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Posts by convex  

Joined: 25 Nov 2009 / Male ♂
Last Post: 28 Nov 2011
Threads: Total: 20 / In This Archive: 13
Posts: Total: 3928 / In This Archive: 3150
From: Wroclaw
Speaks Polish?: un poco...wait
Interests: aviation

Displayed posts: 3163 / page 71 of 106
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convex   
20 Apr 2010
Law / WHAT ARE THE BENEFITS OF THE EURO CURRENCY TO POLAND? [101]

Well, there we have one of the causes of the current crisis :)

Explain how hedging to reduce exposure is a cause of the current crisis. How you hedge on the other hand... But the same can be said for investing. So is investing also a major cause of the current crisis?

That's only a little over a year ago. How was PL doing one year after the revolution?

There was a revolution? SK was part of the ERM for a while, and once it tightened up, growth petered off. Anyway, how has/will the euro benefit Slovakia vs the Czechs and their continued use of the crown?

While for an individual conversion fees may not be that high, they can add up pretty quickly if you do a lot of trade abroad and since Britain has to do a lot of trade abroad, money is being lost on quite a big scale: 3 per cent per transaction. May not seem much, but 3 per cent of, say, a million is 30.000. A lot of money, I would say if you regularly perform transactions of that magnitude abroad.

Individuals don't make up the majority of international trade. 99% of money that changes hands are non cash transactions, in which the transaction fee is way, way, way lower than 3%. My bank is very very close to the spot rate on non cash transactions.

You're talking about a little itty bitty benefit to people (who will of course moan because prices will go up) vs. loss of control of the money supply. That doesn't seem like a good trade.
convex   
20 Apr 2010
Law / WHAT ARE THE BENEFITS OF THE EURO CURRENCY TO POLAND? [101]

What I find funny that on this thread there are Americans present that advise against the Euro, saying that the small ppl will lose out on the Euro. What the heck? Americans don't know about the workings of this system, heck, they barely know how their own system works, so it would be appreciated if they didn't participate, or if they do, bring in some constructive ideas, comments, or sth and not negativism, scaring ppl to bits.

Yea, no clue about the monetary system. Anyway, individuals see a short term benefit because they don't have to exchange money, fair enough. The long term loss comes from lack of control of the money supply. When you lose control of the money supply, you lose control of being able to devalue your currency as a stop gap for bankruptcy and economic slowdown. Seems like your ideas just lightly scratch the surface.

monetary control of the state? Let me tell you: millions and millions are getting lost every week/month due to exchange rates. Yes the countries who haven't adopted the Euro are doing less than the ones that did. I wouldn't want to take Greece as an example, they fcuk up everything anyway, Euro or no Euro. And why is there so much pressure from within in those non-Euro countries to adopt it?

Denmark, Sweden, the UK, Norway, Switzerland....problems with trade?

How are things going in Slovakia since they adopted the Euro? Ask the Hungarians, they're seeing the benefits...

There is pressure to adopt in CEE, because there was no opt-out clause.

How are millions and millions being lost? You ever heard of hedging? Forward contracts? You know what the spread is on currency transactions that aren't done at a little hut? How do you think Poland would have fared over the last couple of years had they not devalued their currency? Countries in the Eurozone can't devalue their currency, so they go into massive debt and have to declare bankruptcy and completely destroy their credit rating, as opposed to increasing the money supply and living with the inflation.

In the UK, the captains of industry are quite happy with the pound....because they can influence it. Notice darling pumping money into the economy? Quantitative easing is not possible when you lose control of monetary policy.

Just for shits and giggles, here is the current spread for GBPUSD

Bid Offer
1.5395 1.5400

you can work out the percent. transaction fees are lower than the spread.
convex   
20 Apr 2010
Law / WHAT ARE THE BENEFITS OF THE EURO CURRENCY TO POLAND? [101]

so simple answer for me is Poland is better off without the euro and control of its banking policy as long as possible. I bet the Germans would love to be rid of the euro at this point in time.

Exactly, why have all the disadvantages of fiat money without any of the benefits?
convex   
20 Apr 2010
News / Is it possible that Polish president was assasinated? If so then, by whom? [921]

The benefit to Tusk is that his major opponents are out of the picture, giving him a pretty good shot at winning the election which, if he does, is a major benefit to Putin. And you can't dispute the fact that Tusk has benefitted greatly...Kaczynski's party has been annihilated.

Opponent. With 20% approval ratings, Kaczynski wasn't going anywhere but early retirement this summer. Regarding PiS, Jaroslaw has always been the brains behind the the party. However, Lech was definately the more likable, Maria didn't hurt here, and she really came across as an incredibly sympathetic person. I don't know enough about Jaroslaws personal life to comment....no one does.

Anyway, I digress...

For the Senat:

Krystyna Bochenek - PO - deputy speaker
Janina Fetlińska - PiS
Stanisław Zając - PiS

As for members of the Sejm:

Leszek Deptuła - PSL
Wiesław Woda - PSL
Edward Wojtas - PSL
Grzegorz Dolniak - PO
Sebastian Karpiniuk - PO
Arkadiusz Rybicki - PO
Maciej Płażyński - Co-founder of PO, ran on an independent ticket
Grażyna Gęsicka - Leader of the PiS Caucus in the Sejm
Przemysław Gosiewski - PiS
Aleksandra Natalli-Świat - PiS (and all around decent human being, lit a candle at her office)
Krzysztof Putra - PiS, deputy speaker
Zbigniew Wassermann - PiS
Jerzy Szmajdziński - SLD
Jolanta Szymanek-Deresz - SLD

So, the argument that PiS has been annihilated doesn't hold much water.
convex   
20 Apr 2010
News / Is it possible that Polish president was assasinated? If so then, by whom? [921]

Just to give people an idea of what the pilots were dealing with - here's a video of a landing in Zurich with 175m visibility to ILS cat IIb standards.

Thanks for putting things into perspective.

500ft sounds like quite a bit unless you're traveling at 300kph...
convex   
20 Apr 2010
News / Is it possible that Polish president was assasinated? If so then, by whom? [921]

The problem with that theory is that the president was on his way out. Now he has been made a martyr. The government was already following the PO line, and that probably wasn't going to change (might now with a bit of sympathy vote). I don't see the benefit to Tusk and Putin.
convex   
20 Apr 2010
News / Polska A ['educated'] scoffs at Lech Kaczynski [24]

What a complete and utter nonsense. I'm an electronics engineer, I speak four languages

a simpleton, obviously.

when they give out university diplomas to anyone with
the intelligence only slightly higher than that of a bar stool

please don't disparage bar stools, they serve a purpose.
convex   
19 Apr 2010
News / Polska A ['educated'] scoffs at Lech Kaczynski [24]

Not really, they've been replaced often by much more capable men, for example Gągor was a scourge.

Sorry, question from a c*nt here. Is Stachowiak taking over his role? ...and what didn't you like about him?

I met Gen. Potasinski (along with Olbrycht) in Garmisch, I'd say there was a huge loss there.
convex   
19 Apr 2010
Life / Experience with local charities in Poland? [7]

is it in Wroclaw?

Local is just small. The location doesn't really matter. I'm expecting it to be a couple thousand euro max, so a small local charity would probably see the most impact. Most of the degenerates that I spend time with give money to the big boys and that's about it.
convex   
19 Apr 2010
Life / Standards of Living in Poland [42]

Ah! he was probabably born in Berlin.

Economic migrant from the Czech Republic.

I wish it were true what you said about kids though. I would move back in a heartbeat. In fact, any city without hordes of little sex trophies walking would be great.
convex   
19 Apr 2010
Life / Experience with local charities in Poland? [7]

I'm planning on heading on another rally later this year, and we're thinking about donating some of the money raised to a local charity (the rest going to MSF). Does anyone have experience with a local charity that they could recommend? Any suggestions? Have any of you done volunteer work?

Not big on environmental causes or religious organizations.
convex   
19 Apr 2010
Life / Standards of Living in Poland [42]

Only part of Berlin was Ossi, there is a huge Wesi population, or rather original Berliner population living in Berlin, it is really a mix of both worlds and I find it really interesting. Great city overall.

Talking about over the border, Berlin is a bit of a stretch for commuting. West Berlin is a wet dream straight out of the 60's. Like a bunch of little brothers to the monstrosities in Marzahn. And then you have the crown of west berlin....Neukolln. Seems like most of the older nice apartments are in the East. I lived in Pankow, loved it.

Dogs are allowed in the city by invitation only, (no mongrels of course).

My lab didn't have an invitation.
convex   
19 Apr 2010
News / Polska A ['educated'] scoffs at Lech Kaczynski [24]

All the people that disagreed with him where on the plane that crashed, not just one politician, but many important people.

Like who?

The irreplaceable loss government wise was the military leadership.

The cultural loss was much larger.
convex   
19 Apr 2010
Life / Standards of Living in Poland [42]

€1500 on €2200

I think there is a guy in Lodz on here that builds up call centers and can probably tell you if the salary is decent.