.

Usual rhetoric from followers of the Dear Leader - anyone that isn't with them is somehow 'misguided', 'stupid' and so on.

Spot on.
Harry  
10 Jun 2013 /  #52
And let's be honest, if those fools hate it, then it must be good.

Precisely. It's much like the Polish Nationalists: lots of people see the stance of the Neo-Nazis and immediately think 'If those cretins are on that side of the argument, I almost certainly am not on that side'.
Ironside  50 | 12316  
10 Jun 2013 /  #53
and immediately think 'If those cretins are on that side of the argument, I almost certainly am not on that side'.

that is not thinking that i an emotional reaction promoted in media.
jkb  - | 197  
10 Jun 2013 /  #54
Precisely. It's much like the Polish Nationalists: lots of people see the stance of the Neo-Nazis and immediately think 'If those cretins are on that side of the argument, I almost certainly am not on that side'.

Plus who in their sane, right mind would want to align themselves with these savages?
jon357  73 | 22924  
11 Jun 2013 /  #55
That's largely why they can't ever scrape the necessary 4% in whatever elections they contest.
jkb  - | 197  
11 Jun 2013 /  #56
I believe it's 5% to get into Sejm and 3% to receive funding.
Lenka  5 | 3472  
11 Jun 2013 /  #57
5% for parties, 3 % for minorities, 7% for coalitions if I remember correctly
sobieski  106 | 2111  
11 Jun 2013 /  #58
3 % for minorities

What is remotely funny, is that the duck wants to get the upperhand in Silesia...after he practically declared the same Silesians as non-Poles....
Lenka  5 | 3472  
11 Jun 2013 /  #59
Yes I remember. He made a hell of a lot ppl mad.
Grzegorz_  51 | 6138  
11 Jun 2013 /  #60
the same Silesians

Which ones ?

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