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Berlin terrorist attack -- Poland's ethnic homogeneity a true blessing [436]
Far from 'economic suicide.' Germany is one of many trading partners, yes at the moment the largest as the situation allows for both parties to profit. When that changes, people and corps in both countries will find new partners. Both Poland and Germany can find new trading partners at the drop of a hat to replace each other. The only way Poland would suffer an economic suicide if the entire EU market were suddenly cut off which isn't in the cards. Poland has already formed a lot of new trade partnerships lately. Sugar exports to Israel are ever increasing, new trade deals with China have been signed, energy and military hardware deals were signed with the US, and such activities will continue. The amount of finished goods flowing into Poland from China from chandeliers, to tombstones, to electronics, is staggering. There's many Poles, a few whom I even know personally, who have become millionaires within a few short years by importing high quality goods from China and selling at slightly below market Besides, trade occurs between people and corporations. Governments help by offering lowered tariffs, better deals for large volume trades, etc especially in certain sectors that governments either have a stake in, have partnerships with, or simply have acquaintances serving as executives. Poland easily overcame the sudden cut off of trade with Russia, which was rather significant especially for those employed in agriculture in the east, when the EU asked us to do so. We can do the same with Germany. Corporations and business people tend to be focused on the bottom dollar and they'll work with whatever the political or socioeconomic situation is in an area to make a buck. In Gdansk, shipping companies are even more than happy to employ North Koreans because of their high skill and low labor costs. NK companies are happy because Poland pays more for their labor than just about any other country they're in.
As far as the political and social relationship with Germany, it's already quite strained. Poles don't look at Germany the same way as they did 10-20 or even 5 years ago. Sure, some people still go to do blue collar work to make money for a week or two and spend their check in Poland. However, many Poles aren't too happy about the fact that German corps have established a near monopoly in Poland in the media as well as a disproportionate share of capital in banks.
As far as the post-2021 budget, Poland will most likely be asked to put more money towards it. The EU is already gradually asking for more and more money from Poland. If we remain in the EU, we'll most likely be a net payee within the next decade or two.
The question of migrants/refugees is yet to be determined. It's silly to ask would've, should've, could've. When people on here say that Poland is going to leave EU/get kicked out of EU for not taking in migrants that's completely false. No one ever said that from the Polish side nor the EU side. The only thing that was threatened was a possible 2 bil fine from the EU side which was months ago. Since then the EU has focused more on the perceived 'rule of law' issue. I don't have a crystal ball to determine whether Poland will accept migrants/refugees or not. I can only go by what has happened and what is happening to somewhat gauge what will happen. What has happened is massive demonstrations and public disappointment with PO for kowtowing to the EU and accepting the quota. This upset Poles a lot - not just for the quota acceptance but also that they allowed the EU to stick their nose in our domestic home affairs and are deciding our immigration policy for us - who to take in, from where, how many, etc. Since then, PiS won the election and according to two CBOS polls put out recently one stated 3/4 of Poles do not want migration from M.E. and Africa and the second and more recent one stated PiS enjoys record support at 43% of Poles while PO enjoys less than half. Add 8% of Kukiz and Pis/Kukiz is over the 50% mark. One of the reasons why PiS is enjoying such record support is because they're actually listening to Polish people and not allowing the EU to dictate certain things.
Poles and our government are more than happy to follow EU rules as far as consumer protection, economics, free movement of EU citizens, etc. We even follow certain economic and business rules that seem silly to us like having 400 some rules and guidelines on how a towel is to be produced. However, there's certain things that are a red line and we believe are up to us to decide - that's why were butting heads with the EU. The EU feels they can determine things which are typically a sovereign country's concerns and we and our elected officials disagree - especially the migrant question. If a Muslim is a EU citizen he or she is welcome to come to Poland, per the Schengen rules. However, we will not to be told who to resettle, how many, from where, etc. We Poles feel that's up to us to decide. As a born and raised Pole, I can tell you that most Polish people are deeply patriotic, especially due to our history, and overwhelmingly identify as Catholics (even if they're Easter/Christmas church goers as many are) hence the recent crowning of Jesus as King of Poland. We are not interested in having our culture changed nor our safety put at risk. We have seen what has happened in western Europe - the massacres, the terror, the rapes, the crimes, all the problems - economic and social and it's left a very unpleasant taste in our mouths as it pertains to accepting migrants. The migrants have even gone as far as asking crosses and other Catholic symbols to be taken down because they 'offend' them. We see the quotas as a slippery slope and infringement of a sovereign right and that is why we are happy to have a government that cares about of safety and preservation of our sovereignty and culture. While we do wish to remain in the EU, it is a two way relationship. There are many things that we have agreed to with the EU - far more than disagreed, however this issue is something the vast majority of Poles and our democratically elected government will fight. It is up to Poland and EU now to either settle this issue, determine a fair solution, and move on. The government and majority of Poles don't want certain migrants so perhaps they can agree to send us Christian Iraqis or Syrians, Eritreans, etc that we ourselves can vet so as to not put our society and people in danger. I'm confident while Poles wouldn't be too happy they'll be much more comfortable with Christians coming in than Muslims from M.E. and Africa.
Personally, I know that 4k 7k whatever muslims would be a drop in the bucket. Really we shouldn't be asked to take in anyone since we relieved the pressure of 1 mln ukranians and the 30k chechens we took in exceeds the quotas anyway. However the police would most likely constantly monitor the muslims that were distributed to us to prevent any terrorist inclinations and we'd most likely retain our perfect record of no Islamic terror attacks. Nonetheless, I support my country's democratically government and the Polish majority in their decision. That is how democracy works.
For now we can only wait and see what happens. I don't know what your connection is with Poland but I can tell you based on my experience, bringing in Muslims and Africans and asking Poles to accept them is going to be a very very tough sell.