News /
Poland in the 'brave new world'? [10]
Barring some meteorite or other unforeseen catastrophe, there is much to indicate that the world's power and economic balance is shifting away from the developed West to the already developed (Japan) and rapidly developing Orient (China, India, Japan, Korea etc.). How the Orient interacts with the Muslim World, which controls strategic fuel deposits, may play a key role shaping the further course of events. Mass emigration from the above to the West may also play an important part in the overall West to East shift. Probably the only unknown is the rate at which this will occur. Some predictions maintain that within 50 years English will become a minority language in the US, outnumbered by Spanish and oriental-language speakers.
Where do you believe Poland will end up within the total puzzle, let's say 50 years from now.
--For instance recent Sino-Polish military talks (possibly prompted by a common Russian potential foe) may suggest an independent, special relationship between Warsaw and Beijing.
---If the euro collapses, will Poland's fidelity to the złoty prove an advantage to its economic growth? Reverting to marks, francs, lire, punts, etc. will surely be a confusing and costly operation.
--Poland's being less of a magnet to Third World immigration may be a boon by avoiding the hyper-diversity 'multi-kulti' as Tante Merkel put it) now causing so many problems in the West.
P
--Where will the investment stream and outsourcing business go following the upheavals in North Africa? Can Poland and other Central European countries benefit if this business is re-directed?