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Posts by Tacitus  

Joined: 6 Jul 2017 / Male ♂
Warnings: 1 - Q
Last Post: 4 Jul 2024
Threads: Total: 2 / Live: 1 / Archived: 1
Posts: Total: 1255 / Live: 798 / Archived: 457

Displayed posts: 799 / page 2 of 27
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Tacitus   
18 Apr 2024
Law / The right to own guns: would you support such legislation in Poland? [2874]

@johnny reb

They can get a drivers license at 16 and a hunting license at 12 in Michigan.

And do you think that is reasonable? I get it that hunting may have been a necessary skill to learn as early as possible in rural areas 200 years ago, but today? The USA is a civilized country with what I can only assume broad access to supermarkets. Children should not have access to guns period. If they want to get extra fresh food, they can always go fishing.

@Novichok

My gun never attacked me. My steak knives never stabbed me. My cars never tried to run over me. My tie never choked me. My bathtub never drowned me.

Leaving aside the risk of accidental discharges. Living without cars or bathtubs is difficult, they pose little risk while offering great benefits. Guns do not offer any tangible benefits while posing great risks to yourself and your family. Living without them has no impact on your daily life, but your family will thank you for it. "At least now grandpa is less likely to shoot me" would be a very reassuring thought for them.
Tacitus   
17 Apr 2024
Law / The right to own guns: would you support such legislation in Poland? [2874]

@johnny reb

What age do you consider appropriate for them to learn gun safety ?

18 and of course only after passing a psychological evaluation.

@Novichok

Did you get it or did I use words too complex for you to understand?

Just repeat after me: Your gun endangers you and your loved ones. Your family is real, that dangerous intruder just part of your imagination. If you love your family, get rid off your gun. Your activities on this forum does not convince anybody that you are capable of handling your gun in an emergency.
Tacitus   
17 Apr 2024
Law / The right to own guns: would you support such legislation in Poland? [2874]

@Novichok

Hey, moron, using your statistics

That is not how statistics work. With cars you look at the benefits of a car (greater mobility et al.) and compare them with other methods of transportation and their associated risks.

With guns it is easier since you can weigh their supposed benefit (protection, lifes saved) versus the lifes they claimed but were not supposed to.

And statistically speaking you are more likely to harm yourself and/or your loved ones than to shoot an intruder with. Guns make the life of their owners and all others more unsafe.

@johnny reb

arm and safely how to drink alcohol because they are all going to try them sooner or later.

Nonsense. If a person does not know how to drive, he'll be severely limited in his mobility and possibly job opportunities. Having sex is something natural everybody will want to experience, and we know from history that banning alcohol does more harm than good. But there is zero reason why a minor should learn how to handle a gun. He does not need it for his daily life, it poses further risks for him and others and given the right laws, it will be very difficult to ever get his hands on them unsupervised. Most people in Poland never used a gun in their life, nor did they have the need for it.
Tacitus   
16 Apr 2024
Law / The right to own guns: would you support such legislation in Poland? [2874]

@Novichok

See the problem or is your Euro pacifism interfering with the logical side of your guilt-ridden German brain

Nope, we are just better at looking at statistics. You are more likely to use those gun against yourself, your family, or your family uses it to harm itself. Facts matter. Your gun is making your family more unsafe.

We have friendly fun family gun outings

You mean events like this?

Child firing Uzi at Ariz. shooting range accidentally kills instructor, police say

cnn.com/2014/08/26/us/arizona-girl-fatal-shooting-accident/index.html

There are states in which people are not allowed to drink alcohol or drive a car until they are 21, but some people seem to believe it is perfectly fine to let children handle guns.
Tacitus   
15 Apr 2024
Law / The right to own guns: would you support such legislation in Poland? [2874]

Gun nuts like to fantasize about how they'd use their guns to heroically defend their families against intruders. Leaving aside how statistically unlikely such invasions are and how difficult it would be for trained professionals to act appropiately, let alone amateurs (which most of them). The ugly reality is that not only are they more likely to use those weapons to kill themselves or harm family members, but those family members may also (intentionally or accidentally) misuse those guns. Particulary children:

California toddler kills 1-year-old sister with handgun found in home, police say

Gun-related deaths have become a mayor cause of death for children and young adults

cbsnews.com/news/san-diego-toddler-shoots-kills-1-year-old-sister-with-unsecured-handgun/

everytownresearch.org/report/notanaccident/

I am sure that is one thing from the USA no one in Poland is interested in adopting.... .

So if you love your family and want to keep them safe, you should throw your gun away immediately. If you need them for work/hunting, keep them in a secure, locked box.
Tacitus   
14 Apr 2024
News / Will Poland as a NATO member be drawn into the Israel/Iran war ? [127]

So Poland and the rest of Europe has no intention of spilling any of their blood on the ground for Israel

The intention may not be the problem. Just no capabilities. We need everything we have to build a credible deterrence against Russia (which may not even enough).
Tacitus   
17 Mar 2024
News / European News and Poland Thread 3 [1272]

just look to the US, where it all started first, it's ending there first too!

Progress is rarely a straight road. Sometimes there are set-backs. Still, Trump has not won yet. Maybe he'll give the Democrats another victory.

@Crnogorac3

where they stab themselves in the veins,

Just one of the many, many issues Russia is miles behind civilized countries.

Current Trends of HIV Infection in the Russian Federation

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10674383/#:~:text=According%20to%20the%20European%20Center,end%20of%202021%20%5B6%5D.
Tacitus   
17 Mar 2024
News / European News and Poland Thread 3 [1272]

@Bratwurst Boy

Do you have the impression wokism is winning?

Sure. Even Poland is slowly moving in the right direction, with the new government considering to legalize same-sex civil unions. Which is of course still not full acceptance, but still a move in the right direction.

when there is stuff to give out

The government granting out equal rights to people is not them giving out gifts, but doing their jobs.

It is not the fault of LGBT that the German government is unable to agree on anything else... .

@amiga500

just like your grandfather repeated Nazi slogans and proudly wore a brown shirt.

Your posts certainly make it easier to understand how they thought and did what they did. So much vitriole and hatred for positions that demand simple human decency... .
Tacitus   
17 Mar 2024
News / European News and Poland Thread 3 [1272]

@Bratwurst Boy

it isn't because of the marching AfD masses)

The AfD is also a big part of the problem. They are against gay marriage, self-ID for trans and so on. They are for LGBT and jews when they can use them as a pretext to bash muslims while working to roll back progress and make life more difficult for them.

We may have come far compared to where we were 30 years ago, but there is still quite a way to go.

@Crnogorac3

Bravo for Frankfurt!

Indeed.

@amiga500

Hey fagticus do everyone a favour and suck on some Zyklon-B

It is so easy to rile up bigots. Maybe it is the knowledge that they are fighting a loosing battle.
Tacitus   
17 Mar 2024
News / European News and Poland Thread 3 [1272]

@Bratwurst Boy

They still face many challenges and difficulties. Even our current government has yet to implement the self-ID law. Not to mention the prejudices they still face.
Tacitus   
17 Mar 2024
News / European News and Poland Thread 3 [1272]

Indeed. Reality is still ugly for many LBGT and migrants in Germany.

It won't get any better with the muslim masses coming..

Give it time. Most Germans only got around to embracing them in the last 20 years or so.
Tacitus   
17 Mar 2024
News / European News and Poland Thread 3 [1272]

Really great to see how far we have come.

Though I am afraid that this is still somewhat symbolical, given the challenges LBGT and migrants still face in our country...
Tacitus   
14 Mar 2024
News / SHOULD POLAND HAVE NUKES?? [154]

@Alien

Poland has signed the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, so it can't have its' own nuclear weapons (and Poland unlike Russia usually adheres to international law).

I would also argue that the financial costs for an effective nuclear deterrent is too high. Better to instead increase Poland's conventional deterrence and supply Ukraine with more weapons.
Tacitus   
27 Feb 2024
News / Poland to officially demand $1.32 trillion WW2 reparations from Germany [457]

and we would still have enough resources to occupy the Baltic states.

And yet Russia lost controle over the Baltics (and other occuppied areas) because they could no longer afford it.

Gorbachev did not relinquish controle over them and the Warsaw Pact because he was such a nice man, but because the Soviet Union desperately needed Western money, food and medical supplies to avoid a self-inflicted catastrophy.. Which it received without showing the proper gratitude for it.

Once the bill is due for Putin's mismanagement and warmongering, Russia can only hope that the Chinese will bail them out. They can not count again on the generosity of the West.
Tacitus   
27 Feb 2024
News / Poland to officially demand $1.32 trillion WW2 reparations from Germany [457]

They were released when the UdSSR was no longer able to occupy them. The same may happen with the parts of Ukraine it currently occuppies. If the Ukrainian army is unable to force Moscow to return, then mayhaps the inevitable economic recession in Russia will.

The 90s will look like paradise compared to what awaits Russia.
Tacitus   
27 Feb 2024
News / Poland to officially demand $1.32 trillion WW2 reparations from Germany [457]

The matter has been over for many decades by now.

The previous Polish government knew this and just exploited this issue for domestic reasons. Good to see that with the new government reason and rationality returns to Warsaw's diplomacy. At a time when Putin openly seeks to redraw borders in Europe and a possible second Trump presidency that may prove fatal to NATO, this development comes no day too soon.
Tacitus   
6 Feb 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

One of your countrymen,

It is not one my countrymen saying that, but one of your top generals as quoted above.

their only naval victory

They also won the battle of Capes and thus effectively, the war of American independence. Who were they fighting against, again?

All historical jokes aside, it is simply a matter of fact that the French have only European army that can be taken seriously to some degree. They have experience, training and crucially, the numbers (at least relatively).
Tacitus   
5 Feb 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

Meanwhile the German army use broom handles on exercises due to lack of guns

At least they have tanks to practice with. Can one really say the same about the British army on a larger scale? The best they could do is field a small expeditionary force.

The only army somewhat prepared to fight a serious war right now in Europe is the French army. Hopefully Poland will have one soon too.

The relatively strong Luftwaffe

Can't say much about that aside from the new F-35 ordered. But we should have the best mid and close-range anti-aircraft and anti-drone units within the next few years with the Skyranger and Iris-T.
Tacitus   
4 Feb 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

Germany blocked the weapons' owner from supplying them

Which weapons are you talking about?

Nobody can 'buy themselves

Not directly, but this and other articles sure make it look suspicious.

thetimes.co.uk/article/boris-johnsons-russian-crony-evgeny-lebedev-got-peerage-after-spies-dropped-warning-3dp6sw29x

Wealthy Russians certainly integrated themselves well in British (high) society. Yeah they were sanctioned later (the same as in Germany and other countries) but claiming the UK was less susceptible to Russian corruption when London openly attracted oligarchs is absurd.

No, they haven't

I provided you with a source that proves the opposite. That number will further increase by the French contribution to the 50bn from the EU to Ukraine (one estimate I've read it was 9bn).
Tacitus   
4 Feb 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

No. It went on for much longer.

I am fairly certain that Germany changed its' mind on allowing countries to export former GDR weapons within hours, if not days after the invasion. It did not prevent any other aid from reaching Ukraine.

Not however in the U.K. where russia's political influence has been at best negligible

Wishful thinking. One son of a Russian oligarch bought himself a peerage, and wealthy oligarchs used the UK as one of their favourite places to launder their ill-gotten wealth. Abromovich is just the most famous examples. Who knows what deeper inquiries may find out later after a government change. No reason to feel any kind of self-satisfaction here.

Micron

All jokes and French-bashing aside, the reality is that France has actually commited more aid to Ukraine than the UK via the EU institutions. Their military support is disappointing given then field the strongest European army, but their overall contribution is not bad at all. It is one thing to send old Soviet weapons to Ukraine while receiving reimbursements from the EU, it is another to keep the Ukrainian state financially afloat.

app.23degrees.io/view/DUeaa54W7KOQhFQD-bar-stacked-horizontal-bilateral-aid-with-eu-share

@Torq

50 billion euro in 4 years is about 0.08%

Everything is relative. Keep in mind that the entire state budget of Ukraine in 2021 was around 35bn Dollar, so for them it means quite a lot.

theglobaleconomy.com/Ukraine/government_spending_dollars/

Furthermore there are quite a few European countries who have otherwise commited very little aid to Ukraine relative to their GDP, so for them it means a huge increase in what they contribute. Baby steps I suppose, but that is what progress often only looks like.
Tacitus   
2 Feb 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

look beyond the west.

To whom though? Most of the mayor Non-Western powers that come to mind: Brazil, India maybe South Africa have taken a neutral position at best, if they are not outright aiding Russia.

blocked another country for supplying Ukraine

I think you know the context of why this happened. This was within the first hours of war, when everyone assumed that Ukraine would fall in a matter of days. Berlin believes that it could do more for Ukraine if it helped broker another peace summit. A mistaken belief, but the intention was genuine.

Since then Germany has become the largest European supporter for Ukraine. Personally I am not happy about Scholz cautious approach, but leaving aside that his main priority as chancellor of Germany must be Germany, it also succeeded in getting the German people behind him. Support for military aid to Ukraine remains high, despite the pacifist inclinations of our people, and the high burden particulary the Ukrainian refugees pose for our ailing economy. That has not been the case in all countries who initially greatly supported Ukraine. And who knows who else will abandon Ukraine if the war (which seems likely) drags on for another few years.

Schroeder

Schroeder has not been in power 18+ years. Putin managed to buy a lot of former politicians and journalists and "experts"(something he did in many countries, including the UK) but which active politician has spied for him?

Micron

I'd wish too France would do more in bilateral military aid, but he seems to be playing a very important role diplomatically. In large parts thanks to him Ukraine will finally receive the 50bn from the EU.
Tacitus   
1 Feb 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

@jon357

A global approach is needed to tackle a global problem.

Call me a pessimist, but speaking of a global approach when even the West is no longer united in their support seems like wishful thinking. My impression is that many Non-Europeans are viewing this as a European problem that should be solved by the Europeans. Today's decision to approve 50bn in aid for Ukraine is important in that regard, but quite a few countries have either reduced their support or are not contributing appropiately in the first place.

It remains unclear whose side they are really on.

That is PiS KaczyƄski niveau, far below your usual level.

@Ironside

Gemrnas are not cut mentally to be a leading power or a world power

Neither is in Germany's power to begin with, and I would argue it is not necessary to be one for the Ukraine war. The European countries should be strong enough to sufficiently support Ukraine and this is the issue Berlin should be working on. First by stepping up regarding German aid, which has happened. And then by working diplomatically and reminding others that they need to do their own part as well. Which is now happening.
Tacitus   
1 Feb 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

@Ironside

that is not the issue here

Stopping new pledges in a war of attrition that may last for several more years is a big issue.

And it becomes embarrassing if your government liked to boast about their contribution.

play political propaganda games by publishing charts

That is a reaction to the intense scrutiny German aid to Ukraine received. It is easier refute accusations of inaction if you can point to the delivered weapons and the steady flow of equipment Ukraine will receive over the next few years.

They protest and file complaints

Enviromentalists are doing the same in Germany too. You don't know the controversy every time an airport is enlarged or a river made accessible for large ships.

And let us be completely honest here, how PiS has handled the Oder disaster was not helpful at the least. You can be sure that any project that may have an impact on Germany will from on be very, very closely monitored.

If Germany wants to be a regional power player

Does not look like we have a choice on the matter. I am sure most Germans would rather see the USA take the lead, or alternatively a more European approach. But since neither are looking feasible and the option would be to let Eastern Europe fall to Russia, it looks like it will up to Berlin.
Tacitus   
30 Jan 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

Why do you expect them to disarm

I do not. I am just holding them to their word. They publically entertained this idea when it gave them good publicity, and then backed down. As did quite members of that so-called Leopard coalition, who acted similiarly or suddenly needed a lot more convincinf. Imagine the backlash if Scholz had done something like that.

You claimed that Scholz made empty promises, while I pointed out that he kept all pledges and was careful not to raise expectations he thought to be unrealistic.

Poland didn't stop,

What new commitments did Poland make in the last few months and are those financed by them or the EU?

we don't have enough stuff

While this may or may not be the case, it is certainly at odds to what Polish leaders said at the beginning.

As for farmers, there is no reason

Well, one reason: Solidarity with Ukraine. Poland was insistent that other countries cut their energy ties with Russia, no matter the damage to their economy (and then kept receiving fossil fuel longer than others). But once the Polish economy was hurting, things changed. Kinda like with the weapon deliveries: No mew deliveries once it meant that it would have bear the costs on their own.

Which personally I find perfectly understandable. But it is irritating that someone can defend this position and make empty accusations against Germany and its' supposed lack of help and solidarity.

In stiffing Polish development

This whole conspiracy nonsense. Poland has benefitted massively from cooperating economically with Germany. No doubt there are areas where both countries compete or have differing interests, but that is natural in capitalism.

It is in our interest that Poland gets wealthy and preferably soon starts paying into the EU funds instead of receiving them.

The government that stifled Poland's growth was PiS because due to them it would have missed out on potentially 100bn money from the EU.
Tacitus   
29 Jan 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

as they proved to be masters of verbal grand-standing with issues concerning aid to Ukraine?

There are a lot of things to complain about Scholz, but he can hardly be said to have made empty promises or raised false hopes regarding Ukraine. At the beginning many critics said that he was too pessimistic when he said that Ukraine must not lose and Russia must not win, instead of speaking of an outright victory. Scholz may have had a better grasp at the limits of Ukrainian capabilities and the the willingness to help from other countries. Scholz started slow, but has steadily ramped up help, with Germany now becoming the largest European supporter of Ukraine and pledging the most support for 2024.

Contrast that with all the great promises of various leaders at the beginning and later. I remember e.g. how Finish leaders initially said that they would be open to deliver Leopard tanks to Ukraine. Then they said that they could only do so after joining NATO. They did, still no Leopards.

And then there is Poland. All the pledges of brotherhood with Ukraine, only to stop sending new weapons mid-war and even obstructing other deliveries by Polish farmers.

Only France has shown a larger discrepancy between words and deeds.
Tacitus   
29 Jan 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

Nothing but a pure innocent coincidence and one has nothing to do with the other.

Indeed. Most European countries if given the choice have picked German tanks and anti-aircraft systems since the war in Ukraine broke out. Particulary the Iris-T system is shaping up to become a real export hit.

left by German empty promises.

We shall see. Hopefully Poland won't just resort to verbal grand-standing if war breaks out. Will be interesting to see if the new Polish government recommits to aiding Ukraine.
Tacitus   
27 Jan 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

and selling them German military equipment

That is unrelated to the promise of stationing troops there. Germany is now selling military equipment to many European countries.

As a part of NATO and not necessarily by sending troops there.

Realistically, Ilif Poland can not be motivated to defend its' neighbour, other countries won't send additional troops either.
Tacitus   
26 Jan 2024
News / How will Poland be affected by WW3 which has now started [527]

@Novichok

What If Russia invaded Poland with 14 million soldiers

I mentioned 800k soldiers because that is plausible estimate of the number of Russian soldiers involved in the invasion of Ukraine.

@Ironside

and is already cashing in for it.

All that is required from Lithuania is to prepare appropiate barracks and other facilities which can be used to house the soldiers. That is hardly "cashing in", those facilities still belong to the Lithuanian state and may one day be used again for a different purpose.

If Russia invades the Baltic states, all NATO countries will be required to defend them. It is not possible to station enough troops there to succesfully defend against a Russian invasion since the countries are simply too small.

And I strongly suspect that Poland may want to make a large effort to defend them, if only because it is better to fight Russia in a different country than your own.