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"Poland is flourishing"


THE HITMAN  - | 236  
3 May 2011 /  #31
Talk about Economic Illiteracy!! You win first prize

Jealous ?
GrzegorzK  
3 May 2011 /  #32
The reason Poland is flourishing is because they are one of the few European countires smart enough not to join EU. It only benefits France and Germany because they are larger, but won't benefit Poland. I hope they stay sovereign.
Bratwurst Boy  9 | 11909  
3 May 2011 /  #33
The reason Poland is flourishing is because they are one of the few European countires smart enough not to join EU

Erm...

europa.eu/abc/european_countries/eu_members/poland/index_en.htm

;)
alexw68  
3 May 2011 /  #34
The reason Poland is flourishing is because they are one of the few European countires smart enough not to join EU

Eh? You mean EUR (the currency), right?
Bratwurst Boy  9 | 11909  
3 May 2011 /  #35
I fear not:

I hope they stay sovereign.

GrzegorzK  
3 May 2011 /  #36
The reason Poland is flourishing is because they are a soverign country and not part of the NWO known as THE EUROPEAN UNION. That is why Poland was the only country to grow in 2009 after the global financial meltdown, because they kept their sovereign currency they didn't crash with the EURO like other european countries who adopted the EURO. in 5 years the Euro will not exist.
alexw68  
3 May 2011 /  #37
The reason Poland is flourishing is because they are a soverign country and not part of the NWO known as THE EUROPEAN UNION.

I beg to differ: europa.eu/abc/european_countries/eu_members/poland/index_en.htm. They are not members of the single European currency, however, and as such their central bank/monetary policy is sovereign.

You may have a point about the currency breaking up, by the way...
Stu  12 | 515  
3 May 2011 /  #38
That is why Poland was the only country to grow in 2009 after the global financial meltdown

The only reason why PL grew was because of the zillions of euros they got in subsidies. Fortunately NL and UK are against raising the EU-budget and I hope they will stick to it. Let's see whether PL is able to keep growing after the money from the EU dries up.
pawian  220 | 24841  
3 May 2011 /  #39
If it was as simple as that...... You still need to learn a lot about Poland..... E.g., the fact that Poland was growing throughout 1990s and early 2000s, without being a member or subsidies.

Historical annual data[21]

Total 1991 -7.0%
Total 1992 2.6%
Total 1993 3.8%
Total 1994 5.2%
Total 1995 7.0%
Total 1996 6.2%
Total 1997 7.1%
Total 1998 5.0%
Total 1999 4.5%
Total 2000 4.3%
Total 2001 1.2%
Total 2002 1.4%
Total 2003 3.9%
Total 2004 5.3%
Total 2005 3.6%
Total 2006 6.2%
Total 2007 6.8%
Total 2008 5.1%
Total 2009 1.7%
Total 2010 3.8%

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Poland
SeanBM  34 | 5786  
3 May 2011 /  #40
The only reasonwhy PL grew was because of the zillions of euros they got in subsidies.

I don't believe that is true Stu, it is of course a contributing factor, one which the old E.U. designed themselves to have a level playing field in the Euro zone.

I'm not an economist but here are contributing factors that I think really helped, in no particular order:

1. The strict banking policies which didn't allow so much bad credit like in Ireland (same reason why what is happening in Ireland won't happen here in Poland).

They have just made it even harder to get a mortgage, something I used to complain about but now I really see the benefits.

2.The two million Polish people who emigrated, not only gave rise to employment figures and had a direct result on wages going up here but also they sent back billions each year, making up part of Poland's GDP.

3. Not joining the Euro meant that the Zloty fell about 30%, increasing exports and decreasing imports.

It's a win win, so long as you stay in Poland (here I am, not the only reason but a contributing one :)

4. Highly educated yet relatively cheap labour for foreign investment.
Bratwurst Boy  9 | 11909  
3 May 2011 /  #41
I would agree with the first point.

Irelands economy was build on a bubble...Polands economy is not. They will avoid Irelands, or the greek, failure for that alone.

The Euro isn't the deciding factor if an economy works or not, it's a tool, not more, not less.
It makes for a good scapegoat though when national governments want to avoid the hard look in the mirror.

For working economies the Euro is a plus as it makes the trading business so much easier..but for that you need to have business in the first place.
delphiandomine  86 | 17823  
3 May 2011 /  #42
You may have a point about the currency breaking up, by the way...

I think there's going to be a very real debate soon as to where the EU is going - the Euro can't work long term without further political integration.

Still, the EU should never have expanded so fast, so quickly. I'm still of the view that the EU should have stopped at 17 - the previous 15, plus Slovenia and Estonia.
gumishu  14 | 6234  
3 May 2011 /  #43
It's a win win, so long as you stay in Poland (here I am, not the only reason but a contributing one :)

with the education standards rapidly falling how long do you expect it to last? Poland's strength was it's basic and high school level professional/technical education - now it is mostly gone
SeanBM  34 | 5786  
3 May 2011 /  #44
Irelands economy was build on a bubble...Polands economy is not.

You have officially wiped yourself off Milky's Christmas card list :)

The Euro isn't the deciding factor if an economy works or not. It makes for a good scapegoat though when national governments want to avoid the hard look in the mirror.

But it does effect imports and exports and you can manage your inflation better without it.

But these are the hard times, the Euro (if you don't listen to the UKIP) is more stable, dropping 30% could have had a catastrophic effect.

with the education standards rapidly falling how long do you expect it to last?

Just change your mind and the forecast will get better ;)
Bratwurst Boy  9 | 11909  
3 May 2011 /  #45
Poland's strength was it's basic and high school level professional/technical education - now it is mostly gone

Has Poland taken part in PISA? What was the verdict?

You have officially wiped yourself off Milky's Christmas card list :)

Oh cume oooon....you know I love ya! *shuffles feet*
gumishu  14 | 6234  
3 May 2011 /  #46
They will avoid Irelands, or the greek, failure for that alone.

You sure we will?? Our current government does not much to avoid the Greek scenario (read national debt is quickly rising). Sure thay only think of the next election (this autumn)

Just change your mind and the forecast will get better ;)

I don't frankly get your point :)
SeanBM  34 | 5786  
3 May 2011 /  #47
Our current government does not much to avoid the Greek scenario (read national debt is quickly rising).

I have pointed this out to you before and you either missed it or ignored it.

It's still much lower comparatively.

27th External
47th public debt
Bratwurst Boy  9 | 11909  
3 May 2011 /  #48
You sure we will??

Well..just yesterday they wrote that the shadow economy in Greece approaches 37% of the whole economy. Meaning no-taxpaying black markets.

Greece is rotten to the core and it will take years to get it cleaned up...I wouldn't put Poland in the same basket!

In my opinion Poland experiences the growing pains of a real capitalist economy...not everything is rosy right now but they keep it straight and the outlook is good.

Especially as they try to avoid the pitfalls of others...
SeanBM  34 | 5786  
3 May 2011 /  #49
the shadow economy in Greece approaches 37%

Where'd you get that figure? and how'd they calculate it?

I wonder what Poland's is, anyone?
delphiandomine  86 | 17823  
3 May 2011 /  #50
Well..just yesterday they wrote that the shadow economy in Greece approaches 37% of the whole economy. Meaning no-taxpaying black markets.

No surprise, really.

Poland's done a lot to clean it up - the latest move, of requiring lawyers, doctors and a few others to use a "kasa fiskalna" (machine to produce receipts) wasn't a bad move at all.
Bratwurst Boy  9 | 11909  
3 May 2011 /  #51
Where'd you get that figure? and how'd they calculate it?

In Spiegel...

spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/0,1518,760229,00.html

My translation:

"The size of the shadow economy in Greece amounts to an estimate from the EU and the OECD between 25 and 37 percent."

gumishu  14 | 6234  
3 May 2011 /  #52
It's still much lower comparatively.
27th External
47th public debt

the public debt already reached the level of 55 per cent of the GDP - and econimic forecast for Poland is not very bright (European coal tax anyone? the most expensive natural gas in Europe ( Mr Pawlak's (in)famous Russian gas deal) - think all artificial fertilizers and some other chemical industries in Poland may collapse in a few years, the growing burden of debt, growing unemployment among the youth)
southern  73 | 7059  
3 May 2011 /  #53
That is why Greece is a poor country with rich citizens as they use to say.
Natasa  1 | 572  
3 May 2011 /  #54
In Spiegel...

Are you posting this for fun or you really treat Spiegel as a reliable source for anything besides ads for cars and insurance and super gunstig chances to get those?
Bratwurst Boy  9 | 11909  
3 May 2011 /  #55
That is why Greece is a poor country with rich citizens as they use to say.

Help me out here Southern...is it really hereditary or is there really a will of the people to clean it up.
When I see greek people protesting what is their alternative to austerity. What are they protesting actually.
How do the Greek see themselves in 20 years?
Is there a mood to roll up the sleeves and to wish through the mess with a really big mop? Or will it
all stay the same as always..
SeanBM  34 | 5786  
3 May 2011 /  #56
47th public debt

the public debt already reached the level of 55 per cent of the GDP

This is what happens when you don't look at the links provided, you misunderstand what is meant.

The [en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_by_public_debt] 47th public debt refers to place compared to other countries not the debt itself.
Ironside  50 | 12415  
3 May 2011 /  #57
I would like to find out how accurately it describes, in your opinion, the current situation in Poland,

To make it short this article is full of BS!
gumishu  14 | 6234  
3 May 2011 /  #58
This is what happens when you don't look at the links provided, you misunderstand what is meant.

I know what it means - still comparisons don't make much sense when you see some difficult times ahead - CO2 quota lowering for Poland - heard about that - in general it means Poland being not in very favourable economic position faces challenges it may not equal to in near future - and there are people who are responsible for it
SeanBM  34 | 5786  
3 May 2011 /  #59
I know what it means - still comparisons don't make much sense when you see some difficult times ahead

I think it makes perfect sense to compare to others especially when difficult times are ahead, how else can you avoid pitfalls and make strategically advantageous moves? read PF? :)

when you see some difficult times ahead - CO2 quota lowering for Poland

Poland to sell surplus carbon emission permits worth 15 million euros to Ireland after selling 25 million euros in AAUs to Spain.

Reuters
gumishu  14 | 6234  
3 May 2011 /  #60
Poland to sell surplus carbon emission permits worth 15 million euros to Ireland after selling 25 million euros in AAUs to Spain

the article is from 2009 - these good times are about to end soon SeanBM - I'll try to find some respective links

how else can you avoid pitfalls and make strategically advantageous moves?

advantageous moves cannot be made by comparisons to others but by recognizing realities

bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ahlP2z11ukIY

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