jwojcie
19 Jan 2009
News / SHOULD POLAND/EUROPE BE WORRIED ABOUT RUSSIA?? [90]
As I post before on these forums there is one big geopolitical issue between Russia and Poland. It is unfortunate but it is reality.
So, once again: the name of that issue is future of Ukraine and Belarus.
Poland see this countries as future members of UE or at least strong and independent democracies. Russia see them as future members of some multinational entity lead by Russia or at least dependent countries. For both countries this is a critical issue, so this conflict extrapolate on other things. For last couple of years there are clearly visible trends:
- in Russia policy towards Poland - prevent Poland from growing bigger in economical and political sense (mainly in EU forum)
- in Poland policy towards Russia - prevent Russia from entering central european markets, blocking Russia in EU.
Obviously Poland is much weaker in that game. We are still playing only because EU leverage and strong support for independence in Ukraine. Belarus is almost lost. So, yes, from that point of view Poland can be worried about Russia.
PS. Can we be friends? I hope so, but I'll believe in that when Kaliningrad become kind of Hongkong. Now it still is like one enormous air craft, obviously something to worry about.
As I post before on these forums there is one big geopolitical issue between Russia and Poland. It is unfortunate but it is reality.
So, once again: the name of that issue is future of Ukraine and Belarus.
Poland see this countries as future members of UE or at least strong and independent democracies. Russia see them as future members of some multinational entity lead by Russia or at least dependent countries. For both countries this is a critical issue, so this conflict extrapolate on other things. For last couple of years there are clearly visible trends:
- in Russia policy towards Poland - prevent Poland from growing bigger in economical and political sense (mainly in EU forum)
- in Poland policy towards Russia - prevent Russia from entering central european markets, blocking Russia in EU.
Obviously Poland is much weaker in that game. We are still playing only because EU leverage and strong support for independence in Ukraine. Belarus is almost lost. So, yes, from that point of view Poland can be worried about Russia.
PS. Can we be friends? I hope so, but I'll believe in that when Kaliningrad become kind of Hongkong. Now it still is like one enormous air craft, obviously something to worry about.