But, and one but - if Boris joins the Leave campaign, all bets are off.
BBC reckon thats the way its going to swing('just on the news'). Question Time has been interesting over the last few weeks with inners very much in a minority. During the last episode, the inners had to be cajoled into putting their hands up. What was particularly surprising was the last
one in Stratford on Avon, which is barely touched by immigration, almost certainly fell on the side of Leave with a large majority.
This may point to the fact that immigration isn't the only burning issue. Could it be the fact the EU is built on a Soviet style model, where a voice of dissent, was silenced by the Gulags? The westernised version is political correctness and destroying those who don't toe the line.
Who knows what the plan is? One things for sure, in or out, its not going to end pretty. There is of course the burning question, "What has the EU done for the UK? For a lot of people, its brought low wages, higher rents, longer waiting times at the doctors, overcrowded schools, and intolerable neighbours. For me, out and rebuild before the ugliness is the only sensible option.
But still, it all depends what The Sun does.
That may well of held true a decade or more ago. England's changed and they even charge to view the Sun Online. To be fair, Camerons pretty much been slaughtered across the board today in the media. His time as PM is done. Boris may leapfrog, Osbourne and May, simply by having the courage of his own convictions and doing whats right for the country rather than Call Me Dave's crumbling career.